Posted:
#5851
Tonight's NBA action 05/04/18
Golden State Warriors -3.5 @-110 1st Half
Westgate SuperBookLV app
2.2u
0
NBA & NCAA Season Long Hoops Chat - Hosted by The Peoples Champ, Featuring Expert BigD
Posted:
#5853
Locked in:
Celtics +9.5
Celtics ML +400...quarter unit
Will likely be on Boston 1stQ and 1stH too when lines come out.
My play here is based on instinct and eyeball test...oddsmakers want people to still feel this is the same 76ers team who beatup on Miami...why they continue to discredit what Boston has been able to accomplish is beyond me...betting a home fav and needing them to win by DD is simply never a long term profitable expectation...this line is whack jack, and its looking more and more like Boston vs Cleveland rematch...how bizarre is that?
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
0
...
Posted:
#5855
The Peoples Champ 
tip of the day:
Dont bet the Utah Houston game tonight....just let it play out as it shall and watch it for a proper read in game 4...the loser of game 3 should win game 4...this series is more and more feeling like that classic 7 game series where its tied 2-2, then each home team wins game 5 6 and 7....dont bother with spreads here as its literally impossible to predict pregame....Utah is not intimidated at all by Houston as they defend the 3 and the paint the best in the NBA...and thats exactly what Houston looks to do...i smell a Chris Paul choke coming up in this series, dont know how or when, but he will be exposed as a frauduelnt "elite" pg which the media wants to always call him...Harden is the man, and if he doesnt play at a Lebron level, Houston will be lucky to advance here...Guys like Gordon and Anderson cant be counted on, and theres just so much Capela can do...Jazz are live here folks, dont sleep on Coach Cokefield, his eyes and slick hair tells another story 
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
0
Posted:
#5856
Utah to win series right now is +475...as much as i want to bet this, i think Houston wins game 3 and Utah wins game 4...so i will wait until the series adjusted price comes out tomorrow and scoop up Utah likely around +800 for half a unit...if Utah wins tonight, oh well, i will look to take Houston ML in game 4 and reevaluate.
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
0
Posted:
#5857
Rockets series price is still -620 so the oddsmakers still think Houston wins this but I agree this probably goes 7. If Utah can somehow win tonight I will be making a MAX wager on the Rockets Series Price when its around -200 or so.
Rockets vs Dubs is just too good to pass up if you are the Association ( no, I'm not some conspiracy theorist moron)
0
Posted:
#5858
Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:
Rockets series price is still -620 so the oddsmakers still think Houston wins this but I agree this probably goes 7. If Utah can somehow win tonight I will be making a MAX wager on the Rockets Series Price when its around -200 or so. Rockets vs Dubs is just too good to pass up if you are the Association ( no, I'm not some conspiracy theorist moron)
Rockets series price is still -620 so the oddsmakers still think Houston wins this but I agree this probably goes 7. If Utah can somehow win tonight I will be making a MAX wager on the Rockets Series Price when its around -200 or so. Rockets vs Dubs is just too good to pass up if you are the Association ( no, I'm not some conspiracy theorist moron)
Yes game 7 always favors the home team, but theres a lingering stench of choke puke from Harden Paul and D'Antoni which just cant be overlooked.
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
0
Posted:
#5859
Keeping an eye on this one:
France Pro A
halftime score: Dijon 53 Champagne 28
Champagne was a very very slight home dog here (+1.5) and they just got pummeled in the first half. Will they fold up the tent and say "phuq it"? I don't know but I don't think is unreasonable to expect a better performance in the 2nd half.
Right now they are +21.5
0
Posted:
#5861
Dru...if you look back at all the +/- 1 pt lines for international hoops, wouldn't you agree there are an unusual amounts of 1st half pump jobs by one team over the other? impossible to predict which team is the pitcher and which one becomes the catcher, but I have seen these crazy 20+ leads at half in so many pickem style pregame lines...these are always stay aways for me at halftime because like you said, the team down says fuk it so often that their continue to take it up the rump in the 3rd Q, and only in the 4th Q is it ever worth a shot to back the team down by 30+, however at that point, it's still just a gamble even if the team winning puts in their entire bench.
