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Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Quote Originally Posted by incognegro: @theclaw Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: I'll have some info on KC'S monstrous -4.8 expected wins coming soon. If you don't think KC will regress they already have not once but twice in the Mahomes era and in the process produced the 2 worst records of the Mahomes era. And now they have by far their largest negative expected wins. We'll take a look at how a larger expected win negative or positive effects the number of games each team regressed. KC win UNDER 11.5 games (-210) --- 2.1 units to win 1 unit Don't be surprised if KC loses more close games after week 1 then they did all last season which was 0. And they just might be 0-2 after 2 weeks. Is this line a typo? under 11.5 is currently around -130, or am I missing something? Thanks for pointing that out ................... I was thinking taking a 3 game regression would be under 12.5 that was the -210 which was a great price based on what I see out there. 72% probability they regress by 3 games based on past history. Then I changed my mind and took a 4 game regression or under 11.5, I did get -135. But was still thinking about the -210 when I posted that pick. Thanks again
no problem brother, you’re one of the best. Best wishes this season! |
theclaw | 157 |
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@theclaw
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
I'll have some info on KC'S monstrous -4.8 expected wins coming soon. If you don't think KC will regress they already have not once but twice in the Mahomes era and in the process produced the 2 worst records of the Mahomes era. And now they have by far their largest negative expected wins. We'll take a look at how a larger expected win negative or positive effects the number of games each team regressed. KC win UNDER 11.5 games (-210) --- 2.1 units to win 1 unit Don't be surprised if KC loses more close games after week 1 then they did all last season which was 0. And they just might be 0-2 after 2 weeks. Is this line a typo? under 11.5 is currently around -130, or am I missing something? |
theclaw | 157 |
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You must be new here. Same ole song and dance every year. |
PizzaBoyRick | 10 |
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Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Quote Originally Posted by incognegro: Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Quote Originally Posted by incognegro: Are there any bets yet? I haven’t seen any. I'll be on all 4 close win plays for half a unit not to be ignorant, but I don’t know what this means. Read post #28 thank you buddy. GL! |
theclaw | 218 |
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Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Quote Originally Posted by incognegro: Are there any bets yet? I haven’t seen any. I'll be on all 4 close win plays for half a unit
not to be ignorant, but I don’t know what this means. |
theclaw | 218 |
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Are there any bets yet? I haven’t seen any. |
theclaw | 218 |
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Anything official today? |
theclaw | 46 |
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Only the saints pending, correct? No official bets for today? |
theclaw | 78 |
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@jimmydafreak Well, I’ll be damned. The man has returned…..sort of. |
richiepicks | 5 |
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Can you list all of your official plays in one post? I am confused as to whether some are plays or if you are merely suggesting for other reasons. It gets confusing with the long threads. Thanks! |
theclaw | 57 |
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If you don’t have the cash in hand in your account you won’t get approved. They run a credit check AND you have to give them permission for a special company to see if you have the requested amount in a bank deposit account. If you want 300k, you have to have 300k in your account when you request the line. |
london4Wcup | 13 |
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@robtri Don’t fret. He’ll come back in and tell us how many bets he won but couldn’t post bc he was sick or getting some strange pu$$ or something of the sort. Same song and dance for at least a decade. |
WahooS | 118 |
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@LonghornHoosier I don't like either candidate, and I vote for both parties. However, being the devil's advocate here, to say Trump winning will be the end of Democracy is just absolutely asinine. He was president already for four years and democracy did not die, far from it. My wallet was the best its ever been. |
WahooS | 90 |
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Didnt you have a play on something for tonights game as well?
Thanks! |
theclaw | 38 |
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Awesome day! Best on covers! Great job and more importantly, thanks for all you do! |
theclaw | 82 |
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@lmb4321 Clemson has covered all except for their opener against GA. |
WahooS | 92 |
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Are your only plays the ravens and Washington TT under? |
theclaw | 82 |
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@yanks21x Respect is earned, not merely bestowed on you bc of an age. |
osubucks1 | 47 |
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So are there any actual plays? |
theclaw | 32 |
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I played them o6 against TN, was a loser, but Ill dip my toe back in lol. I'm a sucker for these as well and have typically done pretty well with these. |
TRAIN69 | 15 |
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