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All Forums | Penalty Box

Systems for week 9 (18-0, 19-0, 25-1, 26-1 and some bonus info)

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Partenopei
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Partenopei
Partenopei
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Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 109
Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 1:56 AM ET #1

Home favorites of less than 14 points, after home OT win as underdogs or favorites of 5 or less, are 0-18 ATS, if they scored 43 or less in last game, did not get outrushed by 200 or more, and are not on 5+ winning streak. Kansas City won two straight as divisional underdog and plays another divisional game next week. My play is MIAMI +4


> .650 teams on 3 or better win streak, are 0-19 ATS in non divisional games against teams losing two or more straight, as long as not favored by 8 or more and as long as their opponent was not a 8+ fave last week. San Francisco in East Coast time zone after spending two weeks in the Pacific time zone. My play is WASHINGTON +3.5


Winless teams, not winning 2+ straight ATS, after week 7 are 26-1 ATS against teams better than .500 but worst than .810. Atlanta has a big divisional game next week and Indianapolis will try to get that very first win like STL did last week. My play is INDIANAPOLIS +7

In weeks 9 to 16, road underdogs of more than 3 points are 25-1 ATS revenging same season week 1 loss if they were not a double digit dog in that week 1 loss. My play is DENVER +9.


Bonus info: 

4-3 teams are 49-82 ATS ! Kansas City, Atlanta, Oakland are some of those that are active this week.

3-4 home dogs after loss are 9-0 ATS against any team not winner of more than 21 last week. Washington is in that situation this week.

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Home favorites of less than 14 points, after home OT win as underdogs or favorites of 5 or less, are 0-18 ATS, if they scored 43 or less in last game, did not get outrushed by 200 or more, and are not on 5+ winning streak. Kansas City won two straight as divisional underdog and plays another divisional game next week. My play is MIAMI +4


> .650 teams on 3 or better win streak, are 0-19 ATS in non divisional games against teams losing two or more straight, as long as not favored by 8 or more and as long as their opponent was not a 8+ fave last week. San Francisco in East Coast time zone after spending two weeks in the Pacific time zone. My play is WASHINGTON +3.5


Winless teams, not winning 2+ straight ATS, after week 7 are 26-1 ATS against teams better than .500 but worst than .810. Atlanta has a big divisional game next week and Indianapolis will try to get that very first win like STL did last week. My play is INDIANAPOLIS +7

In weeks 9 to 16, road underdogs of more than 3 points are 25-1 ATS revenging same season week 1 loss if they were not a double digit dog in that week 1 loss. My play is DENVER +9.


Bonus info: 

4-3 teams are 49-82 ATS ! Kansas City, Atlanta, Oakland are some of those that are active this week.

3-4 home dogs after loss are 9-0 ATS against any team not winner of more than 21 last week. Washington is in that situation this week.

 
robbdeep1
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 2:16 AM ET #2

YOU ARE PRO MY FRIEND LOVE YOUR SYSTEM PICKS KEEP UP THE GOOD WORK !!
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YOU ARE PRO MY FRIEND LOVE YOUR SYSTEM PICKS KEEP UP THE GOOD WORK !!
 
Encore
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 2:44 AM ET #3

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bishop69
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 2:44 AM ET #4

love your systems! always money. keep it rolling.
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love your systems! always money. keep it rolling.
 
dgnerate
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 3:25 AM ET #5

nicenice...your system picks lines up with my leans.therefore?
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nicenice...your system picks lines up with my leans.therefore?
 
Fuhnatik
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 3:33 AM ET #6

Love your system, BOL! 
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Love your system, BOL! 
 
tooez
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 3:37 AM ET #7

Great picks as always

BOL this weekend Partenopei

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Great picks as always

BOL this weekend Partenopei

 
nfl_brosuf
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 3:42 AM ET #8

I am still waiting for a day when the system play pointing to a fav team and not a dog team. 

Guess I will not get them days.  LOL

Have faith in parte.  Long term winner


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I am still waiting for a day when the system play pointing to a fav team and not a dog team. 

