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    NBA & NCAA Season Long Hoops Chat - Hosted by The Peoples Champ, Featuring Expert BigD

    «First Previous 272829 ... 290291292 Next Last»
    JEG53
    ParlayBuster
    packersbackers
    BIGDTITLE
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    «First Previous 272829 ... 290291292 Next Last»
     
    JEG53
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2017 - 9:26 PM ET #651

    Quote Originally Posted by ParlayBuster:



    How in the hell could the book know the 2nd H would cover by half a point? Neither team scored in the last minute of the game once it covered by 24.

    It's like the book has a crystal ball to set the line that tight!



    The line for game was 43.5,the 23 was close to the FH bet I would guess,I did not have a line for it but took the 43 in covers contest.
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    Quote Originally Posted by ParlayBuster:



    How in the hell could the book know the 2nd H would cover by half a point? Neither team scored in the last minute of the game once it covered by 24.

    It's like the book has a crystal ball to set the line that tight!



    The line for game was 43.5,the 23 was close to the FH bet I would guess,I did not have a line for it but took the 43 in covers contest.
     
    ParlayBuster
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2017 - 9:37 PM ET #652

    So the FG was 43.5. Makes more sense now.

    But, the books seem to adapt fast with these super tight 2d Half lines.

    I just beat the hook on Rutgers +5.5. Came down to the last bucket.


    I thought the NBA was bad.
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    So the FG was 43.5. Makes more sense now.

    But, the books seem to adapt fast with these super tight 2d Half lines.

    I just beat the hook on Rutgers +5.5. Came down to the last bucket.


    I thought the NBA was bad.
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2017 - 10:48 PM ET #653

    Locked in:

    Georgetown to win championship 150-1 (quarter unit)...patrick ewing will be a great cinderella story come next march
    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Locked in:

    Georgetown to win championship 150-1 (quarter unit)...patrick ewing will be a great cinderella story come next march
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2017 - 10:59 PM ET #654

    Locked in:

    Santa Barb/San Fran Under 162.5 live ingame wager at the half...tied 41-41...original line is around 148.5....i tend to see alot of lower scoring 2nd halves when the first half goes well above the expected total like in this one...i cant see these 2 teams keeping up this scoring pace...they will need to hit another perfect offensive half to hit this number...hopefully both teams coaches are talking about more defensive effort during halftime and will make the appropriate adjustments...and the refs as well can leave their whistles behind in the lockerroom.
    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Locked in:

    Santa Barb/San Fran Under 162.5 live ingame wager at the half...tied 41-41...original line is around 148.5....i tend to see alot of lower scoring 2nd halves when the first half goes well above the expected total like in this one...i cant see these 2 teams keeping up this scoring pace...they will need to hit another perfect offensive half to hit this number...hopefully both teams coaches are talking about more defensive effort during halftime and will make the appropriate adjustments...and the refs as well can leave their whistles behind in the lockerroom.
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2017 - 11:07 PM ET #655

    Locked in:

    CS North +13.5 (half unit)...pure fade of this Cal team losing by epic magins to Chaminade...also a heat check type late night wager...ive missed out a few gimmes today which i was looking over but didnt play...got really involved with the Cavs Heat game with live wagering...kept smashing Heat + pts and the Under whatever throughout the last 3 minutes of the 2nd Q and first 3 minutes of the 3rd Q...made quite a nice shekkel collection in that game...gotta love those scripted 1st half blowout overs which almost always lead to the dog covering with the under hitting in the 2nd half.
    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Locked in:

    CS North +13.5 (half unit)...pure fade of this Cal team losing by epic magins to Chaminade...also a heat check type late night wager...ive missed out a few gimmes today which i was looking over but didnt play...got really involved with the Cavs Heat game with live wagering...kept smashing Heat + pts and the Under whatever throughout the last 3 minutes of the 2nd Q and first 3 minutes of the 3rd Q...made quite a nice shekkel collection in that game...gotta love those scripted 1st half blowout overs which almost always lead to the dog covering with the under hitting in the 2nd half.
     
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 12:11 AM ET #656

    The Nuggets might be on my no bet list from now on

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    The Nuggets might be on my no bet list from now on

     
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 12:17 AM ET #657

    I blame the idiot who said "lock of the night" is Denver in the mains.  Thats my story 
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    I blame the idiot who said "lock of the night" is Denver in the mains.  Thats my story 
     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 7:00 AM ET #658

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugh_Jorgan:

    I am cursed within this thread.

    0-2 on my posted wagers 
    Bet 2 games last night without posting them here and went 2-0.

    I will tempt the "Packers thread has cursed me" theory one more time ...

    Rutgers +4.5
    Ill +2.5
    Iowa +8.5

    If I lose more than 1 game, I will bid you fine gentleman a fond adieu 

    I knew it!
    This thread is cursed for me 
    I wonder if scal put some of that infamous Peoples Champ  voodoo on it???

