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    All Forums | NHL Betting Forum

    4-23-15 Playoff Hockey thread, picks and a whole lot more

    Lippsman
    UnderDogs1979
    rabbitplus
    ATSLurker
    Jeeves
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 1203
    Posts: 21
     
    Lippsman
    Lippsman
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    Posts: 87445
    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 9:32 AM ET #1

    The Ducks close things out and the Sens live to play another day.

    The Hawks and Flames can close things out tonight.  So what does history tell us about teams trying to close out the series in game 5 on the road. It's not very pretty at all. The road team in this case has only around a 43% winning percentage.  The preliminary round in a very short sample size is just 30%. 

    Here is why there is such a short sample size and yes pour yourself a tall beverage and read away.

    All series were best-of-seven with home ice rotating on a 2-2-1-1-1 basis, with the exception of matchups between Central and Pacific Division teams. These matchups were played on a 2-3-2 basis to reduce travel. In a 2-3-2 series, the team with the most points could choose to start the series at home or on the road. The Eastern Conference champion faced the Western Conference champion in the Cup Final.

    1994-95 - Same as 1993-94, except that in first, second or third-round playoff series involving Central and Pacific Division teams, the team with the better record had the choice of using either a 2-3-2 or a 2-2-1-1-1 format. When a 2-3-2 format was selected, the higher-ranked team also had the choice of playing games 1, 2, 6 and 7 at home or playing games 3, 4 and 5 at home. The format for the Stanley Cup Final remained 2-2-1-1-1.


    Now it's all 2-2-1-1-1


    Tonight it's NBCS and CNBC

    Culls17 2-0 (15-3 run +13.15)
    2LEGIT2QUITU 2-0 (98-53 run)
    LuckySeven27 2-0 (12-3 run, +9.85)
    CollectNOW 1-0 (170-119 run)
    MikeyAces 1-0 (6-2 run, +3.80)
    rabbitplus 1-0 (7-5 run +2.8)
    sportschat 1-0

    Crazy_Train 3-1 (48-34 run +10.63)
    invite2insight 3-1 (31-16 run +15.25 units)
    tone79 1-1 (16-12 run +3.50)
    Chaka26 1-2 (25-28 run +3.58)
    mags4444 0-1 (+1.53)
    GASportsDoc 0-1 (47-27 run)
    vicb 0-1 (20-17 run +7.91)
    UnderDogs1979 0-2 (24-29 run, +26.22)

    Did not make picks
    RayRayK 0-1 (60-36 run, +7.35 units)
    BooBunny 0-1 (17-11 run, +7.42 units)
    shimmersun 1-0 (+1.25)
    ATSLurker 4-2 (36-23 run, +11.40)

    Lippsman exempt list

    VANBUCK 3-1 (Hit 3 parlays, +13.36)

    Tampa Bay at Detroit 7:00 pm NBCS
    N.Y. Islanders at Washington 7:00 pm CNBC
    Chicago at Nashville 9:30 pm NBCS CSNC
    Calgary at Vancouver 10:00 pm CNBC
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    The Ducks close things out and the Sens live to play another day.

    The Hawks and Flames can close things out tonight.  So what does history tell us about teams trying to close out the series in game 5 on the road. It's not very pretty at all. The road team in this case has only around a 43% winning percentage.  The preliminary round in a very short sample size is just 30%. 

    Here is why there is such a short sample size and yes pour yourself a tall beverage and read away.

    All series were best-of-seven with home ice rotating on a 2-2-1-1-1 basis, with the exception of matchups between Central and Pacific Division teams. These matchups were played on a 2-3-2 basis to reduce travel. In a 2-3-2 series, the team with the most points could choose to start the series at home or on the road. The Eastern Conference champion faced the Western Conference champion in the Cup Final.

    1994-95 - Same as 1993-94, except that in first, second or third-round playoff series involving Central and Pacific Division teams, the team with the better record had the choice of using either a 2-3-2 or a 2-2-1-1-1 format. When a 2-3-2 format was selected, the higher-ranked team also had the choice of playing games 1, 2, 6 and 7 at home or playing games 3, 4 and 5 at home. The format for the Stanley Cup Final remained 2-2-1-1-1.