Guess I will not get them days.  LOL

Have faith in parte.  Long term winner


 
jabbadon
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 3:51 AM ET #9

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apec
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 8:51 AM ET #10

[Quote: Originally Posted by Partenopei] Home favorites of less than 14 points, after home OT win as underdogs or favorites of 5 or less, are 0-18 ATS, if they scored 43 or less in last game, did not get outrushed by 200 or more, and are not on 5+ winning streak. Kansas City won two straight as divisional underdog and plays another divisional game next week. My play is MIAMI +4


I'm sorry, but this looks like complete nonsense.  I don't have too much merit around here as I'm not too much of a writer, more a reader, and I really do like system plays, but this system play just has too many variables for me.  

But I saw a lot of people saying they love this posters system picks, does he have many more?  And record for the year?

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[Quote: Originally Posted by Partenopei] Home favorites of less than 14 points, after home OT win as underdogs or favorites of 5 or less, are 0-18 ATS, if they scored 43 or less in last game, did not get outrushed by 200 or more, and are not on 5+ winning streak. Kansas City won two straight as divisional underdog and plays another divisional game next week. My play is MIAMI +4


I'm sorry, but this looks like complete nonsense.  I don't have too much merit around here as I'm not too much of a writer, more a reader, and I really do like system plays, but this system play just has too many variables for me.  

But I saw a lot of people saying they love this posters system picks, does he have many more?  And record for the year?

 
ncsutodd1193
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 9:07 AM ET #11

Quote Originally Posted by Partenopei:

Home favorites of less than 14 points, after home OT win as underdogs or favorites of 5 or less, are 0-18 ATS, if they scored 43 or less in last game, did not get outrushed by 200 or more, and are not on 5+ winning streak. Kansas City won two straight as divisional underdog and plays another divisional game next week. My play is MIAMI +4


> .650 teams on 3 or better win streak, are 0-19 ATS in non divisional games against teams losing two or more straight, as long as not favored by 8 or more and as long as their opponent was not a 8+ fave last week. San Francisco in East Coast time zone after spending two weeks in the Pacific time zone. My play is WASHINGTON +3.5


Winless teams, not winning 2+ straight ATS, after week 7 are 26-1 ATS against teams better than .500 but worst than .810. Atlanta has a big divisional game next week and Indianapolis will try to get that very first win like STL did last week. My play is INDIANAPOLIS +7

In weeks 9 to 16, road underdogs of more than 3 points are 25-1 ATS revenging same season week 1 loss if they were not a double digit dog in that week 1 loss. My play is DENVER +9.


Bonus info: 

4-3 teams are 49-82 ATS ! Kansas City, Atlanta, Oakland are some of those that are active this week.

3-4 home dogs after loss are 9-0 ATS against any team not winner of more than 21 last week. Washington is in that situation this week.



I like all 4 picks here, however...do you realized all this shit you just said has absolutely nothing to do with the games being played? 
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Quote Originally Posted by Partenopei:

Home favorites of less than 14 points, after home OT win as underdogs or favorites of 5 or less, are 0-18 ATS, if they scored 43 or less in last game, did not get outrushed by 200 or more, and are not on 5+ winning streak. Kansas City won two straight as divisional underdog and plays another divisional game next week. My play is MIAMI +4


> .650 teams on 3 or better win streak, are 0-19 ATS in non divisional games against teams losing two or more straight, as long as not favored by 8 or more and as long as their opponent was not a 8+ fave last week. San Francisco in East Coast time zone after spending two weeks in the Pacific time zone. My play is WASHINGTON +3.5


Winless teams, not winning 2+ straight ATS, after week 7 are 26-1 ATS against teams better than .500 but worst than .810. Atlanta has a big divisional game next week and Indianapolis will try to get that very first win like STL did last week. My play is INDIANAPOLIS +7

In weeks 9 to 16, road underdogs of more than 3 points are 25-1 ATS revenging same season week 1 loss if they were not a double digit dog in that week 1 loss. My play is DENVER +9.


