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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    CD Newsletter Week 12

    «First Previous 345 ... 202122 Next Last»
    TheGutDecision
    Hugh_Jorgan
    lbcake
    undermysac
    trainwreck66
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 546
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    «First Previous 345 ... 202122 Next Last»
     
    TheGutDecision
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2021 - 10:18 PM ET #51

    @Hugh_Jorgan

    Thankyou, proof reading not my strong suit. But being a Canuk, alot of your "Provinces"seem the same to me.

    I will work on that.peace_5

     

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    @Hugh_Jorgan

    Thankyou, proof reading not my strong suit. But being a Canuk, alot of your "Provinces"seem the same to me.

    I will work on that.peace_5

     

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2021 - 10:41 PM ET #52

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Titans and Patriots game is a fun one to cap. Mike Vrabel is 2-0 vs Bill. How bad does Belichick want to beat his disciple? He's gotta be itching.  Both teams have not had a bye week yet. The Titans have had 3 OT games, the Pats 1. The Pats off of TNF, 3 days extra rest/planning.  The Pats have outscored their opponents 175-50(+125) during their 5 game win streak. It could easily be a 7 game win streak if it were not the OT loss to the Hughboys. That was a hell of a game.  The Titans had a 6 game win streak before the inevitable collapse to the Texicans(which many subscribers of the CD newsletter predicted). They outscored their opponents 183-121(+62). It could easily be a 9 game win streak if it weren't an OT loss to the Jets. Situationally, the Titans are on bye week 13. If things ain't going too well in Foxboro, I could see them packing it in. Especially if the Pats and Bill come at them hard all game. This game should have playoff seeding implications.  What do you guys think?

    This is buy low meets sell high peace_5

    bigreds daddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Titans and Patriots game is a fun one to cap. Mike Vrabel is 2-0 vs Bill. How bad does Belichick want to beat his disciple? He's gotta be itching.  Both teams have not had a bye week yet. The Titans have had 3 OT games, the Pats 1. The Pats off of TNF, 3 days extra rest/planning.  The Pats have outscored their opponents 175-50(+125) during their 5 game win streak. It could easily be a 7 game win streak if it were not the OT loss to the Hughboys. That was a hell of a game.  The Titans had a 6 game win streak before the inevitable collapse to the Texicans(which many subscribers of the CD newsletter predicted). They outscored their opponents 183-121(+62). It could easily be a 9 game win streak if it weren't an OT loss to the Jets. Situationally, the Titans are on bye week 13. If things ain't going too well in Foxboro, I could see them packing it in. Especially if the Pats and Bill come at them hard all game. This game should have playoff seeding implications.  What do you guys think?

    This is buy low meets sell high peace_5

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2021 - 10:44 PM ET #53

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    @trainwreck66  I would have had WFT open at 2' or 3

    This game should be 3 and I would have unloaded on WFT at that number.

    This line only being 1 scares the bejesus outta me peace_5

     

    bigreds daddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    @trainwreck66  I would have had WFT open at 2' or 3

    This game should be 3 and I would have unloaded on WFT at that number.

    This line only being 1 scares the bejesus outta me peace_5

     

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2021 - 10:46 PM ET #54

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    Credit where credit is due department, i do recall Hugh warning about the crowning of the Bills before season started. Now lay off Lamar he is a good guy no doubt in my mind.

    I believe that Lamar is a good person, not to mention a hell of a punt returner ... but it's not Lamar's balls that Ive been breaking peace_5

    bigreds daddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    Credit where credit is due department, i do recall Hugh warning about the crowning of the Bills before season started. Now lay off Lamar he is a good guy no doubt in my mind.

    I believe that Lamar is a good person, not to mention a hell of a punt returner ... but it's not Lamar's balls that Ive been breaking peace_5

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2021 - 10:49 PM ET #55

    If Vea plays for TB on Sunday, the Bucs are going to spank the Colts peace_5

    bigreds daddy
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    If Vea plays for TB on Sunday, the Bucs are going to spank the Colts peace_5

     
    lbcake
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 7:46 AM ET #56

    Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:

    lbcake, nice hit on the Chester/Exeter over. Here's one for you ...and you'll cringe...NHL Dallas Stars ML (108) over the Gretzky's.

    Haven't dabbled in hookey yet. Looks like you and Hughj made hay. You gotta post these before yishen.

    puck

    This collaboration reminds me of a movie. I'm gonna have to post a vid.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:

    lbcake, nice hit on the Chester/Exeter over. Here's one for you ...and you'll cringe...NHL Dallas Stars ML (108) over the Gretzky's.

