jowchoo

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replied to 2025 Anchor/Regression teasers in NFL Betting more satellites: 27. TENN +14 28. NYJ +9.5 29. ATL +8.5 30. DEN under 48 31. TB under 55 View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	10	July 31, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 2025 Anchor/Regression teasers in NFL Betting more satellites: 27. TENN +14 28. NYJ +9.5 29. ATL +8.5 30. DEN under 48 31. TB under 55 View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	10	July 31, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 2025 Anchor/Regression teasers in NFL Betting more satellites: 27. TENN +14 28. NYJ +9.5 29. ATL +8.5 30. DEN under 48 31. TB under 55 View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	10	July 31, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 2025 Anchor/Regression teasers in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: The regression candidates occur starting week 5. There should more plays this year as my first half model is finished and when the lines are posted there will be 8-10 more wagers. Moneylines: 1. ATL +105 2.DET +105 3. CHIC -105 4. NYJ +139 BOL to everyone this season. I like ATL and CHI, but I also like GB. Good luck. View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	10	July 30, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 2025 Anchor/Regression teasers in NFL Betting The regression candidates occur starting week 5. There should more plays this year as my first half model is finished and when the lines are posted there will be 8-10 more wagers. Moneylines: 1. ATL +105 2.DET +105 3. CHIC -105 4. NYJ +139 BOL to everyone this season. View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	10	July 30, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic 2025 Anchor/Regression teasers in NFL Betting Last year: (2024) 448-285....61.2% ROI: 126% This year (2025) These teasers will be .75% of Bank roll. ALL other wagers will be 1% with an occasional 2%. WEEK 1: Anchor will be DENVER -1 -125. The anchor will be paired with every satellite for .75% Satellites: 1. PHIL pk 2.PHIL over 40 3.WASH pk 4. WASH over 38.5 5.KC +4 6. SF over 39 7. TB over 42 8. DET +8 9. DET over 43 10. CINC +1 11. CINC over 38 12. HOUS +9 13. HOUS over 38.5 14. INDY +8 15. INDY over 39.5 16. BUFF +5.5 17. NE +4 18. NE over 35 19. CAR +9 20. CAR under 53 21. ARZ +1.5 22. ARZ over 36 23. DEN over 35 24. PITT under 45.5 25. CHIC +5.5 26. CHIC under 50.5 View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	10	July 30, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to REGRESSION PLAYS WEEK 1...........................2025 in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: I saw some things on you tube regarding Wash regressing. They beat only 1 playoff team in regular season. That was Eagles but Eagles had a good lead before Hurts was injured and out, only then Wash came back to win. They won 1 game on a hailmary. Wash played 9 QB's that were either back-ups or benched at some point in the season. Wash converted 20 of 23 on 4th down which set a new NFL record. Not very repeatable. And it is info like this why so many feel Wash will regress this season. Think about this, with all this going for them they still needed 8... 1 score close wins to get 12 wins on the season. 8 close wins likely won't be repeated. Here are the 4 teams they beat by more then 1 score....... 3-14 Browns 3-14 Titans 5-12 Panthers 8-9 Cards They beat Panthers just before mid-season which Panthers were very bad. They opened 1-7 and were 3-11 at one point before wining 2 of 3 to end season when QB finally played better. So 3 of the worst teams in the league. They beat Giants by 3 and by 5. Stroud had a monster rookie year only to regress the next year which was last year. People were talking about him as a top tier QB with Mahomes and Allen. Not likely Jayden plays as well or gets the same breaks he did last year. It seems very unlikely Wash won't regress. Thx claw, that post moves me off my Wash action. View Post \| View Thread	theclaw	52	July 28, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Colonel's win total play in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935: @Coloneljim Could this begin in week 1 ? Please! LOL....desperation View Post \| View Thread	Coloneljim	6	July 23, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Colonel's win total play in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935: @Coloneljim Could this begin in week 1 ? Please! LOL....desperation View Post \| View Thread	Coloneljim	6	July 23, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 2025 FUTURES in NFL Betting You act as though TOs happen by happenstance.....OK Let's see if if I show a profit and ii you withdraw your weak observation. View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	16	July 23, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 2025 FUTURES in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Done some significant research on TOM (turnover margins) that suggests the outliers + or - (10 or more) in net turnovers are +EV to regress the following year. Where you can find this years win total going the opposite way triggers a +EV play. BUFF/LAC/PHIL had their win totals increase despite their massive TOM JAX/TENN/CLEV had their win totals decrease despite their horrendous