    Regardless, I wish you boys a healthy and fruitful basketball season 
    bigreds daddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugh_Jorgan:

    I am cursed within this thread.

    0-2 on my posted wagers 
    Bet 2 games last night without posting them here and went 2-0.

    I will tempt the "Packers thread has cursed me" theory one more time ...

    Rutgers +4.5
    Ill +2.5
    Iowa +8.5

    If I lose more than 1 game, I will bid you fine gentleman a fond adieu 

    I knew it!
    This thread is cursed for me 
    I wonder if scal put some of that infamous Peoples Champ  voodoo on it???

    Regardless, I wish you boys a healthy and fruitful basketball season 
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 8:58 AM ET #659

    Locked in:

    Famila Schio +15.5 (vs Ekaterin Womens Euroleague)....too many points here...line is inflated because of name brand recognition...in the past years Ekat was constantly beating teams by 25+...they arent the same squad thus far...Schio is usually a solid squad.....8-12 pt range for Ekat is what i predict.
    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Locked in:

    Famila Schio +15.5 (vs Ekaterin Womens Euroleague)....too many points here...line is inflated because of name brand recognition...in the past years Ekat was constantly beating teams by 25+...they arent the same squad thus far...Schio is usually a solid squad.....8-12 pt range for Ekat is what i predict.
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 9:05 AM ET #660

    Schio should get out to a fast start and lead by 2-4 after the 1st Q, Ekat will roar back in the 2nd and likely lead by 3-6pts at the half, then Schio holds on for the full game cover....this script is very common in womens international hoops...lets see if it happens again.
    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Schio should get out to a fast start and lead by 2-4 after the 1st Q, Ekat will roar back in the 2nd and likely lead by 3-6pts at the half, then Schio holds on for the full game cover....this script is very common in womens international hoops...lets see if it happens again.
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 9:11 AM ET #661

    BigD...last night was just a minor speed bump...nice to avoid any major landmines on such a tough night...that Louisville ending stung for sure...oh well, Badlands on Brown wasnt good for me either...onto today....i have to make sure the main mushes out there dont feel any of my caps are the easiest games on the board...winning aint easy when you are the peoples champ and have the reputation of the scalabrine killer...people expect only the best now.
    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    BigD...last night was just a minor speed bump...nice to avoid any major landmines on such a tough night...that Louisville ending stung for sure...oh well, Badlands on Brown wasnt good for me either...onto today....i have to make sure the main mushes out there dont feel any of my caps are the easiest games on the board...winning aint easy when you are the peoples champ and have the reputation of the scalabrine killer...people expect only the best now.
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 9:41 AM ET #662

    The peoples eyeball focused on:

    Memphis +8.5
    Memphis 1st half (line not posted yet)
    Memphis 1st Q (line not posted yet)
    Memphis ML +290

    Classic spot where a team rallies together following a coach being fired their very first game post firing...wow did Memphis look brutal in their last game...thus in the crazy NBA world of betting, this is the "see thru the smoke" smart cap....also, Spurs recently should have lost at home against the lowly Mavs, so its not like they are playing like world beaters either...Memphis has a very good heads up history versus this team, and they usually give max effort....8.5 points are just way too much here.

    Dirk, what do you think? I know when the Spurs are expected to cover by margins like these, they lay eggs in atleast one full quarter and are left scrambling to get the win, let alone the cover.
    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    The peoples eyeball focused on:

    Memphis +8.5
    Memphis 1st half (line not posted yet)
    Memphis 1st Q (line not posted yet)
    Memphis ML +290

    Classic spot where a team rallies together following a coach being fired their very first game post firing...wow did Memphis look brutal in their last game...thus in the crazy NBA world of betting, this is the "see thru the smoke" smart cap....also, Spurs recently should have lost at home against the lowly Mavs, so its not like they are playing like world beaters either...Memphis has a very good heads up history versus this team, and they usually give max effort....8.5 points are just way too much here.

    Dirk, what do you think? I know when the Spurs are expected to cover by margins like these, they lay eggs in atleast one full quarter and are left scrambling to get the win, let alone the cover.
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 9:47 AM ET #663

    Hugh...the peoples proposal:

    Post your football picks here...you are a great capper in that sport and for you, we will make the exception...as long as you make sure the cookies and coffee are always fresh for your nightly Browns gathering 
    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Hugh...the peoples proposal:

    Post your football picks here...you are a great capper in that sport and for you, we will make the exception...as long as you make sure the cookies and coffee are always fresh for your nightly Browns gathering 
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 10:11 AM ET #664

    Eyeballing the following College hoops games...lots of good games today:

    Tennessee -9
    Michigan +9.5
    Arizona 1st half (not posted yet but should be around -14)
    UNLV -1
    Indiana +9
    Nevada -12.5

