I appreciate everyone who has provided me with positive feedback over the last couple of weeks. I was not expecting so much negativity. I have decided that it is time to prove everyone who has doubted me and the information I post each weekend wrong. The next day I have a losing record, I will move on from Covers and stop posting my plays. I realize the majority of you will be cheering against me which is what I want. I can’t seem to find a better way than this to put everything that has been happening in my threads to a stop.
With that being said, I have five plays for today. There will not be late additions, just five plays. I know I will have a winning record at the end of the day, or my time here is done.
Army Black Knights +6.5 @ Duke
Play Against: Duke coming off a home loss of 30+ points as a big underdog playing a non conference oppoenent with the winning record in the next game as a medium favourite.
System Rate: 93% 13-1 L14
Other notable trends: Duke is just 12-35-1 ATS in their last 51 home games. In the last 13 games as a home favourite they are just 3-9-1 against the number. Playing teams with winning records Duke has covered just once in the last five games. Playing a team with a winning road record, Duke is just 3-13 ATS in their last 16.
Idaho Vandals -8 @ Colorado State
Play On: Idaho as a large non conference road favourite coming off a double digit SU and ATS win playing against a winless team coming off a SU loss of more than 20 points.
System Rate 90% 9-1 L10
Other notable trends: Idaho has won 6 straight off a win of 20 or more points. They have followed up a winner at the ticket window with 8 of their next 9 games. Coming off a SU win Idaho is 11-3 ATS in their next game over the past 14. Colorado State is winless in their last 6 as a dog, 4 in non conference games, 7 coming off an ATS loss and their last 4 home games against the number. Facing a team with a winning record the Rams are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5. Coming off a SU loss of 20 or more, they are 1-11 ATS. Overall in their last dozen games, Colorado State has covered just once.
Alabama Crimson Tide –7 @ Arkansas Razorbacks
Play On: Alabama as a medium road favourite playing an coming off a back to back ATS wins and SU wins of 20 or more points in 3 straight games against a SEC opponent with a losing ATS record.
System Rate 94% 16-1 L17
Other notable trends: The Tide are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games. As a road favourite they have covered in 7 of the last 8. Recently they are 4-0 as a favourite and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Alabama has covered the number in 10 of their last 14 games against conference opponents. Coming off a SU win of 20 or more points they have covered 9 of the past 12.
Nevada Wolfpack -4 @ BYU Cougars
Play On: Nevada coming off a SU win of 20 or more points where they rushed for 200+ yards and threw for 450+ points laying small points on the road against a team coming off back to back SU and ATS losses.
System Rate 90% 18-2 L 20
Other notable trends: BYU is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs the WAC. They are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and 0-4 at the window after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. The Wolfpack are on a 5-0 ATS run after scoring 40 points in their previous game and 6-0 in their last 6 coming off a SU win.
Oregon Ducks -11.5 @ Arizona State Sun Devils
Play Against: Arizona State as a big home dog coming off a ATS win playing a undefeated team with a winning ATS record coming off a SU win of more than 20 points in 3 straight games.
System Rate 100% 9-0 L9
Other notable trends: Oregon is 6-1 at the window in the last 7 after accumulating more than 450 yards in their last game. They are 20-6 in their last 26 as a double digit road favourite. After an ATS win the Ducks are 9-2 against the number in their last 11. Coming off a SU win Oregon is 11-4 ATS in their last 15. Against the Pac-10 Oregon has covered 8 of the last 11. The Sun Devils are 2-9 following an ATS win.
today BB
Hot Forum Topics
