Posted:
#276
Lambo, analyzing these wc matches from a strategic, matchups standpoint will not get you far. You need a more holistic approach.
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World Cup Knockout Tournament.... Round of 16 and on....
Posted:
#279
Quote Originally Posted by vegasrebel417:
Anyone know why FIFA doesn't have the sudden death extra time rule anymore?
Anyone know why FIFA doesn't have the sudden death extra time rule anymore?
Seems like sudden death would be a good way to go.
And maybe do like Hockey and take a player off from each side!
Open things up a bit!
Keep taking a player off every 15 minutes until a goal is scored!
I'm sure the traditionalists will love that suggestion. But hey, it's a lot more traditional than deciding a match by PKs!
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Posted:
#283
Sorry to say Barn , I disagree , its not hockey . In soccer and especially this round of 30 min extra time , a weaker Team can go all out hoping to not run out of gas before time is finally out . Can't take that part of a Teams fight of battle out of the war . Let them go all out , Shoot Out is when they are done . Why have guys with rubber legs from the Boston Marathon trying to play , can't walk even lol !! And for my comparison to hockey , its bad enough what they've done to the NHL !! Tradition is where its at , the game was created in its natural form for a reason ! Both sports in my opinion . No disrespect just comments , I like your Treads , interesting chases ! I have yet to try the chase strategy .
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Posted:
#284
Bigginerboy , I'm on Germany . That's it , most sees Brazil as a little weak to begin with as do I . Not a dominating powerhouse for sure . Now injuries . I feel the same about Argentina , 1-0 seems to be their game plan . I feel they could be holding something back still . But I think the Neds are too ! That conservative game vs Costa Rica almost backfired , but it again looks to be the strategy of that game ! Again it looks like they are holding back too . This Teams wants to be be able to turn it on or off at their choice . Not always possible , and not for them either , they're not that good same as Brazil or any of them . I think all Teams can be beat , but I'm on Germany , my choice to start the Tourney , I cheer for Neds always , Argentina is the biggest wild card for me because I don't think they've been pushed to be even trailing in any game ? They will play a draw all the way until the final minutes ! That it's , my thoughts .
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Posted:
#285
A Final Comment . Yes I do think Argentina and Brazil impressed me as they picked up the pace and their game , got a lead and still played good to finish . Complete Victories that were worthy and deserving , but not a complete confident dominance . Colombia had a hard time overcoming the HOME FIELD EDGE ....... Maybe why the injury ???? Can't say though , Refs I thought watched out for the Home Side a bit throughout that game perhaps . Still a close game . Cheering NEDS , scared of what the Tinas might have to show vs an attacking Team . But what is the Orange Coaches Game Plan ??? Enjoy Everyone !!
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Posted:
#292
Quote Originally Posted by vegasrebel417:
Anyone know why FIFA doesn't have the sudden death extra time rule anymore?
Anyone know why FIFA doesn't have the sudden death extra time rule anymore?
Actually - they got rid of the golden goal - because they found that nobody would go for the golden goal.
When there was sudden death - there was a such a risk to go forward that teams would just defend and pass it around in the defense. They wanted to discourage that - so they made it a full 30 minutes which encourages riskier play.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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Posted:
#295
The WC has not been very good to me. Thanks for those that have commented that my analysis has helped in some way - but losing money intelligently isn't as good as winning money like a moron. That being said - sometimes you win and sometimes you lose. This WC is clearly going to be a loser for me. But its only 2 more years until the Euros....
Germany / Brazil - Germany to advance -110 (3 units) - Germany came out and surprised me against France. When I saw their line up an hour before kick off - I was nervous. They benched Mertesacker and moved Lahm back to defense from midfield where he had been playing - and started Klose - who in the end had little impact but drew away defenders from the real problem which is the rotating German midfield. And pretty much - that is where Germany beat France - although I have to say after watching the game 3 full times I am confused and disappointed with the French effort - and most of all - the inability to come up with a plan B. I feel ripped off - like I didn't get my money's worth from a team that I really thought could pull it off apparently more than they did.
So by now - these lines and these games become more and more predictable. Kind of like the NFL playoffs - by the Championship games and SB - you kind of know what you are going to get and what the line should be - so its tough to get real value in the line - I look more for tactical edges. And for all of the known over-publicized over-hyped reasons - I like Germany - and acknowledge that it is not very insightful to say that Neymar and Thiago Silva being out is a huge deal, and that Brazil has looked lost, and Germany pretty much the opposite. But that is the truth, and I just don't see how overanalyzing this game does any good.
Brazil still has been tough to break down - but the chances have been there - and against Colombia I saw panic in the last 20 minutes. A brazil collapse with a 2 goal lead would be unheard of - but they almost pulled it off - not because of talent or anything else physical - but they was an instant panic and the smell of death after the 70th minute. I am convinced that if the game were 10 minutes longer - we would have seen a Colombia goal. And Brazil have not played well with the lead all tournament - they never have looked comfortable. This for me is the exact opposite in Germany - who against the US and against France just never broke form - yes they had issues with Ghana but I look at these two teams and there is no question who I would rather have with a lead.
Dante will come in for Thiago - which in all honesty is not a big dropoff - the guy starts for Bayern and would probably start on the other 31 teams in the WC. But the Neymar thing is a big deal. We have seen over an over WC sides that lack a creative midfield presence - like a basketball team without a point guard who can dribble and dish - who just pass around the perimeter until the shot clock winds down and launch a shot. France against Germany, Belgium against Argentina - just to name a few recent examples. Who takes over this role for Brazil? Neymar led the WC is setting up quality chances for teammates - and he himself had 18 shots on goal and 4 goals. Does Oscar suddenly become this guy? I don't know. But I do see this as a major tactical issue - Brazil is not a long ball type of team - and I just see the Germans playing with the same defense they played against France and clogging the middle and daring Brazil to beat them wide and with dribbling.
On the other hand Germany have plenty of playmakers - and most surprisingly for me - has been the importance of their fullbacks in the offense. Hummels has been really solid - and Lahm gets up and makes a difference in the offense. But Germany just aren't going to change much - because they think (and rightfully so) that they can beat just about anyone playing with seemingly everyone at the same position in the same mold - it really looks like there are 8 midfielders out there at any given time with an open pass or two men making a defender have to make a decision on which to cover. It just happens over and over with this team.
You can argue home field - or ref bias (which is ironic that the ref allowing the game to get totally out of control is the reason Neymar is out) - but when you review the 5 games each of these teams have played so far - I find it very hard to make a case for Brazil. Predicted final score Germany 2 Brazil 0.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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Posted:
#296
Quote Originally Posted by CASTORTROY:
TNT |
FIFA WORLD CUP 2014 - ODDS TO WIN [47049] NETHERLANDS +2000 |
25 / 500 |
TNT |
FIFA WORLD CUP 2014 - ODDS TO WIN [47049] NETHERLANDS +2000 |
75 / 1500 |
Sure hope the Dutch come to play!! 4 years is a long time for redemption!!
They have this !!
You got this before the start of the WC?
Only +380 now.
I like your chances!
GL!
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