REGRESSION PLAYS WEEK 1...........................2025

@spottie2935

 Just don't touch the game.

I’m so curious about this game I have the Saints on my weekly big ticket.  If I see an opportunity in game then I get involved further but I have to see a live opportunity.  Big tickets need more teams and this is an opportunity.  Good defensive teams might make a difference but it’s not like the Saints score a lot anyways.  This cover will be because the Cardinals have struggled in road games.  We’ll see if this game is bad Arizona on the road, or do they just abuse a bad Saints team.  

Claw, I enjoy your threads tremendously. I'm gonna throw out a couple of other regression possibilities. 

TITANS - Defensively, only the Eagles gave up fewer yards than the 5291 yards Tennessee gave up, and yet only Carolina and Dallas gave up more points than Tenny's 460! Obviously the Titans -16 turnover differential played a significant role, but my point is while they were improved statistically last season from 2023, they stunk it up record wise both SU and ATS! A bounce back year COULD be in store, but I won't be backing them in Week One, not with a rookie QB on the road against a top defense.

BILLS - They didn't lose the turnover battle in a single game all season, including the playoffs and finished the year with a +26 differential! That number alone screams regression! In Week One they face the Ravens, who in my mind have been the best team in the league the past couple of seasons. The line is Buffalo -1'. In last year's playoff matchup it was Baltimore -1'. The three point swing is significant when you take into account that regular season Lamar Jackson is much better than playoffs Lamar Jackson. Ravens look like a solid play in Week One.