Have to wonder if the RAVENS, after 4 consecutive wins - 2 of those huge blowouts - might be ripe for a letdown against a determined BROWNS squad who just got back their star QB last week!
Watson completed 19 of 30 passes for 219 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions in the Browns' 27-0 win
Yes, RAVENS are the better team overall, but that doesn't guarantee a win much less a cover of 6+ pts ...and the plausibility of a letdown in this spot against a solid opp looms.
OK, Seahawks just scored to take a 7 pt lead.....but COMMANDOS have 3 timeouts and 3:47 to work with to tie it and they have been playing well on offense...
Hello! 
Well, I get your point and it's a different strategy than most employ that's for sure.... But I believe if one picks his spots carefully, he can make up for the heavy juice losers by a larger volume of winning bets.
In this same thread is documented on page 43 (posts #1072 - #1075) my 2022 NFL season of 100 - 39 for LARGE PROFITS!! 
....and a very large portion of my betting was on heavy juice!
This year, I am on a similar pace to last year, particularly beginning with week 6 -- which is where I began posting NFL bets last season....so I am specifically tracking these weeks to compare....
This week, so far, I posted 11 wins - 4 losses for +13.9 units
and I am already approaching another 100 win season By comparison, how are MOST of the "normal" people doing with their NFL bets?!
BILLS -350 *Best Bet for 3 units is pending on MNF...
BoL with your bets! 
Looking over the BILLS past 5 games:
Oct 08 LOSE on a neutral field to JAGS
Oct 15 barely squeak past awful NYG by only 5 pts
Oct 22 LOSE to awful Patriots on the road
Oct 26 Win by 6 at home vs mediocre BUCS
Nov 05 LOSE at CINCI by 6, despite extra prep days
BILLS have multiple KEY injuries on defense and a few playing hurt
Looking over BRONCOS recent games:
Oct 12 Lose only by 11 on the road at TOP quality KC Chiefs
Oct 22 Beat mediocre GreenBay
Oct 29 24 - 9 victory over TOP quality KC Chiefs!
Nov 05 Bye week -
Nov 13 fully healthy to face ailing Bills
Adding: BILLS -1.5 -170
I’m on them Bills too fubah…..
like the best looking chicks in my 6th grade were for the two biggest and most muscular jocks in my class : William Jenkins and Billy “ Cap’n Crunch “ McGillicutty ….
and this game isn’t looking that great for us right now , kinda like my chances with all those fine ladies in that school year that I referenced , but trust me , sooner or later the Broncos are gonna mess up , like those two jerks did when they got caught and expelled for lighting Mr. Jabloski’s toupee on fire .
and then that’s when we’re gonna swoop in and kiss victory on the mouth , like I did to to the hottest girl in school Jessica Guitierrez’s ugly younger sister named Lucy .
hey , things don’t always work out perfectly but you just go with it . Plus because of her we won the couples dance contest at the Spring Jamboree later that year , although most people credit my “ Robot “ dance and the way that I finished on the ground in a split .
So don’t worry . we got this bro . Get your chapstick ready . And put on your best dancing shoes buddy .
g
Let me make an extra point on what I said since the Denver kicker can’t in the game :
they play 4 quarters , so let’s make them dollars , cuz to me that makes sense , and sometimes the price that you pay to go after what you want can leave you bankrupt , and emotionally drained , but it’s the desire and the willingness to go after what you believe in , that’s what I care about , and that’s what I’m sold on …..
fuck am I saying ? Glad we dodged that bullet like a blessed gangster . Ya dig ? We win this now 20-19
bank it .
bills r hurting in the injury dept for sure on defense
bills r hurting in the injury dept for sure on defense
bills r hurting in the injury dept for sure on defense
bills r hurting in the injury dept for sure on defense
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