Research shows gambling markets tend to be more accurate than polls in predicting election outcomes. Especially in final week before election. Gamblers have incentive to win because they risk money rather than express their preference.
Research shows gambling markets tend to be more accurate than polls in predicting election outcomes. Especially in final week before election. Gamblers have incentive to win because they risk money rather than express their preference.
Research shows gambling markets tend to be more accurate than polls in predicting election outcomes. Especially in final week before election. Gamblers have incentive to win because they risk money rather than express their preference.
Polls check voters' current choices. Gamblers are betting on what happens on Election Day, so naturally they are usually more predictive.
Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson:
Research shows gambling markets tend to be more accurate than polls in predicting election outcomes. Especially in final week before election. Gamblers have incentive to win because they risk money rather than express their preference.
Polls check voters' current choices. Gamblers are betting on what happens on Election Day, so naturally they are usually more predictive.