Why are the Jets -1 versus any team? Fields threw for historically bad numbers versus the Broncos in London (-10 yards). Carolina on the other hand won in a shootout versus Dallas. The Jets are the very picture of futility.
The Jets are probably the winning side is what my experience tells me but I would need narcotics to bet them.
Are there any other week #7 lines that look other worldly? Anyone?
There's no such thing as "hate speech" only those that hate free speech.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Why are the Jets -1 versus any team? Fields threw for historically bad numbers versus the Broncos in London (-10 yards). Carolina on the other hand won in a shootout versus Dallas. The Jets are the very picture of futility.
The Jets are probably the winning side is what my experience tells me but I would need narcotics to bet them.
Are there any other week #7 lines that look other worldly? Anyone?
@Buffalobob89074 Books think jets D will shut down bryce
Alright, but if Buffalobob owned his own sportsbook and put Jets -1 up on the board, I wouldn't have to take any colon cleanse for the rest of my life on this earth.
There's no such thing as "hate speech" only those that hate free speech.
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Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz:
@Buffalobob89074 Books think jets D will shut down bryce
Alright, but if Buffalobob owned his own sportsbook and put Jets -1 up on the board, I wouldn't have to take any colon cleanse for the rest of my life on this earth.
Why are the Jets -1 versus any team? Fields threw for historically bad numbers versus the Broncos in London (-10 yards). Carolina on the other hand won in a shootout versus Dallas. The Jets are the very picture of futility. The Jets are probably the winning side is what my experience tells me but I would need narcotics to bet them. Are there any other week #7 lines that look other worldly? Anyone?
Its the right number. I actually had just a tick higher. You cant make Carolina a road favorite. As bad as the Jets have looked, they are actually very effective running the ball and the defense is improving. They could easily be 2-3 right now but mental mistakes and penalties cost them. As far as X and Os this line makes sense. In most cases we cant adjust numbers too too far from preseason yet even in week 7 without major injuries.
The biggest line that jumped out to me is Cincy catching 6. I posted this as a play immediately in my thread. Pittsburgh is not that good. Laying 6 in division on Thursday is nuts. And if you watched the Green Bay game you could see a huge improvement on defense for Cincy. These guys are hungry. I think they win straight up Thursday night. I had this game at a flat 3.
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Quote Originally Posted by Buffalobob89074:
Why are the Jets -1 versus any team? Fields threw for historically bad numbers versus the Broncos in London (-10 yards). Carolina on the other hand won in a shootout versus Dallas. The Jets are the very picture of futility. The Jets are probably the winning side is what my experience tells me but I would need narcotics to bet them. Are there any other week #7 lines that look other worldly? Anyone?
Its the right number. I actually had just a tick higher. You cant make Carolina a road favorite. As bad as the Jets have looked, they are actually very effective running the ball and the defense is improving. They could easily be 2-3 right now but mental mistakes and penalties cost them. As far as X and Os this line makes sense. In most cases we cant adjust numbers too too far from preseason yet even in week 7 without major injuries.
The biggest line that jumped out to me is Cincy catching 6. I posted this as a play immediately in my thread. Pittsburgh is not that good. Laying 6 in division on Thursday is nuts. And if you watched the Green Bay game you could see a huge improvement on defense for Cincy. These guys are hungry. I think they win straight up Thursday night. I had this game at a flat 3.
Tampa Bay catching 5.5? I expect Detroit to bounce back and play better this week but I don’t see how Tampa can get 5.5 from anyone right now. Baker is possessed and should keep his team in the game right till the end.
Haven’t seen the injury report yet but unless Detroit gets multiple starters back on defense I think this says auto play on Tampa. But it’s never quite that easy…
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Tampa Bay catching 5.5? I expect Detroit to bounce back and play better this week but I don’t see how Tampa can get 5.5 from anyone right now. Baker is possessed and should keep his team in the game right till the end.
Haven’t seen the injury report yet but unless Detroit gets multiple starters back on defense I think this says auto play on Tampa. But it’s never quite that easy…
Houston catching 3.5 off a bye to Seattle who seems to play their worst ball at home? This is the type of defense that can give Sam Darnold a fit. But can stroud stay on his feet??
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Houston catching 3.5 off a bye to Seattle who seems to play their worst ball at home? This is the type of defense that can give Sam Darnold a fit. But can stroud stay on his feet??
This is just at a glance Tampa line looks off.. +4.5 with all the Baker show highlights and Detroits defensive woes secondary injured and suspension..
Tampa has injuries
Detroits possibly getting players back
although Tampa ranks 5th in rush defense Detroit has the weapons in the pass game and Tampa ranks 21st .. decker should be back for this game he was held out last game
Winning isn’t everything.. It’s the Only thing.
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This is just at a glance Tampa line looks off.. +4.5 with all the Baker show highlights and Detroits defensive woes secondary injured and suspension..
Tampa has injuries
Detroits possibly getting players back
although Tampa ranks 5th in rush defense Detroit has the weapons in the pass game and Tampa ranks 21st .. decker should be back for this game he was held out last game
Houston catching 3.5 off a bye to Seattle who seems to play their worst ball at home? This is the type of defense that can give Sam Darnold a fit. But can stroud stay on his feet??
Houston is going to be a play for me. Coming off bye with a very solid defense and seattle cross country amd back trip. They win this game.
The Tampa number looks right to me. Too many injuries piled up for them now and Detroit at home.
