The Mighty Pats vs. what's left of the Packers tonight on NBC

 

My local has Green Bay Packers +15 -110

send it in,  If it loses bill bator   lol

Awesome info man thanks again. Win or lose. You are what this site used to be and should be about today. You are few and far between. Some of these dumb fucks that have been here for years still don't get it or appreciate it.

Thanks again.

Just like this friggin moron.

patriots can't cover if brady can't score against this packers defense. who cares if flynn doesn't put up points. its up to the defense to stop brady. it can be a 3-7 game like the detroit game for all i know. i will take 14 points anyday with a solid defense.

Dom Capers will have his players in the best position to make plays. May or may not be enough. Im happy with those points on my side tonight...

I don't think the Packers are scared

defense will win this game.

Nice Write Up mah man MrBator

If Green Bay has to play uphill for just a momen (which they will), then the 14.5 is headed right down the storm drain.

Late backdoor is where it can happen.

Bator....whats your Score Prediction? and u see this more of a over or under...im looking at the under.

Good Luck Bator!

And a big salute to your stamina discussing and arguing with all the guys that dont overthink it!

excellent write up. going to re-evaluate my lean.. GL

damn you woodchucks....quit chucking my wood

Great write-up Mr. Bator. 

Would you make a 1st Half play on GB???

Since the Indy game the Patriot's D has been hitting extremely hard. I'm just curious who would be the Packer's QB if Flynn became injured tonight?

'Twin Peaks'  ......old situational system play

 

from what i heard graham harrell.

Excellent info, MrBator. You are dead on that this is the ultimate buy low, sell high situation.

Good luck to you in the rest of the year

Another interesting thing to think of in this game is that even if, according to Vegas, Matt Flynn is worth a 7 point adjustment in the line. OK, well let's look at the Packers on the road this year (who are still in a situation where they should be motivated to play hard as their backs are against the wall as it relates to their division race with Chicago in which they only have a chance if they win out basically):

Loss @ DET by 4
Loss @ ATL by 3
Win @ MIN by 28
Win @ NYJ by 9
Loss @ WAS by 3
Loss @ CHI by 3
Win @ PHI by 7

Even if you take every single road loss they've had an add 7 points to it (Vegas' value of Flynn), you still have GB covering a 14 point line. You know what that tells me? Green Bay competes on the road as an entire team. They may not come out with the win, but Green Bay's biggest loss of the entire year, home or road, was by 4 points last week in DET. Even if you give another seven to that figure by adding in Flynn, you are getting at least 3 points of value on this line based on the entire season's results. There is significant value in this line IMO