Saturdays Playoff Thoughts

   HABS VS HURRICANES game 2, as of Saturday morning, odds have been dropping on Carolina and now sit @ -215. I guess people think Carolina comes out strong, and bounces back given the teams strong home record. I have some serious concerns about Carolina and this line..My biggest issue is the level of competition Carolina has faced the first 2 rounds, and the delay getting the 3rd round started. Carolina rested for 11 days and looked a step behind Montreal in game 1, they also had a cupcake schedule the first 2 rounds, with 4 game sweeps in both series.. Now reality hits hard in round 3, the Hurricanes face a team that has faced a lot of adversity and won two series with game 7 wins. They have also beaten 2 of the top 3 teams in the league on their road to the conference finals. The Habs have beaten the 1 and 3 seeds in the conference and have little fear of Carolina who they went 4-0 against in the regular season. Montreal has adjusted to their competition and their goalie is likely the hottest in the playoffs. Anderson has not shown me anything to prove he is on par with Montreal's Dubes who has been sensational in net. Habs have been  excellent on the road during the regular season and playoffs going 7-2 + 24-9-8. Love the Habs in this spot and hope they can keep things tight in the first period, as I expect Carolina to come out strong. Can't pass on this price, Habs look too strong to me, and Carolina will need to advance their game quickly to stay in this series, I will gladly take some action on the team playing better right now at a nice overlay price of + 175 on Montreal. 

METS VS MARLINS – WHAT ARE THE BOOKMAKERS HIDING FROM YOU?

The Mets lost 2:1 on Friday despite a home run from Soto. The Marlins have Meyer – 4-0, 2.85 ERA, undefeated this season. The statistics are close, but the Mets have been playing better baseball over their last 10 games (6-4 vs 4-6), and their bullpen ranks second in the league in May (2.62 ERA).

But what’s happening off the field changes everything.

Hacker "Oracle" broke into FanDuel’s servers. The leaked data shows that over 80% of professional bets on one of the favorites came from accounts that have been hitting at a 75% success rate in May (7 of 8 picks). Total value: $15 million.

Freddy Peralta’s agent revealed that the Mets are hiding a back injury to their starter. Peralta is receiving cortisone shots just to be able to pitch, but he reportedly cannot go beyond 75-80 pitches. The Mets have a contingency plan, but will it be enough?

A former Marlins employee revealed that a secret meeting took place in Miami with representatives of the Taiwanese consortium TSSG. The consortium allegedly placed $20 million on one of the rivals to launder money and gain an advantage over Intel in Pentagon negotiations. In exchange for losing, the Marlins are set to receive $100 million in investment.

Three sources. Tens of millions of dollars. One clear direction.

Full details are on my website:

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