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created a topic
NCAAF betting is back. Time to pretend we all watch Akron vs UTEP 🏈
in College Football 1/ You don’t watch college football. You just bet the team with the cooler mascot and pray.
2/ Someone’s gonna drop 73 points in Week 1 and bettors will act shocked. It’s the most chaotic betting sport on earth.
3/ Lines open Sunday, move 7 points by Tuesday, and you still bet it Friday night like it’s brand new.
4/ Favorites win, dogs cover. Except when they don’t. Which is every Saturday.
5/ Welcome to hell. Let’s ride. |
Dale66 | 1 |
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created a topic
NHL Betting Is Slept On — But It’s Where Some of the Best Edges Still Exist
in NHL Betting 1/ Everyone’s focused on NFL, NBA, and UFC.
Meanwhile, NHL is where sharp bettors quietly grind value all season long.
Here’s why NHL betting still offers genuine edges — if you know what to look for ??
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2/ Lower Betting Volume = Slower Moving Lines
Books move fast on NFL spreads. But NHL lines — especially totals and player props — move much slower.
That delay? It's gold for bettors who track line movement, injuries, and goalie news.
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3/ Public Action Doesn’t Rule the Market
The average NHL bettor doesn’t impact the lines like they do in football.
Less square money = fewer overreactions = cleaner markets.
That means the value sticks around longer.
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4/ Goalie News Is EVERYTHING
Most casuals barely look at who’s in net. But a backup goalie on a back-to-back changes everything:
– Moneyline risk – Over/under totals – Even player shot props
Sharps monitor goalie confirmations obsessively.
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5/ Empty Net Chaos = Opportunity
Late-game betting in the NHL is a hidden gem.
You can catch huge value live when a team pulls the goalie early — especially if the market hasn’t adjusted totals or props yet.
6 minutes of 6-on-5 = a mini goal explosion waiting to happen.
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6/ OT/Shootout Variance Creates Upsets
NHL games are tight. Nearly 25% go to OT.
That makes underdogs much more dangerous — and often underpriced.
If you can model tight matchups, the +EV dog opportunities are better than most leagues.
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7/ Books Still Misprice Props
Unlike NBA/NFL, where prop models are dialed in, NHL props are still… soft.
– Shots on goal – Power play points – Time on ice – 1st period totals
If you follow beat reporters and advanced stats (like xGF or Corsi), you can beat the market.
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8/ Bottom line?
NHL isn’t just for hardcore fans. It’s one of the last leagues where books are beatable with solid info, smart modeling, and timing.
Don’t sleep on hockey ??
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What’s your edge in NHL betting? Are you fading favorites on back-to-backs? Betting alternate totals live?
Drop your best angles ?? |
Dale66 | 2 |
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Yeah man, I agree — underdog pitchers definitely offer value if you're disciplined. The market overreacts to team records and forgets that a solid SP can flip the whole matchup, especially when facing a team that struggles vs lefties or has a travel disadvantage.
I actually missed that Ray start vs the Mets — classic revenge angle, and you're right about SF being on a slide. Do you ever hedge when your value pick has a shaky bullpen behind them? I've had a few heartbreakers where a solid 6-inning start goes to waste.
Also curious — are you tracking your ROI on those underdog SP bets, or going off feel + trend watching? |
Dale66 | 6 |
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Hey everyone,
Been following MLB pretty closely this year and noticed how volatile the odds have been — especially with bullpen collapses, injuries, and teams randomly deciding to rest half their lineup on Sundays ??
I’ve mostly been betting moneylines and unders lately, but I’ve also started building some parlays across multiple games — usually 2–3 legs max. Risk goes up fast, but the payouts are tempting if you're strategic with pitcher matchups and travel schedules.
Curious what others are doing: – Are you sticking to single bets or mixing in parlays? – Any teams you've been riding (or fading) consistently? – How much weight do you give to bullpen stats or umpire trends? |
Dale66 | 6 |
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Feels like the betting world has changed more in the last 5 years than the previous 20.
You’ve got:
Sportsbooks everywhere — in ads, on broadcasts, even sponsoring teams
Live betting, micro bets, cashouts, and now same-game parlays as the norm
Algorithms and AI models being used by casual bettors
Gamblers being marketed to like influencers — daily boosts, "streaks", loyalty tiers
And on the other end... people going broke chasing +1000 parlays on a Tuesday night
I’m not against it — I bet too. But I do wonder:
Is this becoming a long-term, sustainable part of sports culture? Or are we heading for some kind of crash or correction?
Are books getting too sharp? Are promos drying up? What happens when casual bettors stop “having fun” and realize they never win?
Just throwing it out there. Curious what others think — is this peak betting? Or just the beginning? |
Dale66 | 5 |
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