TOM I will throw a 1.5% play on; BUFF under 11.5 LAC under 9.5 PHIL under 11.5 JAX over 7.5 TENN over 5.5 CLEV over 4.5 Cancelling the UNDER 11.5 BUFFALO wins. This season has me more invested in FUTURES than at any time in last 10 years!! View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	16	July 22, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Preseason rankings , ratings , media or whatever list them here in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935: Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: DK, I don't pour over rosters, so maybe you have a better idea why Massey boosted CLV from 30 to 27. I did read that their draft was generally highly rated, but FTN Fantasy has CLV's OFF line ranked #30. It's hard to imagine ANY of CLV's shaky QB crew thriving behind those paper tigers, and Nick Chubb is just a shadow of his former self. Ignore the talent and roster changes? Really? That’s kind of interesting. no wonder you don’t post a thread in any forum here. I mean you would establish some credibility here if you did. Instead you just lurk and chime in when you see a mistake or something to give your image a boost. Do as you do bro. Some might say it’s trolling but I guess you’re no different than others here. Another incoherent rant by covers annointed retard. You would think you have been a posted winner here....haha View Post \| View Thread	Digitalkarma	21	June 25, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to SDQL query question? in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935: I asked you very kindly when you were being a pain in my thread to kindly stay away from me. I don’t need your negativity and lack of thought in my arena. I created a bunch of bs and sent it your way to make a point. Seems like you’re finally listening. In now way do I want you to lose I just want you to avoid me. I hope you get it and it took me so long for your understanding to set in. Don’t respond just listen and we can continue on our different paths with respect. I certainly hope this is the end. Fuck are you bipolar? View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	9	June 22, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to SDQL query question? in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by hoody: This will work on killer (p:HL and game time zone=P and n:game time zone=E) if you want a pacific time zone team put team=Rams before it like (team=Rams and p:HL and game time zone=P and n:game time zone=E ) (5-0) THX appreciate it. View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	9	June 22, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic SDQL query question? in NFL Betting What text is used to investigate west coast teams after a HL travelling to an east coast game the following week? Thanks in advance. View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	9	June 22, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Arrows for your handicapping quiver going forward in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by hoody: Ok I ask you this, this is 8-0 S/U the line is Phil-6.5 , it's 6-2 ats ,it's 8-0 in the +6 teaser(which would mean take Dall at +12.5 right) and if you -6 and take Phil -0.5 ,Phil would half to win out right or they would have a 50-50 chance when you look at the -6 teaser 4-4 correct. So do you take Dall+12.5 or Phil at -0.5 either way your 50-50 right there both 8-0. Or I'm I missing something. But the 8-0 S/U is (12.1,100%) SBW and week=1 and n:A and line>-7 and time zone=E Imho: Disregard the +6 (8-0) because it uses lines between -1 and -6. I will include DALLAS +13 as a satellite. I have PHIL (14-0) in another query, see a 10 or 11 pt win. View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	416	June 21, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Arrows for your handicapping quiver going forward in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by hoody: One more SBW and week=1 and n:A and line>-7 and time zone=E (8-0) what text works for time zone in the west. time zone=W does not work......................................thx View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	416	June 21, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Arrows for your handicapping quiver going forward in NFL Betting This is my favorite angle in support of the Eagles: SBW and week<=4 and season>=2020 and F and total<53 (14-0) SU View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	416	June 20, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Arrows for your handicapping quiver going forward in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by hoody: One more SBW and week=1 and n:A and line>-7 and time zone=E (8-0) Love this. SU margin is 12.2 pts. Feel like the HFA in season opening HOME DIVISIONAL games is WAY under valued!! View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	416	June 20, 2025 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Arrows for your handicapping quiver going forward in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: found this anti Denver play sorry! season>2020 and week=1 and tpS(PO)=0 and opS(PO)=1 and -4 (7-2) SU Looks like a plus moneyline wager to me. View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	416	June 20, 2025 View Post \| View Thread

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