Had an absolutely incredible week 1. I was actually a little surprised how many plays I had. I intended originally to keep it super light but the numbers and matchups were just so good that the plays added up. Im guessing this week is going to be quite a bit lighter due to matchups not looking quite as juicy.
Jordan Addison o35.5 rec yds - Addison had a big fat zero last week so he has a very low number and now gets to face the horrendous Chicago secondary that got torched by Bryce Young and Jalen Coker
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Had an absolutely incredible week 1. I was actually a little surprised how many plays I had. I intended originally to keep it super light but the numbers and matchups were just so good that the plays added up. Im guessing this week is going to be quite a bit lighter due to matchups not looking quite as juicy.
Jordan Addison o35.5 rec yds - Addison had a big fat zero last week so he has a very low number and now gets to face the horrendous Chicago secondary that got torched by Bryce Young and Jalen Coker
Roman Wilson o16.5 rec yds - Rodgers really likes this guy and 16.5 is a low number for a guy getting consistent targets since late last season
Tyquan Thornton o24.5 rec yds +165- He gets the deep looks, including a shot on MNF that didnt connect and he was on the field a lot for that game so this can be a 1 play hit.
Dontayvion Wicks o29.5 rec yds - Eagles traded for him and brought him in to replace AJ Brown and he had some looks in week 1 including a deep shot that went the distance. He is priced here like a WR3 and not the important part of their offense that he is
Romeo Doubs o38.5 rec yds - With Brown down Doubs is the WR1 in NE. He had a terrible game last week, but they paid him a lot of money and will want to get him right again. They should have more success throwing the ball here against Pittsburgh than they did vs Seattle. I would expect Doubs to have 6-8 targets giving us a great opportunity on a very achievable number
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Roman Wilson o16.5 rec yds - Rodgers really likes this guy and 16.5 is a low number for a guy getting consistent targets since late last season
Tyquan Thornton o24.5 rec yds +165- He gets the deep looks, including a shot on MNF that didnt connect and he was on the field a lot for that game so this can be a 1 play hit.
Dontayvion Wicks o29.5 rec yds - Eagles traded for him and brought him in to replace AJ Brown and he had some looks in week 1 including a deep shot that went the distance. He is priced here like a WR3 and not the important part of their offense that he is
Romeo Doubs o38.5 rec yds - With Brown down Doubs is the WR1 in NE. He had a terrible game last week, but they paid him a lot of money and will want to get him right again. They should have more success throwing the ball here against Pittsburgh than they did vs Seattle. I would expect Doubs to have 6-8 targets giving us a great opportunity on a very achievable number
Nice hit on the Knox TD last night. Got it for +650 after he didnt get the 1st.
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Kayshon Boutte o38.5 rec yds - No Collins this week so Boutte is going to be the guy. Stroud likes to look downfield and Boutte is the vertical guy this week.
Boutte 1st TD +1500 - Another one where I will bet him live at a better number if he doesn't hit the 1st
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Nice hit on the Knox TD last night. Got it for +650 after he didnt get the 1st.
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Kayshon Boutte o38.5 rec yds - No Collins this week so Boutte is going to be the guy. Stroud likes to look downfield and Boutte is the vertical guy this week.
Boutte 1st TD +1500 - Another one where I will bet him live at a better number if he doesn't hit the 1st
Low rushing number and high TD number for a guy I expect to be much more involved than he was last week especially in a game we expect Tampa to be controlling. I do expect him to be the goal line back too as hes much bigger than bucky.
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Kenny Gainwell o26.5 rush yds
Kenny Gainwell TD +250
Low rushing number and high TD number for a guy I expect to be much more involved than he was last week especially in a game we expect Tampa to be controlling. I do expect him to be the goal line back too as hes much bigger than bucky.
