Posted:
#26
Bol VZ
Hope life is good.
0
NFL Sunday Week 10....
Posted:
#35
Rough start to the week. I believe bad streaks happens, but really would love to know how you come up with your bets. I read and track a lot of what you have to say, and betting dogs is key to your success, but the SF 49ers, MIN Vikings, and WAS Commanders were all favs with a fishy dangling line, SF -6.5 was baiting the 7 will cover, MIN with sunshine out at QB for JAC seem like another -7 seem too good to be true, I thought the WAS and PIT game was a coin flip, and all 3 games the pointed matter. The Colts had every chance to cover, but way too many turnovers but that lost seem Ok? Would love to hear your thoughts.
2
Posted:
#37
Quote Originally Posted by theMatrix24:
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: NFL Season Record -11.5 units Sunday Week 10 * Niners -6.5 (3 units) * Broncos +7.5 (3 units) * Vikings -7 (2.5 units) * Commanders -2.75 (2.5 units) * Colts +4 (2.5 units) * Cowboys +7 (2 units) GL all handicapping rigged football must be fun
Still feel like its 50/50, just got to be consistent and puck the correct side. Had the OP picked TB, JAC, his week would have been way different, looking at his card, his picks seem inconsistent with taking dogs and favs. The Colts and Cowboys are clear fades, but yet he went public with the 49ers and Vikings.
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: NFL Season Record -11.5 units Sunday Week 10 * Niners -6.5 (3 units) * Broncos +7.5 (3 units) * Vikings -7 (2.5 units) * Commanders -2.75 (2.5 units) * Colts +4 (2.5 units) * Cowboys +7 (2 units) GL all handicapping rigged football must be fun
1
Posted:
#40
Quote Originally Posted by MRxKrazz:
Rough start to the week. I believe bad streaks happens, but really would love to know how you come up with your bets. I read and track a lot of what you have to say, and betting dogs is key to your success, but the SF 49ers, MIN Vikings, and WAS Commanders were all favs with a fishy dangling line, SF -6.5 was baiting the 7 will cover, MIN with sunshine out at QB for JAC seem like another -7 seem too good to be true, I thought the WAS and PIT game was a coin flip, and all 3 games the pointed matter. The Colts had every chance to cover, but way too many turnovers but that lost seem Ok? Would love to hear your thoughts.
Rough start to the week. I believe bad streaks happens, but really would love to know how you come up with your bets. I read and track a lot of what you have to say, and betting dogs is key to your success, but the SF 49ers, MIN Vikings, and WAS Commanders were all favs with a fishy dangling line, SF -6.5 was baiting the 7 will cover, MIN with sunshine out at QB for JAC seem like another -7 seem too good to be true, I thought the WAS and PIT game was a coin flip, and all 3 games the pointed matter. The Colts had every chance to cover, but way too many turnovers but that lost seem Ok? Would love to hear your thoughts.
Thoughts? I am struggling. Probably worse than struggling, I suck this season.
Does that mean anything? No. I am going to be brutally honest here.... So read on only if you think you can read it unemotionally...
I am down 20 units give or take. I won 75+ last season. I have won each season for 7 straight posted, I would say around 600 units. That is posted. I do much better personally because I dont have the restrictions I do when I post (all at same time, all for widely available lines etc).
I say the above because it gives context. Perspective. I realize if you are a 2024 covers member, and see this joker Vanzack getting all these views and replies and losing almost every week - you think WTF? But my world - how I live - how I bet - is all down to long term results. So this season I am down about 20% of what I would feel like would be "uncomfortable" for me.
But more importantly - these 10 weeks are statistically insignificant. I could have pretty easily gone 5-0 in the early games, or 0-5. There has been a lot of that this year. And 10 weeks is not enough to change something that has been working for me for a decade. It wouldnt be smart to do so.
So I keep trucking. I get those who want to stop trucking with me. No problem. I understand. Once again - I am free voice on the internet. Thats all you should really think of me. I can assure you I live and breathe this stuff - so it is not due to a lack of effort - and should be understood that even though someone has previously been successful and puts in the time - it guarantees nothing.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
8
Posted:
#41
Quote Originally Posted by brn2loslive2win:
@MRxKrazz Don’t think that van gives two shits about public/sharp plays. He has a system that he never strays from and it has probably made him a fortune over the years.
That is the exact reason for my post here, would love to hear and see what that system is?
