Posted:
#51
Quote Originally Posted by MRxKrazz:
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Quote Originally Posted by MRxKrazz: Rough start to the week. I believe bad streaks happens, but really would love to know how you come up with your bets. I read and track a lot of what you have to say, and betting dogs is key to your success, but the SF 49ers, MIN Vikings, and WAS Commanders were all favs with a fishy dangling line, SF -6.5 was baiting the 7 will cover, MIN with sunshine out at QB for JAC seem like another -7 seem too good to be true, I thought the WAS and PIT game was a coin flip, and all 3 games the pointed matter. The Colts had every chance to cover, but way too many turnovers but that lost seem Ok? Would love to hear your thoughts. Thoughts? I am struggling. Probably worse than struggling, I suck this season. Does that mean anything? No. I am going to be brutally honest here.... So read on only if you think you can read it unemotionally... I am down 20 units give or take. I won 75+ last season. I have won each season for 7 straight posted, I would say around 600 units. That is posted. I do much better personally because I dont have the restrictions I do when I post (all at same time, all for widely available lines etc). I say the above because it gives context. Perspective. I realize if you are a 2024 covers member, and see this joker Vanzack getting all these views and replies and losing almost every week - you think WTF? But my world - how I live - how I bet - is all down to long term results. So this season I am down about 20% of what I would feel like would be "uncomfortable" for me. But more importantly - these 10 weeks are statistically insignificant. I could have pretty easily gone 5-0 in the early games, or 0-5. There has been a lot of that this year. And 10 weeks is not enough to change something that has been working for me for a decade. It wouldnt be smart to do so. So I keep trucking. I get those who want to stop trucking with me. No problem. I understand. Once again - I am free voice on the internet. Thats all you should really think of me. I can assure you I live and breathe this stuff - so it is not due to a lack of effort - and should be understood that even though someone has previously been successful and puts in the time - it guarantees nothing. Thanks for the long reply. I get the stick with your process, I mean, its not really hard to go 50/50 in any season, you aren't far from that at all. I remember a couple weeks ago, you mentioned when favs are winning you will have a bad season, but today the dogs were kind of barking, and I really would love to understand why the 49ers and Vikings made your to bet list, thats all. Of all the cappers that here, I want to say that you are the only one I can't seem figure out why with your system, rather the bet win or lose.
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Quote Originally Posted by MRxKrazz: Rough start to the week. I believe bad streaks happens, but really would love to know how you come up with your bets. I read and track a lot of what you have to say, and betting dogs is key to your success, but the SF 49ers, MIN Vikings, and WAS Commanders were all favs with a fishy dangling line, SF -6.5 was baiting the 7 will cover, MIN with sunshine out at QB for JAC seem like another -7 seem too good to be true, I thought the WAS and PIT game was a coin flip, and all 3 games the pointed matter. The Colts had every chance to cover, but way too many turnovers but that lost seem Ok? Would love to hear your thoughts. Thoughts? I am struggling. Probably worse than struggling, I suck this season. Does that mean anything? No. I am going to be brutally honest here.... So read on only if you think you can read it unemotionally... I am down 20 units give or take. I won 75+ last season. I have won each season for 7 straight posted, I would say around 600 units. That is posted. I do much better personally because I dont have the restrictions I do when I post (all at same time, all for widely available lines etc). I say the above because it gives context. Perspective. I realize if you are a 2024 covers member, and see this joker Vanzack getting all these views and replies and losing almost every week - you think WTF? But my world - how I live - how I bet - is all down to long term results. So this season I am down about 20% of what I would feel like would be "uncomfortable" for me. But more importantly - these 10 weeks are statistically insignificant. I could have pretty easily gone 5-0 in the early games, or 0-5. There has been a lot of that this year. And 10 weeks is not enough to change something that has been working for me for a decade. It wouldnt be smart to do so. So I keep trucking. I get those who want to stop trucking with me. No problem. I understand. Once again - I am free voice on the internet. Thats all you should really think of me. I can assure you I live and breathe this stuff - so it is not due to a lack of effort - and should be understood that even though someone has previously been successful and puts in the time - it guarantees nothing. Thanks for the long reply. I get the stick with your process, I mean, its not really hard to go 50/50 in any season, you aren't far from that at all. I remember a couple weeks ago, you mentioned when favs are winning you will have a bad season, but today the dogs were kind of barking, and I really would love to understand why the 49ers and Vikings made your to bet list, thats all. Of all the cappers that here, I want to say that you are the only one I can't seem figure out why with your system, rather the bet win or lose.
You act like the Niners were not a good bet because they didn’t cover. The results matter less than the process. Niners outgained the Buccaneers 2 yards to 1. Their 80% kicker missed 3FG. Hello?! The refs allowed the Buccaneers to shove a the Niner player from the punt team into his own man who was signaling for a fair catch. That allowed the Bucs to get back in the game. Did you watch the game? 7 out of 10 times the Niners cover a game like that. Shit happens. It’s the NFL. Move on. 
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