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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    BETTOR2WIN MLB RPI SYSTEM (July 18, 2011)

    irage
    davopnz
    atd
    bettor2win
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    irage
    irage
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    Posts: 4125
    Posted: Jul. 18, 2011 - 1:03 AM ET #1

    BETTOR2WIN MLB RPI SYSTEM
    2011 Record 46 - 1 - 0
    2010 Record 74 - 1 - 0
    2009 Record 76 - 2 - 0

    A Game Wins: 29
    B Game Wins: 12
    C Game Wins: 4

    Unofficial Plays: 4 - 0


    SYSTEM
    The premise here is simple. Good teams Beat bad teams more often than bad teams beat good teams. This a chase system.
    Please read first page of this Post to understand the system completely. And read this page too.

    MLB RPI system in a nutshell. The RPI tends to tighten as the season progresses, so post all star game I use different numbers.
    1. This is a series chase. I DO NOT chase after a 3rd straight loss in a 4 game series. IDK why, but I don't. You can if you like.
    2. How to pick series. Pre all star game: check the upcoming series. We will use tomorrows games/series as an example. Check the ESPN RPI rankings.
    If any team is the visiting team and has an RPI of over 50 points or more over the home team they are playing, take the visiting team for a series chase.
    If any team is the home team and they have an RPI of 42 points or more than the visiting team, take the home team for a series chase.

    FILTERS
    1. If the lower RPI has been playing significantly better baseball over the last week or so, do not play the series.
    2. Losing streaks. Big losing streaks by better RPI team, don't play series.
    3. Teams going in obvious opposite directions in the W/L column, I will take the series even if off a Point or max 2 on the RPI.
    4. Injuries. Watch how the teams play for a few days then decide to take a series if a good player has been hurt. The Angels lost Kendry Morales and went on a 10 game winning streak last year. Go figure, so watch.Another note, in a 4 game series, if, and ONLY if the team you bet on for the series wins the FIRST game of a four game series, start the series over the next day as a new series. Basically, we would be banking they will win one of the next 3 as well.
    5. Teams bellow the .500 mark need to be evaluated before a play is created.

    JUICE
    This system does come with some juice, but remember a WIN is WIN. Use LABBY and MARTINGALE ...depended on the outcome of a four game series. First game. LABBY will make up for losses, so I advise using the LABBY. Also, with the high juice in this system, you can only play one other system.

    RPI VALUE
    VISITOR = 40 - 42 RPI (depending on strength)
    HOME = 35 RP


    July 1 -
    July 2 -
    July 3 -
    July 4 - PITTSBURGH - 132 (41) WIN
    July 5 - WASHINGTON -124 - (36) WIN
    July 6 - PITTSBURGH -115 - (??)  WIN
    July 7 - BOSTON -154 - (41)  WIN
    July 8 - BOSTON -198 - (41) WIN
    July 9 - ALL STAR BREAK
    July 12 - PITTSBURGH +100 (44) WIN
    July 18 - BOSTON -134 (V52) PENDING
    July 18 - PHILADELPHIA -185 (V66) PENDING
    July 18 - SAN FRANCISCO -127 (H32) PENDING
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    BETTOR2WIN MLB RPI SYSTEM
    2011 Record 46 - 1 - 0
    2010 Record 74 - 1 - 0
    2009 Record 76 - 2 - 0

    A Game Wins: 29
    B Game Wins: 12
    C Game Wins: 4

    Unofficial Plays: 4 - 0


    SYSTEM
    The premise here is simple. Good teams Beat bad teams more often than bad teams beat good teams. This a chase system.
    Please read first page of this Post to understand the system completely. And read this page too.

    MLB RPI system in a nutshell. The RPI tends to tighten as the season progresses, so post all star game I use different numbers.
    1. This is a series chase. I DO NOT chase after a 3rd straight loss in a 4 game series. IDK why, but I don't. You can if you like.
    2. How to pick series. Pre all star game: check the upcoming series. We will use tomorrows games/series as an example. Check the ESPN RPI rankings.
    If any team is the visiting team and has an RPI of over 50 points or more over the home team they are playing, take the visiting team for a series chase.
    If any team is the home team and they have an RPI of 42 points or more than the visiting team, take the home team for a series chase.

