Polls vs betting line

Question

I&#x27;m lost on this one... but the current polls here show the gop vs obama to be at best a draw, with gop with a slight lead.https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_president_obama_vs_republican_candidate-1745.htmland if you look at pinnaclesports odds on obama vs gop for the big vote, you will see obama -157 or there abouts...Any reasonable explanation?  polls suck?  I have always knows that when people put their money on the line, well there are no gimmes.  That betting line is very unsettling to me, since i&#x27;m voting for ABO

SportsFan9698 · Answer

I&#x27;m lost on this one... but the current polls here show the gop vs obama to be at best a draw, with gop with a slight lead.https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_president_obama_vs_republican_candidate-1745.htmland if you look at pinnaclesports odds on obama vs gop for the big vote, you will see obama -157 or there abouts...Any reasonable explanation?  polls suck?  I have always knows that when people put their money on the line, well there are no gimmes.  That betting line is very unsettling to me, since i&#x27;m voting for ABO

promark12 · Answer

Here&#x27;s a scoop:  All the news has been about the Republican primary,  Team Obama hasn&#x27;t spent much if anything on advertising.  They are waiting for the GOP to select their canidate.&#xD;&#xA;Then it&#x27;s on.  Don&#x27;t sell the Obama team short.  You may not like him, but his campaign team is top-notch.

jinvegas · Answer

as you well know, the pres isnt elected on the popular vote, but instead by the electoral college.  the polls give a general sense, but youd have to do state by state polls (or at least in the swing states) to get a true sense of who would win.plus the polls was ANY R candidate, but there are many Rs who wont vote for romney, plus throw in the ron paul wild card if he runs as an I, which would all but guarantee 4 more years of trillions upon trillions of more debt.  CANT WAIT

promark12 · Answer

Jin, you still have to factor in that most of the masses get their news from the Lamestream media. How many of your friends and family say, " Every 4 years I go to the voting booth and do my civic duty of voting for the lesser of two evils". Then after the election, it's back to "American Idol"

Those people need to be bitch slapped. Really, they need to be woken up. Take your laptop.

esplanade · Answer

TrueBut obama was the Evil of two Lessers

SarasotaSlim · Answer

SportsFan, forget about the polls..most of them are not meant to inform you ,but to form your opinion..

thirdperson · Answer

According to university research, gamblers are better than public polls in predicting future election results.  Days before election, line movement have mostly been right.   This is common sense.  Gamblers risking money should do better than uncaring public with nothing to lose.

promark12 · Answer

Current EHORSEX odds, remember ehorsex is a betting exchange, the players set the odds, not the bookmaker:

OBAMA -155

ROMNEY +165

GINGRICH +5500

PAUL +7400

SANTORUM +15500

FrontRowCenter · Answer

I see value with the GOP.  I just can&#x27;t imagine people voting for Obama again after what he has done to this economy.   We need a NEW direction.

promark12 · Answer

Front row, if you see value, then go for it. That's what betting is all about. I learned a long time ago, don't bet on your favorite team. You will end up in the poor house.

I personally think Gingrich and Paul are worth a couple of bucks.

LeRinkRat · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;a true statement by SS

LeRinkRat · Answer

I just can&#x27;t imagine people voting for Obama again after what he has done to this economy.   &#xD;&#xA;like the loan, that has been paid back, that saved the American auto industry and a million and a half jobs?&#xD;&#xA;We need a NEW direction.  &#xD;&#xA;like the "direction" of outsourcing industrial jobs like Bain Capital did under Romney?&#xD;&#xA;and I suppose the policies of the Bush Administration had NOTHING to do with the economy? check unemployment the last year of Bush vs since Obama has been in office. check the graph &gt;&gt;&gt; https://reflectionsofarationalrepublican.com/2011/05/07/bush-vs-obama-unemployment/

Polls vs betting line

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