    Haven't dabbled in hookey yet. Looks like you and Hughj made hay. You gotta post these before yishen.

    puck

    This collaboration reminds me of a movie. I'm gonna have to post a vid.

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 7:54 AM ET #57

    Kirk Cousins has 21 tds and 2 int's.

    Hugh, how many int worthy throws?

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    Kirk Cousins has 21 tds and 2 int's.

    Hugh, how many int worthy throws?

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 7:58 AM ET #58

    @Hugh_Jorgan

     "This is buy low meets sell high"

    I believe that you were on Atlanta with the same premise no?

    Just saying. 

    The Pats feel like a runaway freight train to me, at the moment. No real big injuries. They are in pretty good shape for not having a bye yet.

     

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    @Hugh_Jorgan

     "This is buy low meets sell high"

    I believe that you were on Atlanta with the same premise no?

    Just saying. 

    The Pats feel like a runaway freight train to me, at the moment. No real big injuries. They are in pretty good shape for not having a bye yet.

     

     
    trainwreck66
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 7:59 AM ET #59

    So far 

     

    Lions  +3.5  -113

    Cowboys  -7  -105

    Steelers  +5.5  -112

    WFT  -109

     

    clover

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    So far 

     

    Lions  +3.5  -113

    Cowboys  -7  -105

    Steelers  +5.5  -112

    WFT  -109

     

    clover

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 8:06 AM ET #60

    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:

    So far    Lions  +3.5  -113 Cowboys  -7  -105 Steelers  +5.5  -112 WFT  -109

    Good Luck peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:

    So far    Lions  +3.5  -113 Cowboys  -7  -105 Steelers  +5.5  -112 WFT  -109

    Good Luck peace_5

     
    trainwreck66
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 8:08 AM ET #61

     

    So far 

     

    Lions  +3.5  -113

    Cowboys  -7  -105

    Steelers  +5.5  -112

    WFT  -109

    Vikings  +3.5  -113

     

    clover

     
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    So far 

     

    Lions  +3.5  -113

    Cowboys  -7  -105

    Steelers  +5.5  -112

    WFT  -109

    Vikings  +3.5  -113

     

    clover

     
     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 8:08 AM ET #62

    Quote Originally Posted by lbcake:

    This collaboration reminds me of a movie. I'm gonna have to post a vid.

    The Gang Who Couldn't Shoot Straight?

    Dumb And Dumber?

    bigreds daddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by lbcake:

    This collaboration reminds me of a movie. I'm gonna have to post a vid.

    The Gang Who Couldn't Shoot Straight?

    Dumb And Dumber?

     
    trainwreck66
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 8:09 AM ET #63

     

    -459

     

    So far 

     

    Lions  +3.5  -113

    Cowboys  -7  -105

    Steelers  +5.5  -112

    WFT  -109

    Vikings  +3.5  -113

     

    clover

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    -459

     

    So far 

     

    Lions  +3.5  -113

    Cowboys  -7  -105

    Steelers  +5.5  -112

    WFT  -109

    Vikings  +3.5  -113

     

    clover

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 8:27 AM ET #64

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Kirk Cousins has 21 tds and 2 int's. Hugh, how many int worthy throws?

    Those stats are on PFF, which I'm not a subscriber. Someone on Twitter had posted the #'s, and now I can't find it.

    As for "buy low sell high" ... As I've mentioned before, there is no method or theory which is 100%, nor 65% for that matter. The problem with the 'going against the grain' picks is that when they lose, those losses stick with a gambler much longer because that gambler gets into the emotional mindset of 'WTF was I thinking?!?!?!'. Those memories tend to make gamblers leery of feeling that emotional pain again. Whereas losing a game which is picked on stats alone (i.e. betting favorites) does not come with emotional pain because the gambler can tell himself 'well, I was on the right side, it was just bad luck' (similar to bigred with the Shrimp)

    I've been high on NE and Mac Jones since before week 1, and I'm not sold on Tenn being a team who can go to the SB, but I will also default to the 'buy low sell high' theory. It makes money over the course of time. Recency bias is a gamblers worst enemy, I try to be on the other side of it peace_5

    bigreds daddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Kirk Cousins has 21 tds and 2 int's. Hugh, how many int worthy throws?

    Those stats are on PFF, which I'm not a subscriber. Someone on Twitter had posted the #'s, and now I can't find it.

