CFLChef

8/2 CFL Saskatchewan ML -132 (Fan Duel)
2025 CFL Season bets 27-11, FREE CFL picks 12-5

2* SAS (-150)
2025 CFL season picks 9-5

SAS vs MON
3* UNDER 50.5 BetOnline triple-dime bet
2* under 25 combined points 1st half FanDuel double-dime bet
2* MTL Alouettes Team Total Points Under 24.5 -135

I am always on the opposite side of these cappers.  Every time, lol.

18-11-0 (+1.45) Units.

SSK@MTL : MTL + 2.5 ATS for the full game.  1.1 to win 1.

During half time HAM@EDM the broadcast showed MTL field.  It looked very windy!

SSK is missing some key pieces.  MTL missing 2 WR's.  MTL get's Mr. Lemon back today.  So the guy likes to bet on his team to win.  I have no problem with that.

These players make peanuts to play in the CFL.

Rest advantage.  SSK (7), MTL (8).  1 day rest advantage for MTL.

The database shows indicators for both teams tonight.  The TSN panel talks about this game being a shoot out.  The database indicates the under is the play.

Current game: SSK vs MTL : MTL is 24-7-0 SU, 14-17-0 ATS, 9-21-0 O/U.

SSK on 7 days of rest, as a road fav, 0-0-0 SU, 0-0-0 ATS, 0-0-0 O/U.  The league as a whole, 2-2-0 SU, 2-2-0 ATS, 1-3-0 O/U.

MTL on 8 days of rest, as a home dog, 0-0-0, SU, 0-0-0 ATS, 0-2-0 O/U.  The league as a whole 1-1-0 SU, 1-1-0 ATS, 0-2-0 O/U.

MTL owns SSK, 24-7-0 SU proves it.  SSK losing @ MTL is not just a one off, it is a habit!!

SSK goes on their week 10 bye after this game.

I am happy backing the Home Dog +2.5 ATS for tonight.

GL.

God Bless the CFL & the  "rouge" single point.  Just in time to end the 3rd QTR.  Nice.

Score 24-34 to start the 4th.

Thanks Tiger!

I will be back tomorrow.

Almost there.  Can TOR score a "rouge" or a field goal, let alone a TD.

TOR sitting on 23 pts so far.  2 mins to go in the 3rd.

GO ARGOS!

TOR coming off a 14 pt win since 1996, 3-0-0 to the over & the league is 5-2-0 to the over.

The Over is 9-2-0 for Argonauts when played as 0 to 3 Away Underdog Coming off a Win Last 10 Years (81.82%)

TOR stands a good chance of getting over 23.5

Good call.

Good evening Tiger Pat,

I decided to join you on your TOR Team total over 23.5

Let's Go Argos!

OTT gets the job done.  Nice.

18-11-0 (+1.45) Units.

I'll take it!  Damn preseason.

I am not sure about tomorrow night's game.

All manor of what not going on with that game.

Back tomorrow.  Time to eat.

This is the last time these 2 teams will meet this regular season.  They did meet in week 3 @ CGY.  Score 20-12 for OTT.

When CGY plays as a -3.5 to -6.5 fav, before a Division game, they are 3-8-0 ATS, 8-3-0 SU, O/U 9-2-0

I am OK with CGY winning, just not covering.

There is this...

OTT coming off 10 days rest, 0-2 ATS.  The rest of the league is 1-1 ATS.

Still I like the underdog OTT Redblacks +4.

17-11-0 (+0.45)  I am in the black again.  Well holy smokes.

CGY@OTT : OTT +4 ATS for the full game.  1.1 to win 1.  Line opened @ CGY -4.5, then -4.

I am starting to see -3.5 

This is it for OTT!  Win on Thur @ home with Dru Brown or goodbye playoffs, Bob Dyce, Gabriel Pizza.  To this day I miss Gabs, lol.

I have not looked @ the database yet, but I wanted to get this play in.  CGY with some injuries but nothing really confirmed just yet.

CGY comes into this game with (6) days of rest advantage.  OTT is coming off their week 8 bye, with (10) full days of rest advantage.

That is 4 full days of rest adv for OTT.

This game sets up for OTT.  David vs Goliath type of thing.

If OTT is a NO Show this Thursday Night, they are toast!!  The fan base is turning on them & will be booing the team if they get off to a slow start.

I am backing the home team, getting 4 points, on Thursday night.

I love my new 8" Cast Iron Skillet.  

GL

Unbelievable, HAM wins SU & gets the spread job done.  Nice.

I will be looking to back BC @ HAM, after week 9 bye, @ HAM, no doubt getting pts.

Thank you HAM tonight.  (Look , there is no way HAM should have won or covered tonight.) still I will take it!

Gl.

It is a Canadian game, after all.

Well, last Sunday Night game for this 2025 season.