Treveyon Henderson o8.5 rec yds - Pittsburgh just gave up 90 rec yds to Bijan last week in a game where the opposing QB could not complete a downfield pass, so I'm going with they are OK giving up the short stuff. Also Rhamondre had 5 for 44 himself vs Seattle. Henderson should get a couple targets and hopefully he can get us over this low number
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Treveyon Henderson o8.5 rec yds - Pittsburgh just gave up 90 rec yds to Bijan last week in a game where the opposing QB could not complete a downfield pass, so I'm going with they are OK giving up the short stuff. Also Rhamondre had 5 for 44 himself vs Seattle. Henderson should get a couple targets and hopefully he can get us over this low number
Bhayshul Tuten o8.5 rec yds - I was doubtful there was gonna be as many plays this week but they are just hanging a lot of good numbers that I want to attack so here we are. Tuten only had one reception last week, but they didn't really need to utilize him that way in a blowout, but he still took it for 22 yds, which he is a threat to do on any 1 play. KC had over 50 yds rec to their RBs last week against Denver. In a tighter game, Tuten should have more receiving work most likely and be able to get over this low number
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Bhayshul Tuten o8.5 rec yds - I was doubtful there was gonna be as many plays this week but they are just hanging a lot of good numbers that I want to attack so here we are. Tuten only had one reception last week, but they didn't really need to utilize him that way in a blowout, but he still took it for 22 yds, which he is a threat to do on any 1 play. KC had over 50 yds rec to their RBs last week against Denver. In a tighter game, Tuten should have more receiving work most likely and be able to get over this low number
TD List - some of these I have bet already, some I may add, some maybe not. But I think it'll be interesting to see how many I can get and how many units it amounts to, and I do prefer TD bets typically in the +200 or more range, but like anything it depends, but usually they have the best value in that range. I have parlayed this for just $5 to win $87k because I think every Sunday should have 1 lottery ticket
Bryce Lance +575
Boutte +275
Gainwell +250
Jayden Reed +275
Addison +275
Barkley -115 - depressed number on a guy that is normally -150 or more to score and against an opponent he should be able to find the endzone against
Tre Harris +225
Pickens +130
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TD List - some of these I have bet already, some I may add, some maybe not. But I think it'll be interesting to see how many I can get and how many units it amounts to, and I do prefer TD bets typically in the +200 or more range, but like anything it depends, but usually they have the best value in that range. I have parlayed this for just $5 to win $87k because I think every Sunday should have 1 lottery ticket
Bryce Lance +575
Boutte +275
Gainwell +250
Jayden Reed +275
Addison +275
Barkley -115 - depressed number on a guy that is normally -150 or more to score and against an opponent he should be able to find the endzone against
Last one probably. I keep checking for Devontez Walker rec yds and my book has not put anything up for him which is annoying, but I will keep checking, hopefully closer to gametime they will. No Zay Flowers and no Jakobi Lane who was the vertical deep guy. Tez Walker will fill that role, and I think they will take a shot early with him. So for now we'll go w the TD, but will add rec yds if they ever get posted
Devontez Walker TD +525
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Last one probably. I keep checking for Devontez Walker rec yds and my book has not put anything up for him which is annoying, but I will keep checking, hopefully closer to gametime they will. No Zay Flowers and no Jakobi Lane who was the vertical deep guy. Tez Walker will fill that role, and I think they will take a shot early with him. So for now we'll go w the TD, but will add rec yds if they ever get posted
Just a meh kinda day. 6-5 total on regular bets, no TDs hit except for Knox Thursday night. So just basically a nothing week all together which is fine considering 12-2 last week.
As I mentioned I wanted to bet Devontez Walker yards and my book never posted it and he got that bomb for 47 yds I knew he would get. Also the Tuten bet should've hit. He got it and it got taken away from a dumb penalty.
All the spread leans I had won so next week might be good for me to write those up and maybe actually bet them.
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Just a meh kinda day. 6-5 total on regular bets, no TDs hit except for Knox Thursday night. So just basically a nothing week all together which is fine considering 12-2 last week.
As I mentioned I wanted to bet Devontez Walker yards and my book never posted it and he got that bomb for 47 yds I knew he would get. Also the Tuten bet should've hit. He got it and it got taken away from a dumb penalty.
All the spread leans I had won so next week might be good for me to write those up and maybe actually bet them.
because I think every Sunday should have 1 lottery ticket
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