however, getting 20 pts of +EV is usually an autobet no matter what the circustances are, so if you took them, it's the right cap, especially them being the home team...if the rolls were reversed and the road team was down the 20+ at half, fuggetaboutit
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
0
Posted:
#5864
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
Dru...if you look back at all the +/- 1 pt lines for international hoops, wouldn't you agree there are an unusual amounts of 1st half pump jobs by one team over the other? impossible to predict which team is the pitcher and which one becomes the catcher, but I have seen these crazy 20+ leads at half in so many pickem style pregame lines...these are always stay aways for me at halftime because like you said, the team down says fuk it so often that their continue to take it up the rump in the 3rd Q, and only in the 4th Q is it ever worth a shot to back the team down by 30+, however at that point, it's still just a gamble even if the team winning puts in their entire bench.
however, getting 20 pts of +EV is usually an autobet no matter what the circustances are, so if you took them, it's the right cap, especially them being the home team...if the rolls were reversed and the road team was down the 20+ at half, fuggetaboutit
I totally agree. Ive done well lately with the playoffs in Portugal. I guess that their format includes a winners bracket and a losers bracket.
In that first round it would always be a heavily favored home team leading by about 30 midway through the 4th quarter. At that point you could get the dog at +28.5 or whatever.
In every single game, the home team would take their foot off the gas and coast to a 17-20 point win. Every time. It was free money.
0
Posted:
#5866
Quote Originally Posted by DruDowns:
In that first round it would always be a heavily favored home team leading by about 30 midway through the 4th quarter. At that point you could get the dog at +28.5 or whatever.In every single game, the home team would take their foot off the gas and coast to a 17-20 point win. Every time. It was free money.
In that first round it would always be a heavily favored home team leading by about 30 midway through the 4th quarter. At that point you could get the dog at +28.5 or whatever.In every single game, the home team would take their foot off the gas and coast to a 17-20 point win. Every time. It was free money.
those 4th Q bets take balls, but hit at something well over 65% regardless the game, situation, team, league....total moneymaker in the longrun...its our little secret, ok? don't tell anybody 
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
0
I won't mention it again.
Posted:
#5869
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
The Peoples Champ tip of the day: Dont bet the Utah Houston game tonight....just let it play out as it shall and watch it for a proper read in game 4...the loser of game 3 should win game 4...this series is more and more feeling like that classic 7 game series where its tied 2-2, then each home team wins game 5 6 and 7....dont bother with spreads here as its literally impossible to predict pregame....Utah is not intimidated at all by Houston as they defend the 3 and the paint the best in the NBA...and thats exactly what Houston looks to do...i smell a Chris Paul choke coming up in this series, dont know how or when, but he will be exposed as a frauduelnt "elite" pg which the media wants to always call him...Harden is the man, and if he doesnt play at a Lebron level, Houston will be lucky to advance here...Guys like Gordon and Anderson cant be counted on, and theres just so much Capela can do...Jazz are live here folks, dont sleep on Coach Cokefield, his eyes and slick hair tells another story
The Peoples Champ tip of the day: Dont bet the Utah Houston game tonight....just let it play out as it shall and watch it for a proper read in game 4...the loser of game 3 should win game 4...this series is more and more feeling like that classic 7 game series where its tied 2-2, then each home team wins game 5 6 and 7....dont bother with spreads here as its literally impossible to predict pregame....Utah is not intimidated at all by Houston as they defend the 3 and the paint the best in the NBA...and thats exactly what Houston looks to do...i smell a Chris Paul choke coming up in this series, dont know how or when, but he will be exposed as a frauduelnt "elite" pg which the media wants to always call him...Harden is the man, and if he doesnt play at a Lebron level, Houston will be lucky to advance here...Guys like Gordon and Anderson cant be counted on, and theres just so much Capela can do...Jazz are live here folks, dont sleep on Coach Cokefield, his eyes and slick hair tells another story
Couldn't do it. Took the Jazz 1h. I think the Rockets are heartless front runners. Let's see whatvthey doo if Utah comes out hot and pops them in the mouth.
R.I.P. #94 MARSHAWN KNEELAND - DC4L
0
Posted:
#5870
Locked in:
Under 10.5 (+105) Yankees Indians...first road game for Cleve in a long time following an offensive explosion doubleheader yesterday against the StinkJays...rare mlb pick for me this early in the season...public smashed the over all day long so i like to side with the house on this one.
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
0
Posted:
#5871
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
Locked in:
Under 10.5 (+105) Yankees Indians...first road game for Cleve in a long time following an offensive explosion doubleheader yesterday against the StinkJays...rare mlb pick for me this early in the season...public smashed the over all day long so i like to side with the house on this one.
Your best case scenario... Tomlin gives up 5 in 1st, gets pulled and bullpen shuts them down
0
Hot Forum Topics
