Posted:
#26
from my week 11 2008 trends & things thread >>>
the performance of all the teams coming off their bye week during the 2006-2007 season only
There were of course 32 teams.
Byes took place between weeks 3 & 9
Week 4 was the first week where teams played a post-bye game
Week 10 was the last week where teams played a post-bye game
16 of the teams were set a favorites
16 of the teams were set as underdogs
The spreads for the favs : -10, 7, 5.5, 6, 3, 4.5, 3, 8, 7.5, 5.5, 16, 1, 3, 3.5, 10, 9 ( 12 of them higher than 3 )
The average spread for the favorites >>> - 6.4
The spread for the dogs : +1, 1, 3.5, 7, 13, 4.5, 6, 6.5, 1, 16, 9.5, 5, 13, 3, 6.5, 10.5
The average spread for the underdogs >>> + 6.7
Results : ( 16 favs / 16 dogs )
Overall teams coming off a bye won 19 games & lost 13 SU
Favorites : ( 16 total )
Favorites won 11 games SU & ATS ( 68.75 % )
Favorites won 1 game SU & lost ATS ( 6.25 % )
Favorites lost 4 games SU & ATS ( 25.00 % )
Underdogs : ( 16 total )
Underdogs lost 8 games SU & ATS ( 50.00% )
Underdogs lost 1 game SU & won ATS ( 6.25 % )
Underdogs won 7 games SU & ATS ( 43.75 % )
The dogs that won outright overcame spreads of + 6 , + 6.5 , + 5 , + 13 , + 3, + 3, + 13
The favs that lost outright blew spreads of - 3, - 4.5, - 7.5, - 1
Notes : Once again , we see the Favorites winning and covering at a high percentage with 11 out of 16 favs covering the chalk for a 68.75 % winning !
If backing the Underdog when coming off a bye week , it proved worthwhile to take them straight up ( ML ) to win the game as nearly half of the games played by these dogs were won outright !
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