THE BIG SHOWDOWN........................................... Boys at 49ers...........................
Big game today........
Looking at the 2 teams, 9ers are dominating teams.
ave per play 6.3-4.5=1.8
ave per pass 8.2-4.7 = 3.5, historically strong.
ave per pass without sacks 9.1-5.4 = 3.7, wow 9.1 is again historically great.
QBPR 115.1-75=40.1, once again very strong would be right up very well could be top 10 since 1978 when league changed rules to open up passing game.
BOYS....
ave per play 5.1-4.7=.4, nothing special, it's ok
ave per pass 6-4.9=1.1, again nothing special
ave per pass without sacks 6.7-6.3=.4, actually pretty weak
QBPR 96.1-55.2=40.9, wow very strong possible top 10 since 1978
On the surface 9ers look way better but here is where Boys crush the 9ers and something to watch in today's game, may play a very big role in who wins this game.
SACK RATE .......
Boys 11.5-4.2=+7.3%
9ers 4.9-5.9=(-1%)
wow Boys with a huge sack rate on defense 11.5% and a 7.3 differential to the 9ers (-1%)
because of this look at INT RATE.
Boys 6.5-.7=+5.8%
9ers 2.9-0=+2.9%
I think Boys have to win these 2 battles to win this game, sack rate & INT rate.
9ers are playing on such a high level that it is not likely sustainable, they'd be the greatest team ever if they sustain their early season play which is not very likely. And they may be peaking to early for a SB Champ.
But Boys are already +9 in TO's, 1 TO and forced 10 TO's, not sustainable either. I think 9ers come back to earth today but whether the Boys can sustain such a high TO rate is not likely, Purdy is sacked 5.9% of the time, not overly high but Boys should get to him and might be the difference in the gasme.