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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Week 3 Props and Plays

    Yanasaur
    BigMick87
    kcblitzkrieg
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    Yanasaur
    Yanasaur
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2024 - 3:09 PM ET #1

    Just a couple props so far. There's a few sides and one total I'm leaning and will likely play some or all of these. They are:

    TEN -2.5 (All about the defense, and if Levis just doesnt implode they should win)

    NYG +6.5 (God help me for the 3rd week in a row I like the Giants after losing both prior weeks with them, but shouldve won last week if only they had a kicker)

    CAR +5.5 (Carolina at least moved the ball and put up pts w Dalton last year and I just dont think the Raiders should be laying this many points. I almost played it at 6, and almost played it at 7 before the Dalton news. Going to wait and see if we can get 6 again before Sunday)

    MIA +4.5 (tons of talent still and a week for the backup to prepare should keep them in striking distance to win this game)

    JAX +5 (I'm a huge Bills fan but this line just stinks. Smells like a Bills blowup game and maybe Jags figure out some stuff on offense)

    Not a ton of props available yet on Hardrock, but so far we have:

    - Joey Slye o1.5 FG (Pats can move the ball well enough to get them in the red zone a couple times w the rushing attack before Jet D shuts them down)

    - DeAndre Swift o52.5 rush yds (this number seems extremely low to me considering how bad Colts rush D is. He could conceivably have this in the first half and I may alt it up some too)

    - Cade Otton TD +300 (the Broncos will have the Tampa wideouts covered well and Pitt had a TE touchdown as their only TD last week. Tampa targeted Otton on their first red zone trip last week and the ball was just barely deflected)

    - Adam Thielen TD +300 (Dalton had great chemistry w Thielen last year and I expect him to look his way in the red zone)

     

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    Just a couple props so far. There's a few sides and one total I'm leaning and will likely play some or all of these. They are:

    TEN -2.5 (All about the defense, and if Levis just doesnt implode they should win)

    NYG +6.5 (God help me for the 3rd week in a row I like the Giants after losing both prior weeks with them, but shouldve won last week if only they had a kicker)

    CAR +5.5 (Carolina at least moved the ball and put up pts w Dalton last year and I just dont think the Raiders should be laying this many points. I almost played it at 6, and almost played it at 7 before the Dalton news. Going to wait and see if we can get 6 again before Sunday)

    MIA +4.5 (tons of talent still and a week for the backup to prepare should keep them in striking distance to win this game)

    JAX +5 (I'm a huge Bills fan but this line just stinks. Smells like a Bills blowup game and maybe Jags figure out some stuff on offense)

    Not a ton of props available yet on Hardrock, but so far we have:

    - Joey Slye o1.5 FG (Pats can move the ball well enough to get them in the red zone a couple times w the rushing attack before Jet D shuts them down)

    - DeAndre Swift o52.5 rush yds (this number seems extremely low to me considering how bad Colts rush D is. He could conceivably have this in the first half and I may alt it up some too)

    - Cade Otton TD +300 (the Broncos will have the Tampa wideouts covered well and Pitt had a TE touchdown as their only TD last week. Tampa targeted Otton on their first red zone trip last week and the ball was just barely deflected)

    - Adam Thielen TD +300 (Dalton had great chemistry w Thielen last year and I expect him to look his way in the red zone)

     

     
    BigMick87
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2024 - 4:55 PM ET #2

    Loving that Joey Slye prop....Jets/Pats is a FG kicker type of game.  Already added Thielen to my fantasy team  

     

    an_cheers

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    Loving that Joey Slye prop....Jets/Pats is a FG kicker type of game.  Already added Thielen to my fantasy team  

     

    an_cheers

     
    Yanasaur
    Yanasaur
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2024 - 8:06 PM ET #3

    @BigMick87

     Yea thats what Im thinking ugly lots of fgs. I was considering adding Thielen to my fantasy team too. I won last year and im not at all feeling good about my chances this year. I had Kamara and Conner last year and decided to pass on them and suddenly they are both completely resurrected. 

