week 1

thursday night game. baltimore +2.5 +100

ravens offense is new and improved. the defense is best in the league. chiefs still need help at the wr pos. 

I can assure you the 2024 Ravens defense will not be as stout as last years. Take a close look at who we lost along with their team stats, then throw in the DC and it's hard to imagine them matching last years stellar performance.

And.....

The Chiefs picked up Hollywood Brown, who shall have a major impact on the Chiefs passing game

@Biscuiteater1

this is the question people will be wondering.. how much of a drop off will there be to the defense? falling out of top 5 or falling out of top 10?

the defense still has a core group of players from last years team. i don't see that much of a drop off.

@EastsideBangers

unlike you. i'm taking baby steps with hollywood brown. a 1,000 rec yd season would be a major accomplishment. targeted behind kelce and rice 

but all he needs to do is catch all those dropped passes from mvs last season and it'd be impactful

There are 18 games in the Sports Database where the home team is favored in the Week 1 Thursday night game.  The query results:

SU:   15-3 (7.28, 83.3%)

ATS:   10-6-2 (1.89, 62.5%)

I do NOT think a measly ATS margin of only 1.89 points is actionable.  I'd want some additional reason(s) to take KC.

At 3-15 SU and an average SU margin of -7.28 points, I don't expect BAL to pull off the upset.

+2' @ E is nice but for me +3 - 10 feels better. 

@DogbiteWilliams

how about the fact patrick mahomes is 3-1 all time vs lamar jackson... tale of the tape right there

@Biscuiteater1

 tbh...i'm just picking the winner  

friday night. philly -1.5

eagles with some huge offseason adds. on offense they are nice. and defense they got a new reputable coach. 

packers still need wr help

@maxwagers781

A sample size of 18 games is more reliable than 4 games, but the heads up record does provide a slight boost.  So does the fact that BAL has a new DEF coordinator.

Good luck.

@DogbiteWilliams

doesn't look worrisome regarding the def coord situation. this is unique to baltimore. it's just the opposite, it looks promising. he's been with the org for two years as the lb coach and seems to have the full support of the team. not saying this will pan out like the next bill belicheck but they didn't just sign someone off the street.

so take a quick look behind the scenes here. lets flashback to last season. if you ran the same query for the detroit lions and kc chiefs it lost. this now becomes a second year chase bet for you. and that 83.3% looks more 50/50 to me in week 1.

sunday games. jaguars +3.5 -110

without a doubt trevor lawrence is the best qb in the state of florida

panthers +4.5

goes against my first instinct but taking this division dog week 1

I didn't bet that game last season so I will not "chase" this season.

Ravens will miss linebacker Patrick Queen. 

Only if he can catch the ball 

@maxwagers781

 GB going to beat Philly week 1 

@Gavinnick

 Hurts gonna make it hurt 

@Buffalobob89074

 Ravens will miss linebacker Patrick Queen. 

Steelers big defensive upgrade this offseason.  Offense will be improved as well.  Like them to make playoffs 

@Gavinnick

 Can’t believe they made that offer to Jordan love 

Simpson in time will be better than the Queen B.....

@kcblitzkrieg

 somehow someway i think roquan smith can handle the job that was left by queen