    I will look to narrow these down to only 3 plays at most...time to dig
    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Eyeballing the following College hoops games...lots of good games today:

    Tennessee -9
    Michigan +9.5
    Arizona 1st half (not posted yet but should be around -14)
    UNLV -1
    Indiana +9
    Nevada -12.5

    I will look to narrow these down to only 3 plays at most...time to dig
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 10:28 AM ET #665

    As crazy as this will appear upon first glance...Mayfield to win the heisman is only -1200 over at b365...i am actually contemplating putting 6k on it to win 500...is there anyone else here who wouldnt make this wager if you throw out the actual odds....and just look at and analyze the outright winner...how can anyone not named Baker Mayfield win this award?

    Call me square, however a winning wager is just that, as long as it wins....in all my 10 years here, i have never once posted anything like this, however with Xmas coming, and travelling expenses over winter break, this seems like a very safe bet.

    The peoples champ is very thick skinned, so feel free to call me insane or crazy just for even considering this, but if you do, then please tell me logically who else stands a better chance to win the heisman this year and why?
    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    As crazy as this will appear upon first glance...Mayfield to win the heisman is only -1200 over at b365...i am actually contemplating putting 6k on it to win 500...is there anyone else here who wouldnt make this wager if you throw out the actual odds....and just look at and analyze the outright winner...how can anyone not named Baker Mayfield win this award?

    Call me square, however a winning wager is just that, as long as it wins....in all my 10 years here, i have never once posted anything like this, however with Xmas coming, and travelling expenses over winter break, this seems like a very safe bet.

    The peoples champ is very thick skinned, so feel free to call me insane or crazy just for even considering this, but if you do, then please tell me logically who else stands a better chance to win the heisman this year and why?
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 10:35 AM ET #666

    Schio covers wire to wire...got a bit dicey in the last minute...but the refs lined up their last minute calls based on the oriiginal script...great way to start the day and rid that Louisville bitterness hangover  

    https://www.flashscore.ca/game/dU4gVXbs/#game-summary

    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Schio covers wire to wire...got a bit dicey in the last minute...but the refs lined up their last minute calls based on the oriiginal script...great way to start the day and rid that Louisville bitterness hangover  

    https://www.flashscore.ca/game/dU4gVXbs/#game-summary

     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 10:40 AM ET #667

    Eyeballing a live wager on Yesilgiresun come halftime...Galatasaray hovering around a 20pt lead as only a 7.5 pt home fav...these two teams are mediocre at best, and when one half goes tilted one way, the next half typically goes the other was and we get regression to the original line.

    https://www.flashscore.ca/game/vJNlVfy4/#game-summary
    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Eyeballing a live wager on Yesilgiresun come halftime...Galatasaray hovering around a 20pt lead as only a 7.5 pt home fav...these two teams are mediocre at best, and when one half goes tilted one way, the next half typically goes the other was and we get regression to the original line.

    https://www.flashscore.ca/game/vJNlVfy4/#game-summary
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 10:46 AM ET #668

    The Peoples Delusion:

    Strongly considering taking Wisconsin to win the title at 12-1....seems like the best value on the board bar none.

    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    The Peoples Delusion:

    Strongly considering taking Wisconsin to win the title at 12-1....seems like the best value on the board bar none.

     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 10:50 AM ET #669

    Locked in:

    Yesilgiresun +17.5 for the game, placed at halftime down 58-40....odds are telling me they do not expect Galatasaray to keep up the 1st half dominance for the entire game.
    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Locked in:

    Yesilgiresun +17.5 for the game, placed at halftime down 58-40....odds are telling me they do not expect Galatasaray to keep up the 1st half dominance for the entire game.
     
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 11:14 AM ET #670

    Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

    The peoples eyeball focused on:

    Memphis +8.5
    Memphis 1st half (line not posted yet)
    Memphis 1st Q (line not posted yet)
    Memphis ML +290

    Classic spot where a team rallies together following a coach being fired their very first game post firing...wow did Memphis look brutal in their last game...thus in the crazy NBA world of betting, this is the "see thru the smoke" smart cap....also, Spurs recently should have lost at home against the lowly Mavs, so its not like they are playing like world beaters either...Memphis has a very good heads up history versus this team, and they usually give max effort....8.5 points are just way too much here.

    Dirk, what do you think? I know when the Spurs are expected to cover by margins like these, they lay eggs in atleast one full quarter and are left scrambling to get the win, let alone the cover.