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    @BigMick87

     Yea thats what Im thinking ugly lots of fgs. I was considering adding Thielen to my fantasy team too. I won last year and im not at all feeling good about my chances this year. I had Kamara and Conner last year and decided to pass on them and suddenly they are both completely resurrected. 

     
    Yanasaur
    Yanasaur
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2024 - 10:21 AM ET #4

    Added:

    TEN -1.5

    Tennessee should win this game easily in my opinion as long as Levis doesn't completely implode again. I think Tennessee defense can shut down the Packer rushing attack and Willis will not be able to beat them through the air. 

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    Added:

    TEN -1.5

    Tennessee should win this game easily in my opinion as long as Levis doesn't completely implode again. I think Tennessee defense can shut down the Packer rushing attack and Willis will not be able to beat them through the air. 

     
    kcblitzkrieg
    kcblitzkrieg
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2024 - 11:03 AM ET #5

    @Yanasaur

     Tennessee should win this game easily in my opinion as long as Levis doesn't completely implode again.

     

    Will Levis is 1-10 ATS 2H so far in his young career....they need to get out to a lead and make Willis beat them with his arm peace_5

    You will not survive here. You are not a wolf, and this is the land of wolves now...
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    @Yanasaur

     Tennessee should win this game easily in my opinion as long as Levis doesn't completely implode again.

     

    Will Levis is 1-10 ATS 2H so far in his young career....they need to get out to a lead and make Willis beat them with his arm peace_5

     
    Yanasaur
    Yanasaur
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2024 - 2:28 PM ET #6

    @kcblitzkrieg

     I agree. I dont often think to just play 1st half instead of game but maybe I should cancel out and do that instead 

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    @kcblitzkrieg

     I agree. I dont often think to just play 1st half instead of game but maybe I should cancel out and do that instead 

     
    Yanasaur
    Yanasaur
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2024 - 10:45 AM ET #7

    Got a lot of props to go through. Thanks to @BigMick87 for calling out the Antonio Gibson o1.5 receptions last night. Hit that very easily for +130. 

    Unfortunately we missed on the joey slye fgs. They should've hit it in 3rd quarter but NE got 3 holding penalties in a row to take them out of range.

    Adding:

    CAR +5 and ml sprinkle +200

    Will be back w more props later

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    Got a lot of props to go through. Thanks to @BigMick87 for calling out the Antonio Gibson o1.5 receptions last night. Hit that very easily for +130. 

    Unfortunately we missed on the joey slye fgs. They should've hit it in 3rd quarter but NE got 3 holding penalties in a row to take them out of range.

    Adding:

    CAR +5 and ml sprinkle +200

    Will be back w more props later

     
    Yanasaur
    Yanasaur
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2024 - 3:15 PM ET #8

    Added: 

    DET -3 (DET coming off home loss as big favorite, ARI coming off massive stomping of a beat up Rams team. I smell a Detroit walloping)

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    Added: 

    DET -3 (DET coming off home loss as big favorite, ARI coming off massive stomping of a beat up Rams team. I smell a Detroit walloping)

     
    Yanasaur
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2024 - 3:33 PM ET #9

    Not many props I'm liking right now and I usually like the props better than sides. I wish I played more on the Swift o52.5 rushing. It's at 58.5 now. Last add for probably today

    Jalen McMillan o2.5 receptions +110

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    Not many props I'm liking right now and I usually like the props better than sides. I wish I played more on the Swift o52.5 rushing. It's at 58.5 now. Last add for probably today

    Jalen McMillan o2.5 receptions +110

     
    Yanasaur
    Yanasaur
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2024 - 9:31 PM ET #10

    Added: 

    Josh Jacobs u77.5 rush yds

    Card so far:

    Joey Slye o1.5 fg an_burningbag

    Deandre Swift o52.5 rush yds

    Josh Jacobs u77.5 rush yds

    Jalen McMillan o2.5 receptions

    Adam Thielen TD +300

    Cade Otton TD +300

    Hayden Hurst TD +600

    TEN -1.5

    DET -3

    CAR +5.5 and ML +210

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    Added: 

    Josh Jacobs u77.5 rush yds

    Card so far:

    Joey Slye o1.5 fg an_burningbag

    Deandre Swift o52.5 rush yds

    Josh Jacobs u77.5 rush yds

    Jalen McMillan o2.5 receptions

    Adam Thielen TD +300

    Cade Otton TD +300

    Hayden Hurst TD +600

    TEN -1.5

    DET -3

    CAR +5.5 and ML +210

     
    BigMick87
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2024 - 11:40 PM ET #11

    Rough beat on Slye  

     

    Swift Jacobs Thielen an_popcorn  eyeing them myself  

     

    clover

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    Rough beat on Slye  

     

    Swift Jacobs Thielen an_popcorn  eyeing them myself  

     

    clover

     
    Yanasaur
    Yanasaur
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2024 - 9:51 AM ET #12

    @BigMick87

     Thanks man. That call on Gibson receptions the other night was money. I did bet Jets -6.5 too so it was a great night. 

    Yea we shouldve hit on Slye. And then at the end of the game I was please please please kick the meaningless field goal! But they went for it on 4th twice instead

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    @BigMick87

     Thanks man. That call on Gibson receptions the other night was money. I did bet Jets -6.5 too so it was a great night. 

    Yea we shouldve hit on Slye. And then at the end of the game I was please please please kick the meaningless field goal! But they went for it on 4th twice instead

     
    Yanasaur
    Yanasaur
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    Posted: Sep. 22, 2024 - 12:18 AM ET #13

    Added: Will Levis o13.5 rush yds and Kyle Pitts TD +220 and Cam Akers TD -115

    Final Card:

    Will Levis o13.5 rush yds

    Kyle Pitts TD +220

    Cam Akers TD -115

    Joey Slye o1.5 fg an_burningbag

    Deandre Swift o52.5 rush yds

    Josh Jacobs u77.5 rush yds

    Jalen McMillan o2.5 receptions

    Adam Thielen TD +300

    Cade Otton TD +300

    Hayden Hurst TD +600

    TEN -1.5 x2 and was going to go more but not at -3 now

    DET -3

    CAR +5.5 and ML +210

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    Added: Will Levis o13.5 rush yds and Kyle Pitts TD +220 and Cam Akers TD -115

    Final Card:

    Will Levis o13.5 rush yds

    Kyle Pitts TD +220

    Cam Akers TD -115

    Joey Slye o1.5 fg an_burningbag

    Deandre Swift o52.5 rush yds

    Josh Jacobs u77.5 rush yds

    Jalen McMillan o2.5 receptions

    Adam Thielen TD +300

    Cade Otton TD +300

    Hayden Hurst TD +600

    TEN -1.5 x2 and was going to go more but not at -3 now

    DET -3

    CAR +5.5 and ML +210

     
     
    Yanasaur
    Yanasaur
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    Posted: Sep. 22, 2024 - 5:46 PM ET #14

    Missed Levis rushing by 2 measly yards. Tennessee was an epic disaster. Well I was dead wrong on that one, and I have no idea why chicago wanted to keep throwing the ball instead of pounding the weak Indy rush defense so Swift got nowhere remotely close to sniffing his over. 

    But Akers hit, Jacobs under hit, and Carolina and Detroit looking great. 

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    Missed Levis rushing by 2 measly yards. Tennessee was an epic disaster. Well I was dead wrong on that one, and I have no idea why chicago wanted to keep throwing the ball instead of pounding the weak Indy rush defense so Swift got nowhere remotely close to sniffing his over. 

    But Akers hit, Jacobs under hit, and Carolina and Detroit looking great. 

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