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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    SAINTS @ 49ERS FULL WRITE UP:

    «First Previous 12345 Next Last»
    JGambler
    KScapping
    TheEnterprise
    AndyMurray
    Guy_2U
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    JGambler
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 4:29 PM ET #76

    KS I hope you are right however I highly doubt it.  Dallas used a 2nd string quarterback for most of the 2nd half than Romo with a broken rib came in and drove up and down the field on the 49ers. Big Ben passed for a total of 330 yards Eli Manning 311yrds Romo 345 (Cowboys 432 if u include Kitna) those are the only home games they have played against top flight qbs with quality recievers.  Brees is alot more accurate than any of those 3. You think Saints are gonna defend Gore???? They are gonna try to stop him but you know how they plan to take him away burry the 49ers 14-0 early and force an inept Alex Smith to try to beat them.  Harbaugh is a good coach but only 1 allowed in the Super Bowl and he is coaching Baltimore. Nice season 49ers good job in over achieving but now get your golf clubs and cleets ready Saints sending you into the off season.
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    KS I hope you are right however I highly doubt it.  Dallas used a 2nd string quarterback for most of the 2nd half than Romo with a broken rib came in and drove up and down the field on the 49ers. Big Ben passed for a total of 330 yards Eli Manning 311yrds Romo 345 (Cowboys 432 if u include Kitna) those are the only home games they have played against top flight qbs with quality recievers.  Brees is alot more accurate than any of those 3. You think Saints are gonna defend Gore???? They are gonna try to stop him but you know how they plan to take him away burry the 49ers 14-0 early and force an inept Alex Smith to try to beat them.  Harbaugh is a good coach but only 1 allowed in the Super Bowl and he is coaching Baltimore. Nice season 49ers good job in over achieving but now get your golf clubs and cleets ready Saints sending you into the off season.
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 5:00 PM ET #77

    Everybody:
    Thanks for the feedback, the agreements, and the opposing opinions... to those asking why my analysis is 'skewed'.. I break down every aspect of a game, then post the pertinent aspects as I see it..please know that if I posted everything from top to bottom (as I cap it) the write up would be 7 pages long...per this game, it is the fact that the Saints are not the same (or close to it) offense on grass as they are at home.... and the game plans of each will be much different: Saints 'dink and dunk' instead of the passing all over the field and going deep every other play..... and the niners who will be passing much more on first, and even on 3rd downs than we are used to seeing.....peace, and enjoy the game fellas 
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    Everybody:
    Thanks for the feedback, the agreements, and the opposing opinions... to those asking why my analysis is 'skewed'.. I break down every aspect of a game, then post the pertinent aspects as I see it..please know that if I posted everything from top to bottom (as I cap it) the write up would be 7 pages long...per this game, it is the fact that the Saints are not the same (or close to it) offense on grass as they are at home.... and the game plans of each will be much different: Saints 'dink and dunk' instead of the passing all over the field and going deep every other play..... and the niners who will be passing much more on first, and even on 3rd downs than we are used to seeing.....peace, and enjoy the game fellas 
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 5:16 PM ET #78

    Quote Originally Posted by HecklerDonJuan:

    Hate to rain on the parade, but this is a classic example of some excellent capping that ends up failing because sometimes you just think too much.  Sometimes you can't see the forest for the trees, so to speak.

    Here is the bottom line:  San Fran cannot score the amount of points it takes to beat the Saints.  The Saints will score 24 points today.  That is a high likelihood.  We have a new version of Alex Smith this year.  Well...let's see how Alex likes the playoff atmosphere.  The only chance the niners have is for Alex to hook up on some big plays this game, and I just can't see it happening.  The niners are worthy of respect.  It's not often that you see a team traveling across the country and favored in a road game.  There is a reason for this. 

    The only thing that will cause me concern is if the line crosses 3 prior to gametime.  If it goes to 2.5, I probably won't play.  If it goes to 3, I might consider playing light.  If it stays at 3.5, I'm pounding Saints ML. 

    For niner backers' sake, maybe Saints will take it by 3 and we both hit.  3.5 is a lot to lay at niners.  But Brees will get this win.  Mark it down.
     lota game to play...but .... man the way you 'tee'd' off on me and yet this (my write up) is starting to read more like a post game write up....i.e. 49ers passing passing passing..... Turnovers.....and the Saints trying to 'Dink and Dunk"
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    Quote Originally Posted by HecklerDonJuan:

    Hate to rain on the parade, but this is a classic example of some excellent capping that ends up failing because sometimes you just think too much.  Sometimes you can't see the forest for the trees, so to speak.

    Here is the bottom line:  San Fran cannot score the amount of points it takes to beat the Saints.  The Saints will score 24 points today.  That is a high likelihood.  We have a new version of Alex Smith this year.  Well...let's see how Alex likes the playoff atmosphere.  The only chance the niners have is for Alex to hook up on some big plays this game, and I just can't see it happening.  The niners are worthy of respect.  It's not often that you see a team traveling across the country and favored in a road game.  There is a reason for this. 

