I hope all is well. I have been meaning to do a write up for this game and hopefully can have some meaningful discussion. I live in Dallas and have followed the Dallas Cowboys my entire life. The is a team that I consistently bet against because of public perception and over inflated lines from the betting public hammering Dallas. I should also add, that as many of you know, last year my futures bet was on the GB packers at 16/1 and 18/1 before the season prior to Davontae Adams leaving, and therefore I have been intimately involved following that team.
The outcome of this game will rest solely on Dallas's consistency in running the ball against a very poor GB run defense. Dallas has a top 3 O-line and it looks like everyone is healthy. Zach Martin and Tyler Smith made first and second team All-Pro and they will bulldoze Kenny Clark and company off the line to create running lanes for Pollard. Green Bay's strengths on the defensive side of the ball are at edge rush (Rashan Gary >>> Preston Smith) and secondary when Jaire Alexander is healthy. Davondre Campbell is off injury and Quay Walker has quietly had a very good second year after being draft from Georgia.
The question remains - will Mike McCarthy and company stick to the run or are they going to try to get cute and throw it all over the field. They need to play a smash mouth type of football in this game and beat the defense down with the run before setting up the pass and I think they can do that successfully, hopefully they wont shy away from it.
The point spread? To me, this number just seems off. 7 plus the hook? I was expecting a line move to 6.5 and the fact that it moved instantly to Dallas -7.5 should raise some alarm bells. Dallas is excellent at home but do they have any business laying over a TD to a formidable playoff team?
When handicapping this game, it is also important to consider the recent HISTORYbetween these two franchises. Let us not forget about:
1. The Dez Bryan catch that wasn't a catch depending on who you believe
2. Aaron Rodgers miracle throw to Jared Cook along the sideline to set up Mason Crosby for a game winning field goal in Dallas as time was expiring.
Mike McCarthy knows that he is coaching for his coaching job in this game. If Dallas loses to GB, I do believe that Jerry Jones will fire McCarthy after several very difficult early post-season experts. McCarthy has show that he has clock and game management issues late in the game, especially if the game is tight and contested. I just think that this is way too many points for a playoff game even though GB is on the road and the stadium is going to be absolutely rocking in Dallas. Green Bay is outmatch and will lose this game but I would not at all be surprised if they put a back door cover on Dallas.
I still think they come to play today on both sides of the ball, at least for the 1st half, with the game +7.5 a backdoor is always possible though
on your plays @Ih8coldweather 
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