Record: 6-8
Risk: $100 PER PLAY
Net: - $448.57
SEPTEMBER 19TH
Wrexham vs. Southampton — Over 2.5 Goals (-130)
England Championship
Wrexham’s recent games have been open, and Southampton has brought real attacking output into this matchup. Over their last five matches, Wrexham scored five and conceded nine, while Southampton scored 14 and conceded five. The market has leaned toward goals all week, with Over 2.5 moving shorter from about -140 to -160 at some books.
Both teams have a reasonable scoring path, and three goals is a manageable number for this matchup. A 2–1 score in either direction, 2–2, or Southampton carrying most of the scoring gets this home.
Play: Wrexham vs. Southampton — Over 2.5 Goals (-130) — 1 Unit
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg — Over 3 Goals (-122)
German Bundesliga
This is a matchup of two sides that can score, and the betting market expects an open game: BTTS Yes is priced around -250 to -275, while the full-game total is set at three goals.
The Over 3 is the right way to play it because three total goals results in a push instead of a loss. We are looking for four or more to cash — and in a matchup where both teams have realistic paths to score, that is the outcome worth targeting. A 2–2, 3–1, or 4–0 type of game gets us there; 2–1 protects the stake.
Play: Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg — Over 3 Goals (-122) — 1 Unit
Full Card
Wrexham vs. Southampton — Over 2.5 Goals (-130)
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg — Over 3 Goals (-122)
Two plays. One unit each. Stay selective.
GOOD LUCK & WIN A LOT OF ZITI
