StraightWagers

The trick is the NBA turned gambling into a craps game, which was a beautiful strategy. They made it random. But they still had an agenda, they have to. You figure out that agenda and you're a chess move ahead. Not having Scott Foster in G7 was a tell.  

Back when I started, if Spurs had a 73-65 lead on Pistons at end of 3rd qtr that game was a wrap to the under. Now not so much. 

Here's how games are "fixed", I prefer influenced, rotations/shots/pace/substitutions. The greatest thing the NBA has sold is "how can we be fixed" because a player would spill the beans. Every Covers anti fix guy has this as their lynchpin. That's brilliant, just like they did w Cooper Flagg their 1st argument was "Do you know how many people would have to be involved to rig that?" The argument or defense is always people in the know. Fact is people (players etc) are not in the know as they are a cog in the machine, a soldier going to a war despite the reasons. You fix things by taking people out of the equation. 

that 2025-26 is going to be a good year for us NBA bettors. The Books have their algorithms, but we have refined our skills in motivation and situations that they don't account for. It's going to be fun, looking forward to it with you fine peeps 

Take er easy MacAttack, always a pleasure you're a kind person I can tell...good luck until next year!

thanks nm, jars and biscuit they are ordered

Regular season is where it’s at. Both teams had a cover w 2 min left. Too much shenanigans for me glad I won.

Thanks, I'm glad to see Foster and Davis not on the call, that's a good sign at least for me, was dreading those refs here so nice to see Capers/Tiven/Wright.

What a masterful job the talking heads have done in this lopsided series. I've quietly had the pulse of this series with the totals and cashed. I think the League has done a great job of lulling bettors into thinking Pacers have a shot, it's been really interesting to see the series play out with over/unders and ATS. I like the fact that gamblers are 50%+ on Pacers catching points and who can blame them off that G6 performance. They played this series like a fiddle it's been a thing of beauty really. But I like money and I like being right. 

Pacers pace is a benefit IF they score. When that pace is in effect and they don't score not so much. TJ may not go off, the Scooby Doo may struggle. What won't happen is SGA being denied. Once OKC gets going downhill all those Pacers comebacks and things they do to keep it close are out the window. Foster tells who win the title and he tipped his hand G5. At some point in this G7 Indiana's bag of tricks runs out.

I'll be sitting in a bar with my buddy drinking shots of fine Tequila then a fine bottle of Oregon Pinot to cap the evening. This'll buy me 4 Cragar 15x8 SS wheels and 215/75/15 tires for my 1963 Pontiac Catalina convertible.

123-101 Thunder

OKC -7.5

alt -8.5 +106

alt -10.5 +144

alt -14.5 +246

over 215.5

or my name isn't SW

We haven't had overs in the Finals in last game since Raps/Ws and Ws/Cavs...this total at 215.5 seems like all it would need is a 66pt qtr to secure the over. I've got to think we get a foul fest at some point to push it over, what you guys think?

Also, SGA over 45 PRA looks nice...he had a look on his face to end that game that was kinda scary. I think he goes bananas win or lose.

Thunder 91 - 108 Pacers

Thanks for the support. If Pacer allow OKC to go off I lose. the bet no one is on

OKC TT under 113.5

more on under 222

popping a fine bottle of Oregon Pinot and have tequila shots on stand by for a 103-103 finish

get em MacAttack

Zarba/Brothers/Guthrie

This is an interesting ref crew. I like Zarba led ref crews in his 2nd game in the same series in the Finals as they tend to go way under, so I'll back that play as he's ref'd 1 game in the Finals thus far to a big over (G2 230pts). There's data that backs the under in this spot for me. Brothers and Guthrie are the wild cards. One thing we haven't had in the Finals since 2018 is an OT game, and guess who was on that whistle? OTs in the playoffs this season and last 5 years have this crews' fingerprints all over them. I feel like we're kinda due for a win but not cover and maybe even an OT game and with these guys it can happen, at these odds it's worth a shot...

103-103 at end of reg

under 222

OT Yes +1500

Pacers win by 1-2 +1400

Pacers win by 3-6 +700

OKC wins by 1-2 +1400

OKC wins by 3-6 +550

In looking at Kennedy

Mavs 98 - 105 Celtics

Mavs 88 - 106 Celtics

Nuggs 108 - 95 Heat

He didn't make the Finals ref rotation before this so imo he takes Zarba's lead here and we get a dead under.

In looking at Zarba led ref crews in the Finals last 5 years:

Mavs 89-107 Celtics

Mavs 88 - 106 Celtics

Heat 111-108 Nuggs (note: he never got a chance to rotate into G6 as series ended)

Celtics 88 - 107 Warriors

Warriors 103 - 90 Celtics

Bucks 108 - 118 Suns (note: he never got a chance to rotate into G7 as series ended)

Lakers 102 - 96 Heat (note: he never got a chance to rotate into G7 as series ended)

This year:

Pacers 107 - 123 Thunder

So in my brain, every instance he has been afforded reff'ing 2 games in the Finals the 2nd game has gone well under. Now the fact that he reff'd a game that was an over only strengthens my argument for a dead under. I'll be all in on the under 222 and alt unders in what I anticipate will be a 107-101 type of game if not lower. Plus, I can't remember a Finals where in every game each team scored over 100ppg (Warriors/Raps 2019), that is insane with this much on the line, someone will spit the bit. Best of luck.

If I had to guess it'd be Zarba/Kennedy for sure...the 3rd will be most likely Kirkland or Brothers

It'll be a Zarba led ref crew

and he's a traffic cone on defense just standing watching too bad

killing his team, get him out