Posted:
#5901
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
Locked in: Celtics to win series +100...5 unit wager. Based strictly on history, Celts have never lost a series up 2-0, and Philly has never won a series down 0-2...and im talking a very large sample size here Chuck made an excellent comment at halftime - Philly lost this game (and likely the series) during the last 5 mi of the 2nd Q just chucking up really bad quick 3s when they were up 21pts, and the failure of Philly coach to not call multiple timeouts during the Celts epic run to close out the half was inexcusable. I do have Philly to win the east at 33-1, so this is somewhat of a partial hedge here, however i think this series is over in 5 games...something just clicked with Bostons vets like Morris and Horford, and Rozier and Tatum seem too athletic and unguardable. Getting this series price is 100% a reflection of all the books liability on Philly futures people already have in pocket...this line is just a way for the books to offset their losses in case Philly does win the east by attractive odds on the Celts here to win the series....i just dont know how the public cant see this wager as a great opportunity...there is layers upon layers as to why this line is what it is...dont overthink it, its a great wager at even money up 2-0, with home court adv in the series, with the best ATS team in the league, with arguably the best coach in the league...Boston Pride is real and their home court dominance cannot be overlooked. Philly has major issues now that Coach Stevens has essentailly turned Simmons into a non-factor...relying on Reddick and Belinelli and Covington to keep making 3s is simply not a winning strategy as proven in the 1st 2 games here.
Locked in: Celtics to win series +100...5 unit wager. Based strictly on history, Celts have never lost a series up 2-0, and Philly has never won a series down 0-2...and im talking a very large sample size here Chuck made an excellent comment at halftime - Philly lost this game (and likely the series) during the last 5 mi of the 2nd Q just chucking up really bad quick 3s when they were up 21pts, and the failure of Philly coach to not call multiple timeouts during the Celts epic run to close out the half was inexcusable. I do have Philly to win the east at 33-1, so this is somewhat of a partial hedge here, however i think this series is over in 5 games...something just clicked with Bostons vets like Morris and Horford, and Rozier and Tatum seem too athletic and unguardable. Getting this series price is 100% a reflection of all the books liability on Philly futures people already have in pocket...this line is just a way for the books to offset their losses in case Philly does win the east by attractive odds on the Celts here to win the series....i just dont know how the public cant see this wager as a great opportunity...there is layers upon layers as to why this line is what it is...dont overthink it, its a great wager at even money up 2-0, with home court adv in the series, with the best ATS team in the league, with arguably the best coach in the league...Boston Pride is real and their home court dominance cannot be overlooked. Philly has major issues now that Coach Stevens has essentailly turned Simmons into a non-factor...relying on Reddick and Belinelli and Covington to keep making 3s is simply not a winning strategy as proven in the 1st 2 games here.
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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