Broncos -9 2u to win 2u Broncos TT over 27 1.15u to win 1u
The Broncos have scored 30+ points in 7 of their 8 home games this season. The Ravens are averaging 18 pts/game on the road this season. IMO the Ravens are at a disadvantage: they played an emotional game (Ray Lewis' last home game) Sunday Morning and are on the road Saturday afternoon playing in high altitude. The Broncos are well rested and most likely already knew they were gonna play the Ravens. The Broncos are rolling on all cylinders and the Ravens are limping in. I'll lay the points and take Peyton at home over Whacko Flacco on the road any day. Peyton finally has a running game and defense! <== Peyton ==>
GB/SF over 45 1.1u to win 1u
If Rodgers wants to beat SF's pass rush, he'll have to go into their hurry-up offense. Rodgers was able to hit 10 different receivers last week and will most likely spread the ball around again tonight. SF has been over machines since their bye week: 7-1 O/U, 4-0 O/U at home. I think both teams are good for 3+ tds. I hate that it's a public pick but I think this will be like the NO/SF Divisional game from last year.
Falcons ML 1.45u to win 1u
I think the Falcons WRs matches up well against the Seahawks cornerbacks: big and physical. The way to beat the Seahawks defense is to run it up the gut and work the middle. Which I think the Falcons will be able to do with Turner/Jacquizz & Gonzalez (I think Gonzo will have a big game). Matt Ryan has impressed me this year and has shown that he can be clutch when there's less than a minute left on the clock. Russell Wilson has also impressed me this year but I think he will struggle in a loud hostile dome and will make some rookie mistakes. The Seahawks may have won their last 3 road games, but those were
against: a declining Bears team, the Bills, and the Redskins (with a
wobbling RG3). The Falcons may have been a one & done team in the
playoffs for 3 straight years, but the teams they've lost to had all
gone to the Super Bowl (the last 2 won it all). If the Seahawks do win however, I will put a future wager on them to win the NFC and Super Bowl.
Texans +9.5 1.15u to win 1u
I think this game will be a lot closer than the last time these two teams played. The Texans were on their third straight road game and were missing some players on offense & defense in that game. Even though the Texans settled for some field goals last week, they moved the ball very well against a good Bengals defense. Mainly because they have their other TE Graham back and they were able to use their double TE set (which is their favorite formation). Graham wasn't playing the first time these teams played, due to injury, and the Texans weren't able to move the ball that much without their double TE set. With their favorite formation back in their arsenal, I think the Texans will be able to move the ball and keep it a close game. Gronk is back for the Patriots, but he could be a lil' rusty after being out for awhile. I do think the Patriots will win, but I think it will be a one possession game.
Broncos -9 2u to win 2u Broncos TT over 27 1.15u to win 1u
The Broncos have scored 30+ points in 7 of their 8 home games this season. The Ravens are averaging 18 pts/game on the road this season. IMO the Ravens are at a disadvantage: they played an emotional game (Ray Lewis' last home game) Sunday Morning and are on the road Saturday afternoon playing in high altitude. The Broncos are well rested and most likely already knew they were gonna play the Ravens. The Broncos are rolling on all cylinders and the Ravens are limping in. I'll lay the points and take Peyton at home over Whacko Flacco on the road any day. Peyton finally has a running game and defense! <== Peyton ==>
GB/SF over 45 1.1u to win 1u
If Rodgers wants to beat SF's pass rush, he'll have to go into their hurry-up offense. Rodgers was able to hit 10 different receivers last week and will most likely spread the ball around again tonight. SF has been over machines since their bye week: 7-1 O/U, 4-0 O/U at home. I think both teams are good for 3+ tds. I hate that it's a public pick but I think this will be like the NO/SF Divisional game from last year.
Falcons ML 1.45u to win 1u
I think the Falcons WRs matches up well against the Seahawks cornerbacks: big and physical. The way to beat the Seahawks defense is to run it up the gut and work the middle. Which I think the Falcons will be able to do with Turner/Jacquizz & Gonzalez (I think Gonzo will have a big game). Matt Ryan has impressed me this year and has shown that he can be clutch when there's less than a minute left on the clock. Russell Wilson has also impressed me this year but I think he will struggle in a loud hostile dome and will make some rookie mistakes. The Seahawks may have won their last 3 road games, but those were
against: a declining Bears team, the Bills, and the Redskins (with a
wobbling RG3). The Falcons may have been a one & done team in the
playoffs for 3 straight years, but the teams they've lost to had all
gone to the Super Bowl (the last 2 won it all). If the Seahawks do win however, I will put a future wager on them to win the NFC and Super Bowl.
Texans +9.5 1.15u to win 1u
I think this game will be a lot closer than the last time these two teams played. The Texans were on their third straight road game and were missing some players on offense & defense in that game. Even though the Texans settled for some field goals last week, they moved the ball very well against a good Bengals defense. Mainly because they have their other TE Graham back and they were able to use their double TE set (which is their favorite formation). Graham wasn't playing the first time these teams played, due to injury, and the Texans weren't able to move the ball that much without their double TE set. With their favorite formation back in their arsenal, I think the Texans will be able to move the ball and keep it a close game. Gronk is back for the Patriots, but he could be a lil' rusty after being out for awhile. I do think the Patriots will win, but I think it will be a one possession game.
I was hoping NE would go for a first down instead of kicking that field goal. But instead I had to hope for a backdoor cover. The Texans didn't look to be in any hurry in their last drive. With a minute left and down by 13 pts, I thought they would've hurried it up a lil' faster. They didn't even spike the ball or go towards the sideline once, wtf. Congrats Patriots backers.
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Falcons ML +1u Texans +9.5-1.15u 4 Teamer: -0.51u 2h hou/ne over 24.5+1u
I was hoping NE would go for a first down instead of kicking that field goal. But instead I had to hope for a backdoor cover. The Texans didn't look to be in any hurry in their last drive. With a minute left and down by 13 pts, I thought they would've hurried it up a lil' faster. They didn't even spike the ball or go towards the sideline once, wtf. Congrats Patriots backers.
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