    The only thing that will cause me concern is if the line crosses 3 prior to gametime.  If it goes to 2.5, I probably won't play.  If it goes to 3, I might consider playing light.  If it stays at 3.5, I'm pounding Saints ML. 

    For niner backers' sake, maybe Saints will take it by 3 and we both hit.  3.5 is a lot to lay at niners.  But Brees will get this win.  Mark it down.
     lota game to play...but .... man the way you 'tee'd' off on me and yet this (my write up) is starting to read more like a post game write up....i.e. 49ers passing passing passing..... Turnovers.....and the Saints trying to 'Dink and Dunk"
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 5:22 PM ET #79

    Quote Originally Posted by mbullitt04:

    Well done on the write up, but goin against you on this one KS. After all the facts, sometimes you just have to go with your gut.

    Saints -4 (even)

    BOL

    I totally get that..... BoL on all your other plays 
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    Quote Originally Posted by mbullitt04:

    Well done on the write up, but goin against you on this one KS. After all the facts, sometimes you just have to go with your gut.

    Saints -4 (even)

    BOL

    I totally get that..... BoL on all your other plays 
     
    TheEnterprise
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 5:30 PM ET #80

    KS  Thank again for great write-ups  

    Keep up the great work  
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    KS  Thank again for great write-ups  

    Keep up the great work  
     
    AndyMurray
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 5:33 PM ET #81

    9ers backers know this is going to hurt. 17-0 lead and they still don't cover
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    9ers backers know this is going to hurt. 17-0 lead and they still don't cover
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 8:11 PM ET #82

    Quote Originally Posted by AndyMurray:

    9ers backers know this is going to hurt. 17-0 lead and they still don't cover
    not so funny now though is it? lol
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    Quote Originally Posted by AndyMurray:

    9ers backers know this is going to hurt. 17-0 lead and they still don't cover
    not so funny now though is it? lol
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 8:31 PM ET #83

    Well I had 6.6 U's on the 9ers, and 4.4 on the Under (which was just 1 pt off my score prediction with 6 mins to go).... I will take the 1.6 U's and sit back and enjoy the Den / NE game 
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    Well I had 6.6 U's on the 9ers, and 4.4 on the Under (which was just 1 pt off my score prediction with 6 mins to go).... I will take the 1.6 U's and sit back and enjoy the Den / NE game 
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 8:42 PM ET #84

    All season long Brees has averaged a 93 passer rating in away games (not counting the Minnesota game where they had signed defensive secondary players off the street late in the season), and Alex Smith averaged a 101 passer rating @ home...today?  Brees 93 rating, Smith 103.... interesting 
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    All season long Brees has averaged a 93 passer rating in away games (not counting the Minnesota game where they had signed defensive secondary players off the street late in the season), and Alex Smith averaged a 101 passer rating @ home...today?  Brees 93 rating, Smith 103.... interesting 
     
    AndyMurray
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 8:48 PM ET #85

    Quote Originally Posted by KScapping:

    not so funny now though is it? lol

    49ers

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    Quote Originally Posted by KScapping:

    not so funny now though is it? lol

    49ers

     
    Guy_2U
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 8:58 PM ET #86

    Quote Originally Posted by KScapping:

    not so funny now though is it? lol

    That hurt with less then 2 mins remaining 49ers TD for the WIN!

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    Quote Originally Posted by KScapping:

    not so funny now though is it? lol

    That hurt with less then 2 mins remaining 49ers TD for the WIN!

     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 9:14 PM ET #87

    Quote Originally Posted by Guy_2U:

    That hurt with less then 2 mins remaining 49ers TD for the WIN!

     no, what hurt was having a 7 pt cushion on the Under with 6 mins to go then lose that ticket by 21 pts.... they scored almost a third of the games pts with 6 mins to go lol... still made money so I am not complaining, but it could have been a nice hit
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    Quote Originally Posted by Guy_2U:

    That hurt with less then 2 mins remaining 49ers TD for the WIN!

     no, what hurt was having a 7 pt cushion on the Under with 6 mins to go then lose that ticket by 21 pts.... they scored almost a third of the games pts with 6 mins to go lol... still made money so I am not complaining, but it could have been a nice hit
     
    dgnerate
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 11:20 PM ET #88

    congratulations niners backers!
    bol to all.
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    congratulations niners backers!
    bol to all.
     
    Guy_2U
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 11:36 PM ET #89

    Quote Originally Posted by KScapping:

     no, what hurt was having a 7 pt cushion on the Under with 6 mins to go then lose that ticket by 21 pts.... they scored almost a third of the games pts with 6 mins to go lol... still made money so I am not complaining, but it could have been a nice hit

    Oh my comment was a poke at AndyMurray, I knew you had the 49ers as a dog, was not thinking you had the under too.