Bonus info: 

4-3 teams are 49-82 ATS ! Kansas City, Atlanta, Oakland are some of those that are active this week.

3-4 home dogs after loss are 9-0 ATS against any team not winner of more than 21 last week. Washington is in that situation this week.



I like all 4 picks here, however...do you realized all this shit you just said has absolutely nothing to do with the games being played? 
 
NORCALPLAYA
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 9:49 AM ET #12

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ringneck82
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 10:45 AM ET #13

Quote Originally Posted by apec:

Quote Originally Posted by Partenopei:

Home favorites of less than 14 points, after home OT win as underdogs or favorites of 5 or less, are 0-18 ATS, if they scored 43 or less in last game, did not get outrushed by 200 or more, and are not on 5+ winning streak. Kansas City won two straight as divisional underdog and plays another divisional game next week. My play is MIAMI +4


I'm sorry, but this looks like complete nonsense.  I don't have too much merit around here as I'm not too much of a writer, more a reader, and I really do like system plays, but this system play just has too many variables for me.  

But I saw a lot of people saying they love this posters system picks, does he have many more?  And record for the year?

Apec, I was curious to see how partenopei has done throughout the year, and I came up with a record of 27-16.  I may have missed a couple games here and there as games are sometimes added in the middle of threads.  Also, some of those plays at the beginning of the year seemed to just be his personal picks instead of System Plays.  Honestly, I'm a fan of system plays and I think they hold value, but with that said, there is always stats and facts to manipulate to make a system look good.....but partenopei seems to be winning....so I say we wish him all the best of luck, get on some of his plays, and win some money.

 

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Quote Originally Posted by apec:

Quote Originally Posted by Partenopei:

Home favorites of less than 14 points, after home OT win as underdogs or favorites of 5 or less, are 0-18 ATS, if they scored 43 or less in last game, did not get outrushed by 200 or more, and are not on 5+ winning streak. Kansas City won two straight as divisional underdog and plays another divisional game next week. My play is MIAMI +4


I'm sorry, but this looks like complete nonsense.  I don't have too much merit around here as I'm not too much of a writer, more a reader, and I really do like system plays, but this system play just has too many variables for me.  

But I saw a lot of people saying they love this posters system picks, does he have many more?  And record for the year?

Apec, I was curious to see how partenopei has done throughout the year, and I came up with a record of 27-16.  I may have missed a couple games here and there as games are sometimes added in the middle of threads.  Also, some of those plays at the beginning of the year seemed to just be his personal picks instead of System Plays.  Honestly, I'm a fan of system plays and I think they hold value, but with that said, there is always stats and facts to manipulate to make a system look good.....but partenopei seems to be winning....so I say we wish him all the best of luck, get on some of his plays, and win some money.

 

 
mba3170
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 11:10 AM ET #14

GL this week. But, the Redkins are abysmal
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GL this week. But, the Redkins are abysmal
 
UnitedJuan
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 11:24 AM ET #15

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nghia1973
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 12:10 PM ET #16

Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

I am still waiting for a day when the system play pointing to a fav team and not a dog team. 

Guess I will not get them days.  LOL

Have faith in parte.  Long term winner




Yeah, I notice all the team your system picks are DOGS....Have the system ever have a FAV ever before?

BOL this week
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Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

I am still waiting for a day when the system play pointing to a fav team and not a dog team. 

Guess I will not get them days.  LOL

Have faith in parte.  Long term winner




Yeah, I notice all the team your system picks are DOGS....Have the system ever have a FAV ever before?

BOL this week
 
reaptherewards
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 12:47 PM ET #17

Why do you morons read this stuff if you are so negative? Don't you have anything else to do? There are lots of threads that I don't believe in. But once I make that decision, I don't waste time looking at them. You idiots have way to much time on your hands, must need to get a job.
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Why do you morons read this stuff if you are so negative? Don't you have anything else to do? There are lots of threads that I don't believe in. But once I make that decision, I don't waste time looking at them. You idiots have way to much time on your hands, must need to get a job.
 
