What one piece of advice do you give to someone new to handicapping/gambling?

Take the time to know and understand the intricacies of the sport you wish to

wager on before you wager. For most sports it's all about possessions and

what a team and their opponent is likely to do with them during the course of

a game. In the NFL at team is likely to get 10 - 12 possessions on average.

If you have the ability to determine what the likely outcome of a matchup will

be based on those possessions , you have a good chance of success at this.

Sounds simple , but armed with the right information It's actually not that

difficult to profit at sports betting. The difficulty for most is learning what

actually constitutes the " Right Information " to provide the  solution to the

problem.

Blessings and Good Luck in your Sports Betting journey.  

Good post bro. Being able to identify patterns can help get the "right information" i use historical situational data to search for weaknesses in the line.

SDQL protocol and killersports data base has been a HUGE help in this approach...DOGS and UNDERS

Thanks bud. I personally do not utilize SQDL , or sites like Killer Sports to

access data. I applaud those who do , as data in any form is our best means

of success at this. After doing this for over 40 years , I've tried to keep my

methods as simple as possible relative to the problem , Fact is Capping

CFB these days as well as NFL requires a lot more time than it used to be

successful at this.

Blessings and Good Luck this season.  

If one is gonna act like a book

Then you have to actually bet the same.

(In simplest terms) A book takes all bets from everyone. With this train of thought you would have to go total contrarian on all bets. One can't pick and choose public sides you like or don't like. A lot of cappers try this "fading" and it's always a losing prop. 

Just make it a straight line. Become a book. Take bets without prejudice. 

If you don’t know how to cap,then star by being a contrarian bettor. If you are succesfull you will get limited. It will be a 10 to 15 year process of mostly loosing, but once you find a system with an edge you will be able to recoup your losses and start making real money. Make it a hobby don’t get down when ypopo loose and when you win dont get to excited.money management will take the longest to master. And if its too good to be true , it usually is.

Just make it a hard rule: NEVER bet against a line move. 

i.e  team is -2.5 every day leading up to game day when line drops to -2 or 1.5.   You wanted to bet them- DONT!!

TEAM is -2.5 and close to Game time line goes to -3.....bet em!

Just hope you are not getting in the way of a Billy Walters head fake.....lol

Good luck. You'll probably need it

Don't bet. 

Who is really doing this head faking. Books will go on podcasts and say that they always try to be on the sharp side...but I suspect that sometimes the sharp action tells the book -2.5 should be +2.5, and they move to public favorite -3 anyways.

1. money management. try to bet a flat rate on every pick when starting out. of course there will be other games you wanna put more on than the other but genuinely stay at a flat bet rate.

2. NEVER go "all in-"

3. dont bet sports or events you are not well versed on. so dont bet NFL or college football if you dont know the sport & personnel up and down.

4. learn from your losses and why your bet lost

5. dont bet while on tilt. theres always tomorrow

6. dont get too high off the Wins or losses. try to stay in the middle and learn from both sides of the spectrum. understand why your pick was good or why it was bad

7. dont bet alot of games in 1 day. limit yourself to 3-5 bets per day or whatever you feel is comfortable. there should never be a day where you are firing 10-20 in 1 day. discipline is key.

@C-70Blues

 NFL.. just pick the winner.. U like the dog take the ML.. u like the fave lay the points.. 

Bankroll management, don't divert from the plan you draw up from paper

Don't get emotional after tough losses

If you know your WP on a bet at the price that it is offered. It really doesn't

matter what Billy , the Public , or the Sharps are doing with their money.

1.  Learn the value of key numbers in the NFL

2.  Understand that the "line" is the combination of a spread and a price.  It is not just a spread.  It is how much you are paying for that spread.  Those two things are linked and cannot be separated.

3.  Learn the value of derivative pricing on any spread in the NFL.  For a given game, is it better to lay -3 -112 or -2.5 -124 or -3.5 +106?

D:  All of the above.  Winning is only determined by understanding price.  It is the only way.  You will not convert from being a loser to a winner through time spent on handicapping.  Putting energy in to handicapping at the cost of the things that will actually make you profitable is a fatal flaw.

Thanks to all of those who posted ONE piece of advice.

If I had one piece of advice....   You don't have what it takes.

@cd329

 I have lost almost every year and still did very well in retirement investing because I kept my loses at like $5–10K a year.. it’s entertaining as hell .. and I have made $5000 in a private Fantasy League every 4 years or so.. I just try to learn each year and follow sharp people here..

BIG aADVISE: Bet the teams people are running away from after ugly losses and look for rest advantages 

Contrarian selections almost always have line value...fade the public and bankroll management= a chance at profitability!!

Me personally or everyone here on the forum?

@C-70Blues

 Definitely you personally, bozo. You get priceless info shared by well respected cappers here and choose to take time for a snide comment vs. sharing a simple thanks. Good luck fishy. Definitely take the bankroll advice if nothing else, because if I can deduce anything from your replies so far, you’re dead money walking. Good luck with your 6 leg parlays this season!

No clue what you are asking, bruv.