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    Quote Originally Posted by KScapping:

     no, what hurt was having a 7 pt cushion on the Under with 6 mins to go then lose that ticket by 21 pts.... they scored almost a third of the games pts with 6 mins to go lol... still made money so I am not complaining, but it could have been a nice hit

    Oh my comment was a poke at AndyMurray, I knew you had the 49ers as a dog, was not thinking you had the under too.

     
    Tonga
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 12:33 AM ET #90

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    degengambler34
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 12:38 AM ET #91

    Good job ks, glad i tailed you and vegasjack yet again. If anyone doesn't think that home field mattered and the saints being outside was the difference didn't watch the same game i did. Multiple saints fell down during the game and it helped neutralize sprowles. Still took some luck to win but ill take it any day:)
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    Good job ks, glad i tailed you and vegasjack yet again. If anyone doesn't think that home field mattered and the saints being outside was the difference didn't watch the same game i did. Multiple saints fell down during the game and it helped neutralize sprowles. Still took some luck to win but ill take it any day:)
     
    cobradan
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 1:15 AM ET #92

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    GMoney247
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 2:08 AM ET #93

    Quote Originally Posted by degengambler34:

    Good job ks, glad i tailed you and vegasjack yet again. If anyone doesn't think that home field mattered and the saints being outside was the difference didn't watch the same game i did. Multiple saints fell down during the game and it helped neutralize sprowles. Still took some luck to win but ill take it any day:)

    Bro u were on the saints all week what are you talking about????

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    Quote Originally Posted by degengambler34:

    Good job ks, glad i tailed you and vegasjack yet again. If anyone doesn't think that home field mattered and the saints being outside was the difference didn't watch the same game i did. Multiple saints fell down during the game and it helped neutralize sprowles. Still took some luck to win but ill take it any day:)

    Bro u were on the saints all week what are you talking about????

     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 2:32 AM ET #94

    hey fellas... fell behind time wise, but will have a write up posted in about 90 minutes if anyone is interested...peace to all 
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    hey fellas... fell behind time wise, but will have a write up posted in about 90 minutes if anyone is interested...peace to all 
     
    composite
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 3:36 AM ET #95

    dying to get your thoughts on tomorrow's games. On Balt and NYG myself.
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    dying to get your thoughts on tomorrow's games. On Balt and NYG myself.
     
    CMP
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 5:10 AM ET #96

    You did not make money you put up two plays and went 1-1
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    You did not make money you put up two plays and went 1-1
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 8:16 AM ET #97

    Quote Originally Posted by CMP:

    You did not make money you put up two plays and went 1-1
     look on my thread @ https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101229669  I played 6.6 on San Fran, and 4.4 on the Under 
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    Quote Originally Posted by CMP:

    You did not make money you put up two plays and went 1-1
     look on my thread @ https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101229669  I played 6.6 on San Fran, and 4.4 on the Under 
     
    HecklerDonJuan
    HecklerDonJuan
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 9:40 AM ET #98

    Sure thing..nice win...nevermind the 5 turnovers with one being on the 2 yard line going in and another essentially a pick 6.  While niners got this one so job to niner backers, you were on the wrong team in this one.
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    Sure thing..nice win...nevermind the 5 turnovers with one being on the 2 yard line going in and another essentially a pick 6.  While niners got this one so job to niner backers, you were on the wrong team in this one.
     
    KScapping
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 9:44 AM ET #99

    Quote Originally Posted by HecklerDonJuan:

    Sure thing..nice win...nevermind the 5 turnovers with one being on the 2 yard line going in and another essentially a pick 6.  While niners got this one so job to niner backers, you were on the wrong team in this one.
     read the write up... I called out the SF T.O. battle and the fact that it would play..... Saints lost half their TO battles on the road, and the 9ers won ALL but 14 or 16 TO battles by a margin of +1, or more....going against the Saints -3 on the year...you know they were going to win the Battle
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    Quote Originally Posted by HecklerDonJuan:

    Sure thing..nice win...nevermind the 5 turnovers with one being on the 2 yard line going in and another essentially a pick 6.  While niners got this one so job to niner backers, you were on the wrong team in this one.
     read the write up... I called out the SF T.O. battle and the fact that it would play..... Saints lost half their TO battles on the road, and the 9ers won ALL but 14 or 16 TO battles by a margin of +1, or more....going against the Saints -3 on the year...you know they were going to win the Battle
     
     
    ALEWIS7136
    ALEWIS7136
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 9:51 AM ET #100

    IM SURE ALL THE NON BELIEVERS ARE TOTALLY BELIEVERS NOW!!! GOOOO SAN FRAN!!!
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    IM SURE ALL THE NON BELIEVERS ARE TOTALLY BELIEVERS NOW!!! GOOOO SAN FRAN!!!
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