    Now it's all 2-2-1-1-1


    Tonight it's NBCS and CNBC

    Culls17 2-0 (15-3 run +13.15)
    2LEGIT2QUITU 2-0 (98-53 run)
    LuckySeven27 2-0 (12-3 run, +9.85)
    CollectNOW 1-0 (170-119 run)
    MikeyAces 1-0 (6-2 run, +3.80)
    rabbitplus 1-0 (7-5 run +2.8)
    sportschat 1-0

    Crazy_Train 3-1 (48-34 run +10.63)
    invite2insight 3-1 (31-16 run +15.25 units)
    tone79 1-1 (16-12 run +3.50)
    Chaka26 1-2 (25-28 run +3.58)
    mags4444 0-1 (+1.53)
    GASportsDoc 0-1 (47-27 run)
    vicb 0-1 (20-17 run +7.91)
    UnderDogs1979 0-2 (24-29 run, +26.22)

    Did not make picks
    RayRayK 0-1 (60-36 run, +7.35 units)
    BooBunny 0-1 (17-11 run, +7.42 units)
    shimmersun 1-0 (+1.25)
    ATSLurker 4-2 (36-23 run, +11.40)

    Lippsman exempt list

    VANBUCK 3-1 (Hit 3 parlays, +13.36)

    Tampa Bay at Detroit 7:00 pm NBCS
    N.Y. Islanders at Washington 7:00 pm CNBC
    Chicago at Nashville 9:30 pm NBCS CSNC
    Calgary at Vancouver 10:00 pm CNBC
     
    UnderDogs1979
    UnderDogs1979
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    Posts: 4491
    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 12:16 PM ET #2

    Lightning ML -101
    Lightning/Red Wings DRAW +285
    Flames ML +133
    Flames/Canucks DRAW +277
    Lightning/Red Wings & Flames/Canucks DRAW Parlay +1351




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    Lightning ML -101
    Lightning/Red Wings DRAW +285
    Flames ML +133
    Flames/Canucks DRAW +277
    Lightning/Red Wings & Flames/Canucks DRAW Parlay +1351




     
    rabbitplus
    rabbitplus
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    Posts: 6008
    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 2:43 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by rabbitplus:

    Flames win
    Flames over 5,5
    Add
    Isles win
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    Quote Originally Posted by rabbitplus:

    Flames win
    Flames over 5,5
    Add
    Isles win
     
    ATSLurker
    ATSLurker
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    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 378
    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 3:45 PM ET #4

    Blackhawks ML (closing this series out)
    Flamers ML (same thing o ntop)

    1st period OVER -1.5 bhawks/preds
    1st period OVER -1.5 flames/canucks

    Isles/Caps UNDER 5
    Bhawks/Preds OVER 5
    Flames/Canucks UNDER 5

    BOL team!!


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    Blackhawks ML (closing this series out)
    Flamers ML (same thing o ntop)

    1st period OVER -1.5 bhawks/preds
    1st period OVER -1.5 flames/canucks

    Isles/Caps UNDER 5
    Bhawks/Preds OVER 5
    Flames/Canucks UNDER 5

    BOL team!!


     
    Jeeves
    Jeeves
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    Posts: 14718
    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 3:51 PM ET #5

    Islanders ML

    Cheers 
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    Islanders ML

    Cheers 
     
    Culls17
    Culls17
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    Posts: 1170
    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 4:24 PM ET #6

    Wash ML
     
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    Wash ML
     
     
    invite2insight
    invite2insight
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    Posts: 522
    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 4:55 PM ET #7

    Away team goals +.5 @+105
    GL everyone
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    Away team goals +.5 @+105
    GL everyone
     
    sportschat
    sportschat
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    Posts: 16510
    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 5:13 PM ET #8

    Lightning +100 
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    Lightning +100 
     
    LuckySeven27
    LuckySeven27
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    Posts: 176
    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 5:52 PM ET #9

    Detroit Red Wings -110
    Washington Capitals -135
    Chicago Blackhawks +100
    Calgary Flames +135

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    Detroit Red Wings -110
    Washington Capitals -135
    Chicago Blackhawks +100
    Calgary Flames +135

