Flyguy1700

Quote Originally Posted by dyamarik:

4-0  last night  Blind Squirrels all across the Land celebrate a rare meal...!!!  Math Day: 05/06  0-10-1  -3.40 units  05/07  0-3  -1.12  units  05/08  3-3  -0.01 units 05/09  4-0  +2.68 units    47-62-3 playoffs  -2.33 units    Cup Futures Bets:  3-10  record  +2.10 units Open Futures: FLA ECC  +200  2u More Cats ECC +300  1/4u Vegas Series  +200  3/4u Crapitals Series  +320  1/2u Crapitals ECC  +700  1/4u Vegas WCC  +480  3/8u

Quote Originally Posted by Whiteboy13:

Because I feel like the jets are done and should have lost to the blues. But I’m kinda undecided still

Quote Originally Posted by dyamarik:

@Whiteboy13    Just having some fun with you White - your statements about the current line not having anything to do with last game played was just nonsensical.  Betting is like investing in stocks - a Company's past performance is very much relevant to whether or not you buy their stock for future growth.  Does it guarantee it?  Nope.  But, I think we'd all rather buy stock in a Company that has demonstrated financial success over a period of time, versus a company that has never shown a profit. Hockey teams are no different - Carolina pretty much dominated the Devils in an easy series, and Washington handled Montreal with ease, so when game 1 is so lopsided, and a Road team dominates the Home team as they did, that is a useful piece of data.  Do I bet Canes because of that?  No.  That's called "Recency Bias", and a lot of people fall into that trap.  Books take advantage of that by setting a Carolina line at -150 to try and entice all those who have the recency bias, with a line that is not too expensive, and brings in Carolina action until the Caps get to a Dog ML that starts to draw lots of action the other way.   So they set the lines factoring everything that will get them to a balanced state of bets and Vig where they maximize profits regardless of who wins.  Recency Bias from the last game played is absolutely 100% factored into setting the next game's line.

Quote Originally Posted by mrusso:

Jets live +300. They'll make a game out of it.

Quote Originally Posted by the1toturn2:

Quote Originally Posted by FillyFlier16: If you have the opportunity to buy out of your Dallas Stars bet, do it now before it's too late.   Colorado on the road in game seven is favored this big (-175) for a reason.  They WILL NOT lose this game. Avs = guaranteed victory.   Great call   You forgot to mention the Avs had a double minor pp for 4 minutes in which they failed to score   You and blb are just not good at this

Quote Originally Posted by benhogan76:

You are sharper after the games are over.

Quote Originally Posted by FillyFlier16:

Shame on you for backing the Jets tonight in game six and for those of you that did, looks good on you. Blues had come into this game having won 13 straight on home ice and Binnington was 5-0 in his last 5 playoff games on home ice. Add to that the fact the Jets were without their leader in Scheifele, there was no fucking the Blues were not going to force a game seven. Serves you right those who placed their so-called money on the visitors tonight in game six. On a sidenote, Hellebuyck is arguably the most overrated goaltender in the NHL. Bigtime U.S. goalie during the regular season but when push comes to shove in the postseason, the flunky is nowhere to be found.