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Hedging advice appreciated for tonights game gents

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Posted: #1

Hey everyone, yesterday I locked in a parlay as follows:

Penguins to win game 1 AND the series

Spurs over Warriors

Blackhawks to win game 1 AND the series

Total payout of +270 for a pretty healthy bet considering my bankroll.  I'm wondering if it's too early for me to hedge my bet in the way of Detroit tonight, considering 1- Chicago can still win the game and lose the series and 2- Penguins can still lose the series (although unlikely)

Thanks in advance guys.

 
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Posted: #2

let it ride still early

I like hawks in game 1 and the series

Pens should win the series

I think you are in good shape

 
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Posted: #3
Ridiculously too early. You essentially need 5 outcomes to happen to win (with 2 in each series) and so far you only have two of them. The only way I would even CONSIDER hedging is if you knock out a series and you have the last series remaining. Until that happens, you shouldn't be hedging. 
 
Legend
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Posted: #4
Just bet a little on the Wings +1.5 and you can win both
 
MVP
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Just bet a little on the Wings +1.5 and you can win both

Maybe if the Hawks win game 1, certainly not before. 
 
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Posted: #6
i was going to hedge but decided against it and my team won 5-0.
i just about clicked on washington for my hedge though...as they went down a goal and were +190

instead i used it for live play on leafs that night and won 300.
 
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Posted: #7

Thanks all

I'll ride it out tonight then see what odds I can get with each individual series if Chicago wins tonight.  If the Hawks do win tonight, I'm guessing I can get somewhere in the +350-+400 range in both series, and throw a small wager down on both.

 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by duke8628:

Thanks all

I'll ride it out tonight then see what odds I can get with each individual series if Chicago wins tonight.  If the Hawks do win tonight, I'm guessing I can get somewhere in the +350-+400 range in both series, and throw a small wager down on both.


Probably the best way to go. Just curious, what were the prices on those "win game 1 and series" props?
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by rangerz2478:


Probably the best way to go. Just curious, what were the prices on those "win game 1 and series" props?

Both props were in the -135 to -140 range.

Obviously better odds if you were allowed to parlay them separate, but can't do that at my book.

 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by duke8628:

Both props were in the -135 to -140 range.

Obviously better odds if you were allowed to parlay them separate, but can't do that at my book.


Yea true value for each prop is probably in the -110 range but those aren't AWFUL. Figured they'd offer a ridiculous -170 or something.

G.
 
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Posted: #11
If you're going to be doing crazy parlays...let it ride AT LEAST till the last leg!

 
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Posted: #12
So the Pens have a 70-75% chance of winning the series, Spurs are in. But if the Hawks lose tonight your tickets toast right? Ifn I read that right, I'd buy $50-60 worth of Wing stock SU ML. Detroit is not to be trusted and you can always nip&tuk your investment back later in the series. If I read that right...I'd probably let it ride if BaBCOCKS wasn't involved somehow.... GL man, great start....
 
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Posted: #13
Too early to hedge and you are right where you wanted to be. Don't get cold feet now.
 
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Posted: #14
thanks to those who talked me out of hedging last night.  You were right- wayyyy too early.  I'm now sitting in fantastic shape, and probably won't think about hedging unless 1 of the series gets tied up at some point.
 
Legend
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Posted: #15
An example of how covers actually helps.  Sound advice here and now you are in great shape. 

In general, hedging isn't a good idea unless something has changed. It's a shame when people get through a certain amount of risk and then give away profit just to guarantee winning something.  

You're over the tough parts IMO....no need to waiver unless something changes.  GL  


 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by HutchEmAll:

An example of how covers actually helps.  Sound advice here and now you are in great shape. 

In general, hedging isn't a good idea unless something has changed. It's a shame when people get through a certain amount of risk and then give away profit just to guarantee winning something.  

You're over the tough parts IMO....no need to waiver unless something changes.  GL  


 
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Posted: #17

Well it's been a wild ride so far, but I think it's time to hedge.  I threw down a minor wager on the wings for game 6, but I think now is the time to throw a little more on game 7 at +190.

Lets go Hawks!

 
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Posted: #18
i took the hawks to win the west at +155 before the det series, thinking they would have no prob getting to the conf finals.  down 3-1, i increased that wager at +500.  i already hedged a bit on det ml on game 6.  5dimes has the det ml +190 and pl +1.5 at -160.  laying 160 is not too bad considering i could hit the middle if the hawks win by 1 goal.  future bet still alive and the pl cashes.  however, +190 is a big number.  maybe i will split it on both.  they have overtime yes at +330.  that looks nice.
 
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Posted: #19
killed it!  hedged my chi to win the west future with a big det +1.5 -160 and overtime yes +330.  perfect result, chi won in overtime.  hit it 3 ways!!!
 
 
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