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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Saw an AMAZING trend online earlier regarding game tonite

    drlock
    DDD81
    DiscoD69
    Laroja
    Ed-Collins
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    drlock
    drlock
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2010 - 8:21 PM ET #1

    the trend says a team coming of a home loss of 17 or more (the 9ers) and then going on the road against a losing team and favored by 6 or less (maybe 7) but doesn't matter in this case...is 0-21 ATS the last 31 years....  I can't ignore those numbers...

    CARDS +2    GOOD LUCK....going under as well....

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    the trend says a team coming of a home loss of 17 or more (the 9ers) and then going on the road against a losing team and favored by 6 or less (maybe 7) but doesn't matter in this case...is 0-21 ATS the last 31 years....  I can't ignore those numbers...

    CARDS +2    GOOD LUCK....going under as well....

     
    DDD81
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2010 - 8:30 PM ET #2

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    DiscoD69
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2010 - 8:33 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by drlock:

    the trend says a team coming of a home loss of 17 or more (the 9ers) and then going on the road against a losing team and favored by 6 or less (maybe 7) but doesn't matter in this case...is 0-21 ATS the last 31 years....  I can't ignore those numbers...

    CARDS +2    GOOD LUCK....going under as well....



    Can anybody verify this? Seems unreasonable to me.

    I may be wrong.
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    Quote Originally Posted by drlock:

    the trend says a team coming of a home loss of 17 or more (the 9ers) and then going on the road against a losing team and favored by 6 or less (maybe 7) but doesn't matter in this case...is 0-21 ATS the last 31 years....  I can't ignore those numbers...

    CARDS +2    GOOD LUCK....going under as well....



    Can anybody verify this? Seems unreasonable to me.

    I may be wrong.
     
    drlock
    drlock
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2010 - 8:39 PM ET #4

    Disco, it's just what I read, I wish I would have copied and pasted it here, but now I can't find it...just giving you the info I saw, trust me, I don't want any of us to lose...and in a bullshit game like this, why can't, or won't, the home team win??  I'm certainly hoping so....good luck tho bro, whoever you take.....just trying to throw some info out there which I saw.
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    Disco, it's just what I read, I wish I would have copied and pasted it here, but now I can't find it...just giving you the info I saw, trust me, I don't want any of us to lose...and in a bullshit game like this, why can't, or won't, the home team win??  I'm certainly hoping so....good luck tho bro, whoever you take.....just trying to throw some info out there which I saw.
     
    Laroja
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2010 - 8:42 PM ET #5

    If that's true. Wow lol .
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    If that's true. Wow lol .
     
     
    Ed-Collins
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2010 - 9:00 PM ET #6

    Verify it?  Are you kidding me?  Don't bother.  Stats/trends like that are completely, and I mean completely worthless.

    No one, and I mean no one, has been making money off of that "trend" the past 10 or 15 games.

    I don't want to bust your bubble or anything, but stats of that nature I like to call "after the fact" statistics.  With the help of a database, after a number of games have been played, I could create and dream up a whole bunch of stats like that, that are equally "impressive."

    They mean nothing.

    Here's one:  Teams favored by 4 or less, on the road, the week after Thanksgiving, when playing against a divisional foe, with the same exact won loss record, on Monday night, outdoors, are 2-15 against the spread."

    Who cares?

    Don't waste your time handicapping in that way.

    Note that if an actual "trend" DOES become well known, it's automatically accounted for in the line.

    Arizona +2 has about a 50% chance of winning tonight.  That's it.
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    Verify it?  Are you kidding me?  Don't bother.  Stats/trends like that are completely, and I mean completely worthless.

    No one, and I mean no one, has been making money off of that "trend" the past 10 or 15 games.

    I don't want to bust your bubble or anything, but stats of that nature I like to call "after the fact" statistics.  With the help of a database, after a number of games have been played, I could create and dream up a whole bunch of stats like that, that are equally "impressive."

    They mean nothing.

    Here's one:  Teams favored by 4 or less, on the road, the week after Thanksgiving, when playing against a divisional foe, with the same exact won loss record, on Monday night, outdoors, are 2-15 against the spread."

    Who cares?

    Don't waste your time handicapping in that way.

    Note that if an actual "trend" DOES become well known, it's automatically accounted for in the line.

    Arizona +2 has about a 50% chance of winning tonight.  That's it.
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