They will be back next year.

Week 9 Lines.

CGY -4.5 

OTT 52.5

-----------

TOR 51.5

WPG -8.5

-----------

HAM -3.5

EDM 54.5

-----------

SSK -2.5

MTL 49.5

FanDuel odds.

3 Home dogs.

Recent Meetings: Over their last 6 meetings, they have been split at 3 wins apiece back to 2022. The Tiger-Cats have won 3 of the
last 4 visits to BC Place Stadium. Overall, the Lions hold a 58-42-3 edge since 1961.

Bo Levi Mitchell is 103-41-2 in his career as a starter and 13-16 in 29 starts for
Hamilton. Against BC he is 12-7 for his career.

West vs East.  Normally an Eastern team travelling out West, really has to be focused on the game. They tend to give up in the 4th QTR.  That is because most Eastern teams have an Eastern QB not used to playing out West.

This is not the case here.  Bo-Levi Mitchell is a Western QB.  Played his whole career out West.  BC is a bit of an indoor stadium, Bo is used to playing outdoors but I somehow feel he might not mind playing this game a bit indoors.  Climate controlled more or less.  Perfect place to play for an elder statesman QB.

Game Note:  This will be the last Sunday Night Football game for the CFL.  No more Sunday games!.  Yes.

I never liked Sunday games.  Goodbye.

Speaking of Home & Home series, TOR won last night & they are back in WPG this Fri night.  Both teams with (5) days of rest advantage.

Will both back-ups be playing again?  Probably.

Almost forgot,

HAM +2.5 ATS for the full game.  1.1 to win 1

GL.

16-11-0 (-0.55) Units.  Still hauling around my preseason losses, like an albatross around my neck, lol.

The Ticats and Lions split their 2024 season series 1-1, with a total of 133 points scored.

This is the first game between these two teams.  They will meet again in week 10.  BC has a week 9 bye.

Rest advantage for this week's game.  HAM (6), BC (7) days off.  1 days rest advantage for BC.

This is a home & home series with BC off week 9.

Week 10 rest advantage for BC (10), HAM (4)!  After tonight's game in BC, HAM then travels to play @ EDM week 9.  HAM will only have (5) days of rest & EDM will have (7) days of rest.  Then we have the week 10 rematch, @ HAM, where BC will be coming off their week 9 bye with (10) days of rest & HAM only having (4) days of rest.  6 days rest advantage for BC.!!

I am looking for HAM to win tonight @ BC, then BC to win in 2 weeks @ HAM week 10, probably catching points for sure, especially if they lose tonight in BC.

Now if BC blows the doors off of HAM tonight, then I will be looking to back HAM @ home week 10.

My eye test tells me BC is struggling & HAM stock is on the rise.

However a good database can be confusing.  Let's look.

When BC plays as a Home team, as a fav, vs non Non Division opponent, - Before a non division game (week 9 & then week 10) they are 27-5-0 SU, 20-11-1 ATS, with the O/U 16-15-1.  This stat applies to tonight's game & technically to week 10's game.  We don't know week 10's spread?

When HAM plays as a pk - +3 underdog, total is 54.5 or more, vs Non Conference opponent, they are 3-7-0 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, O/U 1-9-0.  This stat applies to tonight's game.

So, in the past, I would back BC tonight, -2.5 according to the database & look to back HAM in 2 weeks back in HAM.  Makes sense.  Having watched every game this season, I like HAM tonight!!  Therein lies the problem.

Everyone should be backing BC tonight according to the stats, @ home, urgency to win, all of that.

I would not be surprised if this is the last Big effort from HAM tonight knowing their next 2 games are on short rest.  @ EDM, @ Home VS BC.  If HAM loses tonight @ BC, I will be looking to back them @ home, week 10 VS BC, probably getting a short line @ home but they will be tired!! NO Doubt about it!!  NOT an ideal spot for HAM in 2 weeks.

It's what the books want.  "The Opposite Effect"  Folks back BC tonight, they lose, they then take HAM in 2 weeks & lose again.

So the plan is... lol, If HAM wins tonight @ BC, I then back BC in week 10 @ HAM.  No doubt catching a goodly amount of points.

If BC wins tonight, I add a little more weight around my neck until next week.  Sumbitch.

HAM leads the league in pass knockdowns & Interceptions & I still contend there is something not right with Nathan Rourke, not to mention his front 7 cannot protect him.  He was scrambling last week.  He looked like he was in Spain, running with the bulls, lol.  He also got lucky with some of those scrambles.

I will keep looking @ this game...

Can you believe I have a turkey in the oven.  It's only a billion degrees outside, right now.

Hey, A MAN's gotta eat, that's right.  

GL.

You got it.

Nice Hit.

4 mins to go 1st QTR.

Score 0-0

GL