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Where's the handicap?

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Posted: #76

Quote Originally Posted by BbunnyBlowJobs:

Quote Originally Posted by worm23: Quote Originally Posted by MortalJax506: Good, because people are aware that some LGBTQ illegal fruitcake who can't even speak English wearing a dress will be representing the SB halftime show pushing Mentally ill propaganda.  The NFL deserves to lose revenue.   You need help. You probably are a closet gay. BTW Bad bunny is American unlike that illegal no talent ass clown Kid Rock. Keep flipping burgers at McDonald's and being a sucker for Felon 47 That's it, I'm telling your Uncle Monte to sodomize your cheeks again while you stay triggered, scared and Feminized.

an_eek2

 
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Posted: #77

I have a free bet on who calls the coin flip correctly. That's the only option and only bet I have.

 
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Posted: #78

@sportschat

 Tails! It NEVER fails thumbs_up

When I win Money it's my money and NOT house money
 
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Posted: #79

@justliketoplay

 an_cheers

 
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Posted: #80

@Raiders22

 

Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22:

@brn2loslive2win Top two scoring defenses. Two of the top opponent yards per point. Two of the top four opponents points per play.   Both have negative EPA/Play against the pass and the run. Both have good positive PS/Play against the run.   And some various other defensive stats. They do not allow a lot of busted plays passing or rushing or too many explosive ones either.   Plus the Drake Maye ‘injury’ I think has to be considered.   I think these all set up for both teams to start slow by being careful with their QBs and trying to build their ‘confidence’ as the game progresses. I do not think either coach will want their QB to get rattled early or fall too far behind early.   I also think both coaches will not be as apt to go for it on some questionable 4th down-type plays as other coaches would be with more ‘experienced’ or more ‘big-game’ QBs and will punt and play a more field-position type of game.   I took Seattle -4.5 early.  But I feel if Maye gets a great update this week some pro money will come in on New England.  Some of the guys I know mostly took a position on Seattle because of the Maye ‘news’.  So, I could see some of that changing. So, I think it could get to -4 this week, and I like that a bit better.   But I took a larger portion on the U46 early.    But it still has to play out that way.   So, you may get a wide open game for an easy blowout and it might still stay under.

peace_5

 
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Posted: #81

@Raiders22

 

Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22:

@justliketoplay   Quote Originally Posted by justliketoplay: @Raiders22 https://share.google/OjI5i1rrXZavnuWQK Gotcha.  Yeah.  Raw numbers to me do not show the indepth and cleaned up analytic numbers. But you are correct in that both of these teams are better than some think.  But some of the more critical stats will not show them as very efficient.For example, Passing PE/Play NE is 11th, whereas SEA is 23rd. Rushing PE/Play SEA is 7th and NE is 21st.  So, overall if the best aspect of each offense is not working are they going to be able to make that other part overcome that or use it to set their best part up effectively.  That is part of the reason I think it could be a lower scoring game.  If each defense can do a good job of shutting down the other’s best unit on offense I am not so sure these offenses can rely on their weaker units.

peace_5

 
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Posted: #82

@Raiders22

 That under was golden. I had a strong lean to it, just didn't feel like betting this game much at all.

I did lean Pats +4.5, thought the line was too high. But my spider senses treated me well this year, stayed away thank god.

After reading 2 weeks worth of non football reasons why people were backing the Pats, it made it easier to stay away. Very few people laid out a handicap on this game, I could still ask the same question of this thread title.

"Where's the handicap?"

*on a side note*

Did you guys notice how often Mike Macdonald blitzed? I guarantee that was their highest blitz rate of the year. It surprised me. It definitely surprised Drake Maye I'd suspect. 

What a great chess move. All year the Hawks were a low blitz rate team. He saved the curve balls for the SB. Good move against a young QB and weak (left side) O line.

 
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Posted: #83

@undermysac

 Yessir.  This one played out pretty much as I expected. 
I agree about the blitzing.  But as Collinsworth kept pointing out, Maye has to see it and know exactly where to go once they showed they were rolling a guy straight to the hot read. 
They did make some slight adjustments at half.  
The way they started sagging a bit and the poor field position for NE at the end, I was a bit worried another turnover for a TD or even a turnover on downs, would set SEA for another easy TD to get over the total. 

Almost wish I had put more on the side.  But I had so much on the total already because I was so confident in it.  I just thought Daniels may have schemed up something trickier and Vrabel would have their defense able to bottle up Darnold — and the side might have been dicier. 
It looked that way in the first half with both defenses doing very well.  

Either way, even if I didn’t have bets on the game, that is exactly the types of football games I enjoy and miss the most. 

Nice season and ready for next year already. 
peace_5

 
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Posted: #84

@RebelTell2

 Wire to wire beatdown. Darnold was off all night and Seattle still won by 14+

 
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Posted: #85

@Raiders22

 You still hit the under with a pick 6 in the equation. That had to feel good.

@RebelTell2

 Correct, it was a good defensive scheme by both teams. The Final score alone would have people thinking that the Hawks offense rolled. It really didn't minus Kenneth Walker having a game, and Darnold converting just a couple first downs passing. 

The kickers and punters were really good yesterday. 

peace_5

 
 
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Posted: #86

@Raiders22

 Nice work as always Raiders peace_5

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