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Quote Originally Posted by brn2loslive2win:
Houston catching 3.5 off a bye to Seattle who seems to play their worst ball at home? This is the type of defense that can give Sam Darnold a fit. But can stroud stay on his feet??
Houston is going to be a play for me. Coming off bye with a very solid defense and seattle cross country amd back trip. They win this game.
The Tampa number looks right to me. Too many injuries piled up for them now and Detroit at home.
Great post and I am looking at this Steelers @ Bengals line. I am not usually a stats' guy but these numbers are eye opening:
Under Tomlin the Steelers are 2-8 in road Thursday Night Football games, 0-6 in road divisional Thursday Night Football games, and have not won a road Thursday Night Football game since 2016 against the Indianapolis Colts.
Am certain I don't have the titanium testicles to bet the Jets this week though it is probably the right side. BOL this week
There's no such thing as "hate speech" only those that hate free speech.
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@Yanasaur
Great post and I am looking at this Steelers @ Bengals line. I am not usually a stats' guy but these numbers are eye opening:
Under Tomlin the Steelers are 2-8 in road Thursday Night Football games, 0-6 in road divisional Thursday Night Football games, and have not won a road Thursday Night Football game since 2016 against the Indianapolis Colts.
Am certain I don't have the titanium testicles to bet the Jets this week though it is probably the right side. BOL this week
Another great catch and post. Red hot Baker and the Bucs getting 5 and maybe more? Godwin and Egbuka out but a chance that Michael Evans will return from the moderate hamstring sprain. This after the Lions high profile loss in KC?
Goff's win rate in a dome is 69% according to Chad Millman. Does Baker Mayfield have feet of clay and might he come back down to earth? The line maker seems to think so.
Yep Seattle ironically plays its best on the road. The Texans might be the play there.
There's no such thing as "hate speech" only those that hate free speech.
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@brn2loslive2win
Another great catch and post. Red hot Baker and the Bucs getting 5 and maybe more? Godwin and Egbuka out but a chance that Michael Evans will return from the moderate hamstring sprain. This after the Lions high profile loss in KC?
Goff's win rate in a dome is 69% according to Chad Millman. Does Baker Mayfield have feet of clay and might he come back down to earth? The line maker seems to think so.
Yep Seattle ironically plays its best on the road. The Texans might be the play there.
@Yanasaur I haven’t actually checked the numbers but if I’m not mistaken, teams off a bye are absolutely crushing it this year ats and SU
Well both off the bye yesterday won as dogs, Atlanta and Chicago. Buffalo and Baltimore going on bye this week, which they desperately need. Ugly stuff.
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Quote Originally Posted by brn2loslive2win:
@Yanasaur I haven’t actually checked the numbers but if I’m not mistaken, teams off a bye are absolutely crushing it this year ats and SU
Well both off the bye yesterday won as dogs, Atlanta and Chicago. Buffalo and Baltimore going on bye this week, which they desperately need. Ugly stuff.
More good info on the Tampa/Detroit matchup. Yeah, those Detroit corners are still out and a concern with Baker slicing and dicing.
The Lion left tackle Taylor Decker will return from a shoulder injury? That is big. Gotta think after a time all of those Bucs injuries catch up to them especially versus a Lions' team that is feeling salty. BOL this week
There's no such thing as "hate speech" only those that hate free speech.
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@ChOmP
More good info on the Tampa/Detroit matchup. Yeah, those Detroit corners are still out and a concern with Baker slicing and dicing.
The Lion left tackle Taylor Decker will return from a shoulder injury? That is big. Gotta think after a time all of those Bucs injuries catch up to them especially versus a Lions' team that is feeling salty. BOL this week
The one thing that bothers me about taking the Bengals is that Tomlin has Rodgers who has been playing so efficiently. While his numbers don't jump off the page, he has won over the team and on both sides of the ball they are getting better week by week.
Improved run blocking has led to a decent not great Steeler run attack. Also Rodgers is including TE Darnell Washington the 6'7" 265 pound mountain of a man in the passing game. He ran a 4.64/40 at the combine in 2023. Of course they use him to run block too.
Another thing that bothers me about taking the Bengals is that they are dead last in rushing yardage per game (56 yards per). That 3 headed edge rushing monster of Watt, Herbig, and Highsmith is scary especially for an elderly QB that doesn't move too well in the pocket. Herbig is playing way better than Watt.
This might be the year of the Tomlin. He seems to be living a charmed life in 2025. A reporter asked Tomlin Monday about a past season and he told him: "I am only concerned with 2025 as I have gotten my a$$ kicked for over 19 years."
There's no such thing as "hate speech" only those that hate free speech.
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The one thing that bothers me about taking the Bengals is that Tomlin has Rodgers who has been playing so efficiently. While his numbers don't jump off the page, he has won over the team and on both sides of the ball they are getting better week by week.
Improved run blocking has led to a decent not great Steeler run attack. Also Rodgers is including TE Darnell Washington the 6'7" 265 pound mountain of a man in the passing game. He ran a 4.64/40 at the combine in 2023. Of course they use him to run block too.
Another thing that bothers me about taking the Bengals is that they are dead last in rushing yardage per game (56 yards per). That 3 headed edge rushing monster of Watt, Herbig, and Highsmith is scary especially for an elderly QB that doesn't move too well in the pocket. Herbig is playing way better than Watt.
This might be the year of the Tomlin. He seems to be living a charmed life in 2025. A reporter asked Tomlin Monday about a past season and he told him: "I am only concerned with 2025 as I have gotten my a$$ kicked for over 19 years."
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