reverse line movements...

What made you like Toronto? I had bet Bobcats following another capper, he thought they had a shot at winning the game, so much for that....

Hey Mike, I've been reading through your threads and I like where your head's at. I've noticed these movements in Vegas numbers long ago and have been rather successful. The minimum 60% public is a new element for me but I like it; it makes sense. Now, I understand moves are based on 50/50 betting but there is definitely some substance to this system. I see you getting some garbage on here for it but the numbers don't lie, you are on a roll and I'm riding it. Thanks for your insights brother. 

Looking forward to your NFL picks...

2-1 for the sake of the experiment, but 4-1 for your wallet. Good on you, my man!

It doesn't look like anything is changing in the NFL today. I'm seeing the same thing I've heen seeingvsince Tues, so kight as well call it early...

To be honest, I'm questioning whether or not I want to take NBA plays today based on the system. I could be wrong, but if you think about the fact that this system works because we're following the big money, then I don't think there are plays today. let me explain why and explain a lot more of the system while I'm at it.    Let's just say there's usually 2 million on any particular NBA game and 1,000 tickets written. (fake numbers). The line opened at OKC -7.5 over NYK. Out of the 1,000 tix written 860 are on OKC, 86%, 140 are on NYK, 14%. Should the line move? NO!    If out of the 2 million 1.5 is on NYK and only 500k is on OKC, then that's where we would get RLM. The line would probably move to OKC -6.5. And we would see 86% on OKC but the line is favoring them. Lines move because of $, not %. This tells us that the 860 betting on OKC are small time bettors, but the 140 on NYK are the big money guys that are able to moves lines! Phew! that's was a lot to get out... So after rambling about the reasons we bet the way we do, the reason I don't like NBA tonight is that I feel all of the REAl big money guys that can move lines with a single bet are all on NFL playoffs. Maybe I'm just over thinking it. But I think if you wait until after the 1st playoff game, the guys that lost big will be looking to get back that $, either on the G bay game OR NBA tonight. If you guys have the time, I don't today, keep an eye on the percentages and line in the NBA and the G Bay game today BOTH before the Denver game, then again after the Denver game.   Anyone have thoughts on this? Maybe I'm just going crazy from my meds!

wit all due respect....we cap games in the right forum...meaning you go to college basketball forum to discuss duke vs whoever........this is the NFL FORUM...(when i played baseball in college...coach wood really get on us about TALKING football in the dugout during fall ball)....

bobaffert, i agree with you 100 percent. but i started this as a reverse line thread and went 6-0 in footaball last weekend. sorry, but i aint giving up this thread with the streak i'm on...lol. i have a thread in the nba forum as well with all the same picks. i'm too superstitious to not post plays here though. i'm sure you can respect that. if it gets to the point that i lose 5 in a row, i'll kill this thread, but until then i can't see myself giving it up. no disrespect intended...bol... let's go g bay unde!!!   r

Green Bay team total UNDER?  or UNDER for the whole game?

Mike, you saying GB total team under or total game under? And under what number? Please clearify

under 45 for the g bay game... i got it at 45, i think you can get it at 45.5

Trini! Really impressive work. I've noticed some other ppl talking about the RLM in other forums but never in full detail. Now Im kind of curious where you're finding all the percentages and numbers from where you make your analys and conclusions about the picks? I mean, you shouldnt be doing all that by yourself. Is there a website that shows where the money is going or what? Sorry for being a dumbass for not knowing (from europe).

washington wizzards looked like a great play, but i didn't catch it until 5 mins after the game started.. might jump on them 2h if the lines are right

ulwen, it's all here in the thread on one page or the other... if i get a chance a little later, i'll try to post it again

alright, ive read everything but ill check again. thanks

sportsbook spy.com, scoresand odds.com

My second system play for tonight is:

So gb game under 2nd half?

g bay under 2 half for sure ...

2nd half under also not looking so good

Over

  need kings just yo break even for the day... they're not doing so good either... 2mor's a new day!

And so it goes. Don't lose your focus. You're going to get verbally BEATEN today. It's natural. Keep doing the work and making people money. Days like this will happen. Being the leader of a thread that's had success sucks, but you really are doing everyone that doesn't have the time a service. Shake it off...

All gravy

unless the kings win the 4th qtr by 20 pts... 0-2 in today's posted picks...  13-4 record using rlm.

thank you both sm1975 and cmonet.. i really appreciate the encouragement. let's try to crush some football 2mor.