    PB,

    what you also get in this one is the "fired coach, everyone playing for their jobs angle" as well.  Gasol was quoted last game as saying " if I'm not playing in the 4th quarter than I'm not valued here". now the coach is gone I'm sure that won't be an issue and yes, the Grizzlies have some great history against the Spurs even beating them in the playoffs  in 2011. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

    The peoples eyeball focused on:

    Memphis +8.5
    Memphis 1st half (line not posted yet)
    Memphis 1st Q (line not posted yet)
    Memphis ML +290

    Classic spot where a team rallies together following a coach being fired their very first game post firing...wow did Memphis look brutal in their last game...thus in the crazy NBA world of betting, this is the "see thru the smoke" smart cap....also, Spurs recently should have lost at home against the lowly Mavs, so its not like they are playing like world beaters either...Memphis has a very good heads up history versus this team, and they usually give max effort....8.5 points are just way too much here.

    Dirk, what do you think? I know when the Spurs are expected to cover by margins like these, they lay eggs in atleast one full quarter and are left scrambling to get the win, let alone the cover.

    PB,

    what you also get in this one is the "fired coach, everyone playing for their jobs angle" as well.  Gasol was quoted last game as saying " if I'm not playing in the 4th quarter than I'm not valued here". now the coach is gone I'm sure that won't be an issue and yes, the Grizzlies have some great history against the Spurs even beating them in the playoffs  in 2011. 
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 11:16 AM ET #671

    Exactly my read as well...even Phx Suns stepped up in their first game after Watson was booted.
    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Exactly my read as well...even Phx Suns stepped up in their first game after Watson was booted.
     
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 11:17 AM ET #672

    Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

    As crazy as this will appear upon first glance...Mayfield to win the heisman is only -1200 over at b365...i am actually contemplating putting 6k on it to win 500...is there anyone else here who wouldnt make this wager if you throw out the actual odds....and just look at and analyze the outright winner...how can anyone not named Baker Mayfield win this award?

    Call me square, however a winning wager is just that, as long as it wins....in all my 10 years here, i have never once posted anything like this, however with Xmas coming, and travelling expenses over winter break, this seems like a very safe bet.

    The peoples champ is very thick skinned, so feel free to call me insane or crazy just for even considering this, but if you do, then please tell me logically who else stands a better chance to win the heisman this year and why?


    He will win it.  But, yes you are crazy for risking that much on a -1200 favorite.  I had Hillary at -600 and during the night had the Donald as a hedge at +1200 and didn't take it.   Haunts me to this day.
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    Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

    As crazy as this will appear upon first glance...Mayfield to win the heisman is only -1200 over at b365...i am actually contemplating putting 6k on it to win 500...is there anyone else here who wouldnt make this wager if you throw out the actual odds....and just look at and analyze the outright winner...how can anyone not named Baker Mayfield win this award?

    Call me square, however a winning wager is just that, as long as it wins....in all my 10 years here, i have never once posted anything like this, however with Xmas coming, and travelling expenses over winter break, this seems like a very safe bet.

    The peoples champ is very thick skinned, so feel free to call me insane or crazy just for even considering this, but if you do, then please tell me logically who else stands a better chance to win the heisman this year and why?


    He will win it.  But, yes you are crazy for risking that much on a -1200 favorite.  I had Hillary at -600 and during the night had the Donald as a hedge at +1200 and didn't take it.   Haunts me to this day.
     
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 11:38 AM ET #673

    Yesil didnt work out as expected...international hoops is a different beast with alot of bumpy roads  but with alot of +EV spots to more than make up for those bumps.
    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Yesil didnt work out as expected...international hoops is a different beast with alot of bumpy roads  but with alot of +EV spots to more than make up for those bumps.
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 11:44 AM ET #674

    BigD....only reason i am considering this Mayfield wager is because im really just using house money on it...the past several months have allowed me to truly press certain favorable wagers...last weeks Pittsburgh Steelers last leg winner allows me the buffer to make this wager.

    I feel you regarding Hillary/Donald...i dont wager on politics, but last years election was a once in a lifetime live television event where all the major networks were completely blind sided because their polling system was flawed....unbelievably Michael Moore and few others predicted Donalds win almost a full year in advance...but if they were wrong and Hillary ended up winning, no one would have blinked an eye.
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    BigD....only reason i am considering this Mayfield wager is because im really just using house money on it...the past several months have allowed me to truly press certain favorable wagers...last weeks Pittsburgh Steelers last leg winner allows me the buffer to make this wager.

    I feel you regarding Hillary/Donald...i dont wager on politics, but last years election was a once in a lifetime live television event where all the major networks were completely blind sided because their polling system was flawed....unbelievably Michael Moore and few others predicted Donalds win almost a full year in advance...but if they were wrong and Hillary ended up winning, no one would have blinked an eye.
     
     
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2017 - 11:45 AM ET #675

    was hoping for a lower UNC line than 9.5 tonight.  I expect a bounce back at home but not sure if they cover 10
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    was hoping for a lower UNC line than 9.5 tonight.  I expect a bounce back at home but not sure if they cover 10
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