Week 1

Three leans as of now…

Bengals -9.5 (-110)

Dolphins/Jags over 48.5 (-110)

Titans +185

Thoughts?

I lean to NE +9.5 vs. CIN who is 1-6-0 ATS in week 1 as a home favorite.

@DogbiteWilliams

 I just think that after a disappointing season for the Bengals, they’re going to have a strong home opener. Not to mention the drastic disparity between QB talents, even if you go to CIN’s backup (Browning). Maybe a 1H will happen too

@JoseAlonso787

It's possible that NE could keep it close or even win outright based on a better passing DEF (2023 regular season stats).  At NFL.com the #1 passing DEF was BAL, rated 74.6.  NE was #11, rated 87.0.  CIN was #20, rated 91.4.

Yes, CIN has a superior QB, but that is reflected in the large pointspread.

Good luck.  I certainly have not yet placed a wager on this or any other game.

What effect will the absence of Belichick have on the performance of the Patriot defense? I suspect it will be monumental. I agree with the original poster that it could be a Bengal blowout. 
Burrow seems to have durability issues though, as he has been missing a hell of a lot of playing time the last few years. 

CIN has to face KC in Week 2.  Laying 9 or 9.5 points at home with the reigning Super Bowl champions on deck is not something I'd be enthusiastic about.

I love Vegas and Tenn.  I would advise taking them pretty soon because those 3.5s and 4s are gonna go away really soon.   I have concern with NEs offense.  even if Cincy has a lackluster game, I could see a 16-6 score.

I LIKE PATS +9 TENN +4 AND OF COARSE NYJ +5 SB LOSER CURSE. DOGS IN WK 1 DO VERY WELL

Seasons 2016-2023, road dogs in Week 1:

SU:   35-43

ATS:  46-30-2

Wait till preseason is finished to find out if anyone gets injured that is important, then make your wager 

I agree with this. Preseason also gives you a chance to take a look at your

options before you bet them.  

@WISEGUY36

The longer you wait, your odds will probably go down. So it is a tough call.