     
    Crazy_Train
    Crazy_Train
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 6:24 PM ET #10

    Caps -130

     

    Be the Hammer Not the Nail
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    Caps -130

     

     
    MikeyAces
    MikeyAces
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 6:44 PM ET #11

    Canucks 

    GL Lipps and ALl 
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    Canucks 

    GL Lipps and ALl 
     
    tone79
    tone79
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    Posts: 38477
    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 6:58 PM ET #12

    Det -110
    Wsh under 5.5
    Chi -110 and over 5.5
    Van over 5.5
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    Det -110
    Wsh under 5.5
    Chi -110 and over 5.5
    Van over 5.5
     
    Chaka26
    Chaka26
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    Posts: 445
    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 7:09 PM ET #13

    Chaka is so cold hes literally 98% frozen but today is a new day

    Det o2.5 -130. 1.3 to win 1
    Parlay det & van O2.5  .5 to win 1

    4tm parlay.  .5u to win 10u
    Det-1 +173
    Caps -1 +140
    Nash -120
    Van -1 +112

    And 1 u singles
    Det -110
    Caps -1+140
    Nash -120
    Van -1 + 112
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    Chaka is so cold hes literally 98% frozen but today is a new day

    Det o2.5 -130. 1.3 to win 1
    Parlay det & van O2.5  .5 to win 1

    4tm parlay.  .5u to win 10u
    Det-1 +173
    Caps -1 +140
    Nash -120
    Van -1 +112

    And 1 u singles
    Det -110
    Caps -1+140
    Nash -120
    Van -1 + 112
     
    BooBunny
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 7:16 PM ET #14

    Good evening Mr. Lippsman. Tonight...I will try desperation. This series could easily be 2-2...maybe even 3-1 the other way.

    PREDATORS  -111


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    Good evening Mr. Lippsman. Tonight...I will try desperation. This series could easily be 2-2...maybe even 3-1 the other way.

    PREDATORS  -111


     
    2LEGIT2QUITU
    2LEGIT2QUITU
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 7:24 PM ET #15

    Nashville -129
    Vancouver -150
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    Nashville -129
    Vancouver -150
     
    2LEGIT2QUITU
    2LEGIT2QUITU
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 7:28 PM ET #16

    Nashville /Chicago OVER 5
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    Nashville /Chicago OVER 5
     
    Culls17
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 9:12 PM ET #17

    Add
    Van ML
    Van -1
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    Add
    Van ML
    Van -1
     
    vicb
    vicb
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    Posts: 20434
    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 9:18 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by vicb:

    Lightning -105

    Parlay: Isles +1.5 & Flames +1.5 +100

    Preds -119
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    Quote Originally Posted by vicb:

    Lightning -105

    Parlay: Isles +1.5 & Flames +1.5 +100

    Preds -119
     
    GASportsDoc
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    Posts: 32671
    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 9:22 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by GASportsDoc:

    Bolts ML


    Pred tt o2.5
    Those Who do not learn from History, are doomed to repeat it
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    Quote Originally Posted by GASportsDoc:

    Bolts ML


    Pred tt o2.5
     
    Hog_Wild
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 9:32 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by Hog_Wild:

    Terrible 0-5 night last night. So bad, Mr. Lippsman took me off the board. Bounceback night, starting with:

    Lightning -110 (1 unit)

    Capitals -139 (2 units)

    Adding:

    Blackhawks +104 (2 units)

    Parlay Hawks +1.5/ Flames +1.5 (1 unit to win .96 units)

    Have a great night all

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    Quote Originally Posted by Hog_Wild:

    Terrible 0-5 night last night. So bad, Mr. Lippsman took me off the board. Bounceback night, starting with:

    Lightning -110 (1 unit)

    Capitals -139 (2 units)

    Adding:

    Blackhawks +104 (2 units)

    Parlay Hawks +1.5/ Flames +1.5 (1 unit to win .96 units)

    Have a great night all

     
     
    Hog_Wild
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2015 - 10:12 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by Hog_Wild:

    Adding Flames/ Canucks o5 -130 (1 unit)

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    Quote Originally Posted by Hog_Wild:

    Adding Flames/ Canucks o5 -130 (1 unit)

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