Partenopei
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 1:08 PM ET #18

Short version:

Non divisional teams winning <.600, favored by more than 3 and less than 6 points are 3-18-1 ATS after at least 2 divisional games and before at least 1 divisional game. Same play, different angle: Miami +4

Pac.time zone teams after a home game, on the road at East time zone, in weeks 7 or later, not on 2+ losing streak, with ats streak anywhere from -1 to +6 are 0-26 ATS if they score <30 ppg, allow <29 ppg and the opponent allows <26 ppg. Same play, different angle: Washington +3.5


Non divisional favorites of -6.5 to -10, winning >.500 and <.600 are 5-23 ATS if they have a divisional game next on schedule. Same play, different angle: Indianapolis +7


Teams that lost ATS in weeks 2-16 by 31-38 pts and allowed 32 or more points in that game are 33-7-1 ATS in their next game, including 19-1-1 ATS if that ATS loss was at home. Same play, different angle: Denver +9
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Short version:

Non divisional teams winning <.600, favored by more than 3 and less than 6 points are 3-18-1 ATS after at least 2 divisional games and before at least 1 divisional game. Same play, different angle: Miami +4

Pac.time zone teams after a home game, on the road at East time zone, in weeks 7 or later, not on 2+ losing streak, with ats streak anywhere from -1 to +6 are 0-26 ATS if they score <30 ppg, allow <29 ppg and the opponent allows <26 ppg. Same play, different angle: Washington +3.5


Non divisional favorites of -6.5 to -10, winning >.500 and <.600 are 5-23 ATS if they have a divisional game next on schedule. Same play, different angle: Indianapolis +7


Teams that lost ATS in weeks 2-16 by 31-38 pts and allowed 32 or more points in that game are 33-7-1 ATS in their next game, including 19-1-1 ATS if that ATS loss was at home. Same play, different angle: Denver +9
 
Partenopei
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 1:10 PM ET #19

Quote Originally Posted by ncsutodd1193:



I like all 4 picks here, however...do you realized all this shit you just said has absolutely nothing to do with the games being played? 

 

This is getting ridicilous.

I dont see the point of sharing those any more.

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Quote Originally Posted by ncsutodd1193:



I like all 4 picks here, however...do you realized all this shit you just said has absolutely nothing to do with the games being played? 

 

This is getting ridicilous.

I dont see the point of sharing those any more.

 
dave7680
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 1:47 PM ET #20

Parenopei just Ignore the Haters ... it takes practice but once you master it , you won't notice them anymore.
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Parenopei just Ignore the Haters ... it takes practice but once you master it , you won't notice them anymore.
 
lonkat
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 1:49 PM ET #21

the point would be more people are on your side than not,people hate winners!

besides ask ncsutodd1193 to explain how the heck did he come up with the same picks as you did,cause it all points to pick the other side in 2 of those games...go figure!!!

washington and denver???? numbers say otherwise

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the point would be more people are on your side than not,people hate winners!

besides ask ncsutodd1193 to explain how the heck did he come up with the same picks as you did,cause it all points to pick the other side in 2 of those games...go figure!!!

washington and denver???? numbers say otherwise

 
xxMARTINIxx
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 1:51 PM ET #22

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lonkat
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 1:52 PM ET #23

Quote Originally Posted by nghia1973:



Yeah, I notice all the team your system picks are DOGS....Have the system ever have a FAV ever before?

BOL this week
it's a great move to play dogs...more money to be made if you play them right!   MONEY LINES
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Quote Originally Posted by nghia1973:



Yeah, I notice all the team your system picks are DOGS....Have the system ever have a FAV ever before?

BOL this week
it's a great move to play dogs...more money to be made if you play them right!   MONEY LINES
 
PrimeTimeBoys
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 2:00 PM ET #24

Im on all 4 of these games.........................
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Im on all 4 of these games.........................
 
 
x-tian-230k
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Posted: Nov. 4, 2011 - 2:04 PM ET #25

I'm on all of these games too.... BOL
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I'm on all of these games too.... BOL
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