    FILTERS
    1. If the lower RPI has been playing significantly better baseball over the last week or so, do not play the series.
    2. Losing streaks. Big losing streaks by better RPI team, don't play series.
    3. Teams going in obvious opposite directions in the W/L column, I will take the series even if off a Point or max 2 on the RPI.
    4. Injuries. Watch how the teams play for a few days then decide to take a series if a good player has been hurt. The Angels lost Kendry Morales and went on a 10 game winning streak last year. Go figure, so watch.Another note, in a 4 game series, if, and ONLY if the team you bet on for the series wins the FIRST game of a four game series, start the series over the next day as a new series. Basically, we would be banking they will win one of the next 3 as well.
    5. Teams bellow the .500 mark need to be evaluated before a play is created.

    JUICE
    This system does come with some juice, but remember a WIN is WIN. Use LABBY and MARTINGALE ...depended on the outcome of a four game series. First game. LABBY will make up for losses, so I advise using the LABBY. Also, with the high juice in this system, you can only play one other system.

    RPI VALUE
    VISITOR = 40 - 42 RPI (depending on strength)
    HOME = 35 RP


    July 1 -
    July 2 -
    July 3 -
    July 4 - PITTSBURGH - 132 (41) WIN
    July 5 - WASHINGTON -124 - (36) WIN
    July 6 - PITTSBURGH -115 - (??)  WIN
    July 7 - BOSTON -154 - (41)  WIN
    July 8 - BOSTON -198 - (41) WIN
    July 9 - ALL STAR BREAK
    July 12 - PITTSBURGH +100 (44) WIN
    July 18 - BOSTON -134 (V52) PENDING
    July 18 - PHILADELPHIA -185 (V66) PENDING
    July 18 - SAN FRANCISCO -127 (H32) PENDING
     
    davopnz
    davopnz
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    Posts: 6686
    Posted: Jul. 18, 2011 - 5:26 AM ET #2

    looks legit!
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    looks legit!
     
    atd
    atd
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    Joined: Jul, 2011
    Posts: 45
    Posted: Jul. 18, 2011 - 1:38 PM ET #3

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    bettor2win
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    Posts: 2153
    Posted: Jul. 18, 2011 - 11:03 PM ET #4

    We are 1-1 so far. Come on SF "A Game" winner. We need ya baby.

    Hey irage post my "unofficial picks as well". Thanks. WAS won todays unofficial pick (A Game).
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    We are 1-1 so far. Come on SF "A Game" winner. We need ya baby.

    Hey irage post my "unofficial picks as well". Thanks. WAS won todays unofficial pick (A Game).
     
    irage
    irage
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    Posts: 4125
    Posted: Jul. 19, 2011 - 12:28 AM ET #5

    SF looking good Bettor. I will update the unofficial play, but I would caution you not to spread yourself too thin. Focus on what your good at. If you add to many plays you increase your risk of losses. There is no question that the most impression stat you have is that 1 loss (well now two). Its just friendly advice. If you really want it posted I will post it.
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    SF looking good Bettor. I will update the unofficial play, but I would caution you not to spread yourself too thin. Focus on what your good at. If you add to many plays you increase your risk of losses. There is no question that the most impression stat you have is that 1 loss (well now two). Its just friendly advice. If you really want it posted I will post it.
     
    bettor2win
    bettor2win
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    Posts: 2153
    Posted: Jul. 19, 2011 - 1:26 AM ET #6

    irage?? 2 losses?? huh? we still @ 1.
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    irage?? 2 losses?? huh? we still @ 1.
     
     
    irage
    irage
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    Posts: 4125
    Posted: Jul. 19, 2011 - 2:25 PM ET #7

    Isn't Philly a loss? and you had another one earlier this year. Don't get me wrong, that's awesome.
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    Isn't Philly a loss? and you had another one earlier this year. Don't get me wrong, that's awesome.
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