Posted:
#251
Adding........
CM-650 ingame line
26 to win 4
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Putting my perfect record on the line today............
Posted:
#255
Quote Originally Posted by peepeedik09:
u going hard on this game...
what is that a combined 50 units, plus a parlay?
GL
u going hard on this game...
what is that a combined 50 units, plus a parlay?
GL
Just following the numbers.
Lets keep this thing rolling.
I am going to do a 3 or 4 team release together for Saturday before I leave Friday so that people can make up parlays if they want to tail.
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Posted:
#256
SOME PEOPLE DONT UNDERSTAND. If you have the bankroll you can do this. What's the main advantage the books have on you???? The line.... thats what makes betting on sports hard. It's that simple. All hes doing is eliminating the books advantage. I know the risk reward sucks but if your smart and DISCIPLINED it works.
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Posted:
#259
Quote Originally Posted by Hawk_You:
SOME PEOPLE DONT UNDERSTAND. If you have the bankroll you can do this. What's the main advantage the books have on you???? The line.... thats what makes betting on sports hard. It's that simple. All hes doing is eliminating the books advantage. I know the risk reward sucks but if your smart and DISCIPLINED it works.
I am confused why people think they donthave the bankroll for this.
If you have your unit at $100 you would be up over $13000. If your unit is $50 you would be up over $6500, and finally if your unit is only $10 you would be up over $1300.
It all relative.
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Posted:
#260
Quote Originally Posted by Professortrades:
Well if ur units are 100. And you bet 24 u on cmu tonight. thats 2400. That elimantes about 95% of people on covers from doing thisI am confused why people think they donthave the bankroll for this.
If you have your unit at $100 you would be up over $13000. If your unit is $50 you would be up over $6500, and finally if your unit is only $10 you would be up over $1300.
It all relative.
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Posted:
#261
Quote Originally Posted by Hawk_You:
Well if ur units are 100. And you bet 24 u on cmu tonight. thats 2400. That elimantes about 95% of people on covers from doing this
Well if ur units are 100. And you bet 24 u on cmu tonight. thats 2400. That elimantes about 95% of people on covers from doing this
First I would disagree with that assumption. I happen to know guys on here that play much more than that.
It really doesnt matter........... You can scale it back as far as you want....your unit could be $5 if you like.
Nevermind.................Im geting a headache trying to explain.
Back to the game
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Posted:
#263
Quote Originally Posted by Professortrades:
I said 95% not 100%
First I would disagree with that assumption. I happen to know guys on here that play much more than that.
It really doesnt matter........... You can scale it back as far as you want....your unit could be $5 if you like.
Nevermind.................Im geting a headache trying to explain.
Back to the game
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Posted:
#264
Quote Originally Posted by Professortrades:
AJ.... I would rather hammer an ingame line on the ML then to try to grab the game fresh for the second half.
I actually think the scoring is going to slow down a bit and CM will work the clock a bit IMO.
Thanks for a civil response. I agree.
Don't give a shit what people say about you, your posting WINNERS. Samurai Mike would love you!
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Posted:
#266
"Giving something back"
Thought I would take time to share a few of the things I look at while entering numbers into my formulas. As I look at these I am noticing that there are ways to implement them as ATS plays or for totals.
Random order here.
* Teams that control the TOP (time of possession) by 65% or more are more likely to win that not.
* Teams that win the TO (turnover battle) win at a 80% clip
* Teams that have a QB that passes at a completion rating of 60% or higher have a greater chance of winning
* Teams that hold opponenets to a 40% or lower 3rd down rating win more.
* Teams that pickup their own 3rd downs at 45% clip have the advantage
* Teams that have been favorites AND have covered their spreads along with winning straight up and have a 70% ATS record are far greater ML plays
* Teams that have been 500 or greater against non-conf foes and are 70% winners SU in their con. have a greater likelihood of winning straightup.
There are more but I justthought that I would like to share a couple.
For the guys that dont play ML's I have made some observations over the years.....
Games that score 80% of the total's points in the first half alone are more likely to go under in the second half especially if the book brings in the total anywhere close to half the original total. Reverse works as well....if there is only 20% of the total...look at the over. Basketball is notorious for this.
Home teams that are small favorites (-.5....-2.5) are more likely to lose ATS and SU. Simple rule figuring in that homefield is worth 3+. They are basically telling you that on a neutral field the other team would be favored.
If you donthave DonBestDBS2K.....GET IT....it is worth the $500 a month....Totals that open up and have a 3-6 point move in the first 24hours are 85% winners.
Just some things to think about.
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Posted:
#269
You are my man sir but I'm hoping to jump on some action that isn't in game! I hope you will make some picks for this weekend before the game starts. Alot of us don't have access to in game bets. Ohio State moneyline is the lock of the century but other than that, I'm not sure. I want to know what you think sir. I am following your moneyline picks!
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Posted:
#271
Quote Originally Posted by pujolsmvp2005:
Here are my 4 locks(3*), 4 Super Locks (5*) and my College FB top play of the day (10*) for this Saturday:
LOCKS SUPER LOCKS
Mizzou +2.5 Oregon St -10
Illinois -4 Georgia Tech -10
Texas -25.5 LSU -24.5
UCLA -18 UL Monroe -21
TOP PLAY OF THE WEEK..........BOISE -28!!!
*crescent wrench emoticon*
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Posted:
#272
Quote Originally Posted by allstarkc9:
Wow, I just stumbled upon this thread and skimmed through the good parts, lol. Seems to be a whole lot of animosity toward you, but I don't really understand it.
What you are doing is taking alot of the guess work out of sports betting and isnt that the point of betting to win. If I could sign up to win every game I played Id do it in a heartbeat.
That being said, not everyone can really afford to do what your doing, as it takes a pretty healthy bankroll to bet with the enormous odds that you are. But the point is to win money, and if you have money to invest, with little risk and after enough winners a pretty healthy reward, it seems like a pretty sound plan.
You seem to do pretty well for yourself so it seems like you have the bankroll to back it, and now that you have rattled off so many winners, a bad loss would not even kill you.
Nice strategy and good luck, keep winning.
hence the venom... most broke azzholes here want modern alchemy performed on their $100 bankrolls.
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