Completely agree on needing the lines to be tight. The theory behind the system is that the books actively try not to get middled and must set good tight lines.
@codearmani
Which is why this system probably won't work for the NBA. The NBA has notoriously bad 2H lines, which you would exploit differently. You can check my old blog and threads on my space to see. I tracked 57% on over 300 bets in 2 months before I burned out from watching and posting every night.
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@js4u:
Completely agree on needing the lines to be tight. The theory behind the system is that the books actively try not to get middled and must set good tight lines.
@codearmani
Which is why this system probably won't work for the NBA. The NBA has notoriously bad 2H lines, which you would exploit differently. You can check my old blog and threads on my space to see. I tracked 57% on over 300 bets in 2 months before I burned out from watching and posting every night.
And if you want to know the system plays wait for me or js4u to post the plays. I will post every Sunday's 1pm plays. And js4u will post all others when I am not around. But we need to keep these threads short. So again if you guys want I'll start a discussion thread about the system. But try to keep the weekly thread to plays only. Thank you.
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Quote Originally Posted by NJPorky:
And if you want to know the system plays wait for me or js4u to post the plays. I will post every Sunday's 1pm plays. And js4u will post all others when I am not around. But we need to keep these threads short. So again if you guys want I'll start a discussion thread about the system. But try to keep the weekly thread to plays only. Thank you.
I agree that more research is always good. I don't know how much data you have, but I'm more curious about side vs o/u splits, as well as home/road splits on the sides. I think those things will differ greatly between NFL and NBA (where home court is much more significant)
By the way, I was actually on the full game over off of another system, and took the 2H under per this system. I was in danger of getting middled! A bet that I would never have even thought of doing without this system. Thanks NJPorky!
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@js4u
I agree that more research is always good. I don't know how much data you have, but I'm more curious about side vs o/u splits, as well as home/road splits on the sides. I think those things will differ greatly between NFL and NBA (where home court is much more significant)
By the way, I was actually on the full game over off of another system, and took the 2H under per this system. I was in danger of getting middled! A bet that I would never have even thought of doing without this system. Thanks NJPorky!
I totally agree that NFL is the best for this system for a couple of reasons...
(1) NFL games are the games most heavily bet on thus the lines are the sharpest of all the sports plus the casinos have alot more money to be lost if they get middled
(2) other sports have so many more game and so much less action, alot of times they just cut the full game lines in half and post them as the 2H lines...just way to many games and not enough action to make the sharp lines
Also I understand the 13 point middles being better than the 10's and I have always known the bigger the middle the better the system works....Maybe we have to come up with a sliding grade system like 10+ is a 1 unit play, 13 + 2 units, 17+ is 3 units and so on and so forth. I really have never kept all the numbers for an entire season cause I have never really be able to gather all the info. This season with this thread and your help I'm keeping an excel spreadsheet with all the plays, scores, win/loss record and I will be able to see the middle numbers differences....I just think this can be a really solid system if fine tuned... we'll see I guess. Thanks again for all the help js4U as I will need you Sunday afternoon and evening....as my job calls me and It's really hard for me to post the plays from my phone while working
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@js4U and NBA2H
I totally agree that NFL is the best for this system for a couple of reasons...
(1) NFL games are the games most heavily bet on thus the lines are the sharpest of all the sports plus the casinos have alot more money to be lost if they get middled
(2) other sports have so many more game and so much less action, alot of times they just cut the full game lines in half and post them as the 2H lines...just way to many games and not enough action to make the sharp lines
Also I understand the 13 point middles being better than the 10's and I have always known the bigger the middle the better the system works....Maybe we have to come up with a sliding grade system like 10+ is a 1 unit play, 13 + 2 units, 17+ is 3 units and so on and so forth. I really have never kept all the numbers for an entire season cause I have never really be able to gather all the info. This season with this thread and your help I'm keeping an excel spreadsheet with all the plays, scores, win/loss record and I will be able to see the middle numbers differences....I just think this can be a really solid system if fine tuned... we'll see I guess. Thanks again for all the help js4U as I will need you Sunday afternoon and evening....as my job calls me and It's really hard for me to post the plays from my phone while working
I have done this myself a bunch of times to bail out of a bad full game bet....but that's part of the reason i found this system..I would have over 50.5 last night and at the half say to myself, I loved over before the game started and they only scored 13, how can I not love over 24 2H which is only 37 for the entire game? WRONG, many losing bets and that's how we are here today....
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@NBA2H
I have done this myself a bunch of times to bail out of a bad full game bet....but that's part of the reason i found this system..I would have over 50.5 last night and at the half say to myself, I loved over before the game started and they only scored 13, how can I not love over 24 2H which is only 37 for the entire game? WRONG, many losing bets and that's how we are here today....
I'll follow up asking about ncaaf....Has anyone researched it or going to and/or is anyone going to give any selections????....I think that the top 25 is a good idea!....Thanks to Porky and you other guys who are doing work on this....Brilliant thinking Porky!!...Good luck to all!!!!
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I'll follow up asking about ncaaf....Has anyone researched it or going to and/or is anyone going to give any selections????....I think that the top 25 is a good idea!....Thanks to Porky and you other guys who are doing work on this....Brilliant thinking Porky!!...Good luck to all!!!!
To clarify: Lines were Ball State + 2.5 O/U 64. At the half the score was Ball State 24 - Indiana 25. 2H line was Ball State + 1 and 33.5.
Game Total 64 1st Half Points -49 ------------------------------- 15 points 2H Line - 33.5 ------------------------------------- Differential -18.5 points Go Over
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To clarify: Lines were Ball State + 2.5 O/U 64. At the half the score was Ball State 24 - Indiana 25. 2H line was Ball State + 1 and 33.5.
Game Total 64 1st Half Points -49 ------------------------------- 15 points 2H Line - 33.5 ------------------------------------- Differential -18.5 points Go Over
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