I agree with you on the total, in fact, I may be in the vast minority here, but I believe the game will go under the 45 because:
1) Pittsburgh has a top rusher and rushing attack with Mendenhall, who has been routinely dragging defenders 4-5yds AFTER contact.
2) Pittsburgh will gladly run the ball because that is fundamental to their physical, hard-nosed brand of football and helps keep Big Ben fresh and upright in lieu of GB's impressive pass-rush.
3) Pittsburgh will indeed SUCCEED in running the ball bc GB gives up an embarrassing average of 4.7 yards per carry this year.
4) AND... by running often, the Steelers accomplish two main objectives:
a. Shortening the game/spinning the clock w/ fewer chances for incomplete passes which of course STOP the clock.
b. Keeping Rodgers, his receivers, and the GB offense OFF the field & out of rhythm by employing long, extended drives, and tiring out GB's defense in turn.
Am I the ONLY one here who sees a classic, physical, hard-nosed, trench-winning Pittsburgh performance over a more one-dimensional Green Bay #6-seed who have basically zero Super Bowl experience?
I agree with you on the total, in fact, I may be in the vast minority here, but I believe the game will go under the 45 because:
1) Pittsburgh has a top rusher and rushing attack with Mendenhall, who has been routinely dragging defenders 4-5yds AFTER contact.
2) Pittsburgh will gladly run the ball because that is fundamental to their physical, hard-nosed brand of football and helps keep Big Ben fresh and upright in lieu of GB's impressive pass-rush.
3) Pittsburgh will indeed SUCCEED in running the ball bc GB gives up an embarrassing average of 4.7 yards per carry this year.
4) AND... by running often, the Steelers accomplish two main objectives:
a. Shortening the game/spinning the clock w/ fewer chances for incomplete passes which of course STOP the clock.
b. Keeping Rodgers, his receivers, and the GB offense OFF the field & out of rhythm by employing long, extended drives, and tiring out GB's defense in turn.
Am I the ONLY one here who sees a classic, physical, hard-nosed, trench-winning Pittsburgh performance over a more one-dimensional Green Bay #6-seed who have basically zero Super Bowl experience?
GB, may not have much superbowl experience,but they have veterans on their team and are the HUNGRIER team imo.. Like you said Maestro ..GB's defensive numbers against the run have been suspect over the long hall of the season.. But in these playoffs they have stepped up, and been extremely stout against the run.. Shutting down the NFC's best running attack, Atlanta in their own building... as well as holding Michael Vick down for 4 qtrs at home.. I really believe the biggest matchup of this game will be GB's corners vs the WR's of the Steelers... I am seeing a 21-20 type of game... I will be on GB ML and the Under 45
GB, may not have much superbowl experience,but they have veterans on their team and are the HUNGRIER team imo.. Like you said Maestro ..GB's defensive numbers against the run have been suspect over the long hall of the season.. But in these playoffs they have stepped up, and been extremely stout against the run.. Shutting down the NFC's best running attack, Atlanta in their own building... as well as holding Michael Vick down for 4 qtrs at home.. I really believe the biggest matchup of this game will be GB's corners vs the WR's of the Steelers... I am seeing a 21-20 type of game... I will be on GB ML and the Under 45
thanks for the posts, some good info here fellas...yes, it is widely available at 45 now
overall numbers this year:
pittsburgh runs at 4.0 ypr, gives up 3.0 ypr pittsburgh passes at 7.4 yps, gives up 5.7 yps
green bay runs at 3.8 ypr, gives up 4.5 ypr green bay passes at 7.7 yps, gives up 5.9 yps
with those stats, you would think that pittsburgh will be able to run on green bay but green bay has stepped up defensively near the end of the season and into the playoffs...with that said, i do expect pittsburgh to run the ball 35% of the time at least because green bay corners are ball hawks and are very good on pass defense
i expect green bay to run some, mostly on 2nd down but i just don't see them being able to run on pittsburgh....pitt's run defense is too good
thanks for the posts, some good info here fellas...yes, it is widely available at 45 now
overall numbers this year:
pittsburgh runs at 4.0 ypr, gives up 3.0 ypr pittsburgh passes at 7.4 yps, gives up 5.7 yps
green bay runs at 3.8 ypr, gives up 4.5 ypr green bay passes at 7.7 yps, gives up 5.9 yps
with those stats, you would think that pittsburgh will be able to run on green bay but green bay has stepped up defensively near the end of the season and into the playoffs...with that said, i do expect pittsburgh to run the ball 35% of the time at least because green bay corners are ball hawks and are very good on pass defense
i expect green bay to run some, mostly on 2nd down but i just don't see them being able to run on pittsburgh....pitt's run defense is too good
defensively, both teams are great and will make the other team metriculate down the field for 6...there may be a big play or 2 but both teams tackle very well
with pittsburgh on offense i expect them to go to the tight end miller a lot as that is one of gb's weaknesses, covering the middle of the field...i expect mendenhall to get some yards as well
with green bay on offense, i expect them to keep an extra blocker back to protect vs pittsburgh's front 3 or 4...i expect them to go to some short slants and run the ball before going to jennings and driver down the field
both qb's are playing verywell and i don't expect many interceptions..i expect some time consuming drives that end in 3's or punts...i expect both teams to come out slow after the 2 week break
i expect a close game and i think getting 3 with pittsburgh offers value
defensively, both teams are great and will make the other team metriculate down the field for 6...there may be a big play or 2 but both teams tackle very well
with pittsburgh on offense i expect them to go to the tight end miller a lot as that is one of gb's weaknesses, covering the middle of the field...i expect mendenhall to get some yards as well
with green bay on offense, i expect them to keep an extra blocker back to protect vs pittsburgh's front 3 or 4...i expect them to go to some short slants and run the ball before going to jennings and driver down the field
both qb's are playing verywell and i don't expect many interceptions..i expect some time consuming drives that end in 3's or punts...i expect both teams to come out slow after the 2 week break
i expect a close game and i think getting 3 with pittsburgh offers value
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