    As for "buy low sell high" ... As I've mentioned before, there is no method or theory which is 100%, nor 65% for that matter. The problem with the 'going against the grain' picks is that when they lose, those losses stick with a gambler much longer because that gambler gets into the emotional mindset of 'WTF was I thinking?!?!?!'. Those memories tend to make gamblers leery of feeling that emotional pain again. Whereas losing a game which is picked on stats alone (i.e. betting favorites) does not come with emotional pain because the gambler can tell himself 'well, I was on the right side, it was just bad luck' (similar to bigred with the Shrimp)

    I've been high on NE and Mac Jones since before week 1, and I'm not sold on Tenn being a team who can go to the SB, but I will also default to the 'buy low sell high' theory. It makes money over the course of time. Recency bias is a gamblers worst enemy, I try to be on the other side of it peace_5

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 8:28 AM ET #65

    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:

    -459   So far    Lions  +3.5  -113 Cowboys  -7  -105 Steelers  +5.5  -112 WFT  -109 Vikings  +3.5  -113

    Good luck my Canadian brother peace_5

    bigreds daddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:

    -459   So far    Lions  +3.5  -113 Cowboys  -7  -105 Steelers  +5.5  -112 WFT  -109 Vikings  +3.5  -113

    Good luck my Canadian brother peace_5

     
    lbcake
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 9:03 AM ET #66

    English Chump   Barnsley v Peterborough   2 45 Eastern time

          Barnsley -1   (2.38 Pinny)

    Not going crazy on this one. (70%  stake)

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    English Chump   Barnsley v Peterborough   2 45 Eastern time

          Barnsley -1   (2.38 Pinny)

    Not going crazy on this one. (70%  stake)

     
    lbcake
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 9:05 AM ET #67

    Correction - Blackburn v Peterborough

    Had Betty on my mind.

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    Correction - Blackburn v Peterborough

    Had Betty on my mind.

     
    lbcake
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 9:07 AM ET #68

    Blackburn -1        

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    Blackburn -1        

     
    lbcake
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 9:24 AM ET #69

    This was done in '70 (I think) so this might be a futile exercise. This is still watchable IMO. Great cast with Clint leading the way.

    Hughj has to be Kelly (Clint) and  Getty, Big Joe (Telly). As for the rest, up for interpretation. This ragtag unit reminds me of the Box. 

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    This was done in '70 (I think) so this might be a futile exercise. This is still watchable IMO. Great cast with Clint leading the way.

    Hughj has to be Kelly (Clint) and  Getty, Big Joe (Telly). As for the rest, up for interpretation. This ragtag unit reminds me of the Box. 

     
    trainwreck66
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 9:36 AM ET #70

    I would Imagine that we were the group of people that would watch a game together wearing the jerseys of football players that were murderers 

     

    Cant upload the picture but it was pretty hilarious peace_5

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    I would Imagine that we were the group of people that would watch a game together wearing the jerseys of football players that were murderers 

     

    Cant upload the picture but it was pretty hilarious peace_5

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 10:42 AM ET #71

    @lbcake

    Great movie! I didn't recall Don Rickles being in the movie.

    May have to watch this one again soon peace_5

    bigreds daddy
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    @lbcake

    Great movie! I didn't recall Don Rickles being in the movie.

    May have to watch this one again soon peace_5

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 10:43 AM ET #72

    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:

    I would Imagine that we were the group of people that would watch a game together wearing the jerseys of football players that were murderers   

    So you're saying we'd all be wearing jerseys of former Shrimp players? peace_5

    bigreds daddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:

    I would Imagine that we were the group of people that would watch a game together wearing the jerseys of football players that were murderers   

    So you're saying we'd all be wearing jerseys of former Shrimp players? peace_5

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 10:54 AM ET #73

    So far ...

    Chi -3

    Dal -6.5 (20), -7 (I am 6-1 on my large Dal bets. This is another one)

    Ten +7 (15), ML

    NYJ +3, ML

    TB -3

    Car -2 (I HATE betting on Cam)

    Cin -4

    SF -3

    Rams P

    WFT -1 (betting into this questionable line)

    peace_5

     

    bigreds daddy
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    So far ...

    Chi -3

    Dal -6.5 (20), -7 (I am 6-1 on my large Dal bets. This is another one)

    Ten +7 (15), ML

    NYJ +3, ML

    TB -3

    Car -2 (I HATE betting on Cam)

    Cin -4

    SF -3

    Rams P

    WFT -1 (betting into this questionable line)

    peace_5

     

     
    lbcake
    lbcake
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 12:32 PM ET #74

    @Hugh_Jorgan

     Definitely SF -3, and I got Rams +1.

     

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    @Hugh_Jorgan

     Definitely SF -3, and I got Rams +1.

     

     
     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2021 - 1:25 PM ET #75

    @lbcake

     peace_5

    bigreds daddy
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    @lbcake

     peace_5

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