@MRxKrazz Don’t think that van gives two shits about public/sharp plays. He has a system that he never strays from and it has probably made him a fortune over the years.
For me-
First thing I do each week is look at the the games without the spread, create my own who will win and throw a spread on the game.
Catch any games that is off my prediction.
I do care about public and sharp, although I also understand both sides win.
Fishy lines is another one I pay a lot of attention to, 49ers -6.5 was one, Vikings -7 another one, but so was the Bills who easily covered.
My question is more, going thru the 10+ games on the board each week, how and what triggers a BET?
No one here have had more success than Van until this season, and for me, someone who loves to really get into this stuff, I am trying to pick his brain with how he comes up with his games. I can say with confidence most cappers here are easy to figure out, but Van is one I can not crack the way he handicaps.
1
Posted:
#44
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
Quote Originally Posted by MRxKrazz: Rough start to the week. I believe bad streaks happens, but really would love to know how you come up with your bets. I read and track a lot of what you have to say, and betting dogs is key to your success, but the SF 49ers, MIN Vikings, and WAS Commanders were all favs with a fishy dangling line, SF -6.5 was baiting the 7 will cover, MIN with sunshine out at QB for JAC seem like another -7 seem too good to be true, I thought the WAS and PIT game was a coin flip, and all 3 games the pointed matter. The Colts had every chance to cover, but way too many turnovers but that lost seem Ok? Would love to hear your thoughts. Thoughts? I am struggling. Probably worse than struggling, I suck this season. Does that mean anything? No. I am going to be brutally honest here.... So read on only if you think you can read it unemotionally... I am down 20 units give or take. I won 75+ last season. I have won each season for 7 straight posted, I would say around 600 units. That is posted. I do much better personally because I dont have the restrictions I do when I post (all at same time, all for widely available lines etc). I say the above because it gives context. Perspective. I realize if you are a 2024 covers member, and see this joker Vanzack getting all these views and replies and losing almost every week - you think WTF? But my world - how I live - how I bet - is all down to long term results. So this season I am down about 20% of what I would feel like would be "uncomfortable" for me. But more importantly - these 10 weeks are statistically insignificant. I could have pretty easily gone 5-0 in the early games, or 0-5. There has been a lot of that this year. And 10 weeks is not enough to change something that has been working for me for a decade. It wouldnt be smart to do so. So I keep trucking. I get those who want to stop trucking with me. No problem. I understand. Once again - I am free voice on the internet. Thats all you should really think of me. I can assure you I live and breathe this stuff - so it is not due to a lack of effort - and should be understood that even though someone has previously been successful and puts in the time - it guarantees nothing.
Thanks for the long reply. I get the stick with your process, I mean, its not really hard to go 50/50 in any season, you aren't far from that at all. I remember a couple weeks ago, you mentioned when favs are winning you will have a bad season, but today the dogs were kind of barking, and I really would love to understand why the 49ers and Vikings made your to bet list, thats all. Of all the cappers that here, I want to say that you are the only one I can't seem figure out why with your system, rather the bet win or lose.
Quote Originally Posted by MRxKrazz: Rough start to the week. I believe bad streaks happens, but really would love to know how you come up with your bets. I read and track a lot of what you have to say, and betting dogs is key to your success, but the SF 49ers, MIN Vikings, and WAS Commanders were all favs with a fishy dangling line, SF -6.5 was baiting the 7 will cover, MIN with sunshine out at QB for JAC seem like another -7 seem too good to be true, I thought the WAS and PIT game was a coin flip, and all 3 games the pointed matter. The Colts had every chance to cover, but way too many turnovers but that lost seem Ok? Would love to hear your thoughts. Thoughts? I am struggling. Probably worse than struggling, I suck this season. Does that mean anything? No. I am going to be brutally honest here.... So read on only if you think you can read it unemotionally... I am down 20 units give or take. I won 75+ last season. I have won each season for 7 straight posted, I would say around 600 units. That is posted. I do much better personally because I dont have the restrictions I do when I post (all at same time, all for widely available lines etc). I say the above because it gives context. Perspective. I realize if you are a 2024 covers member, and see this joker Vanzack getting all these views and replies and losing almost every week - you think WTF? But my world - how I live - how I bet - is all down to long term results. So this season I am down about 20% of what I would feel like would be "uncomfortable" for me. But more importantly - these 10 weeks are statistically insignificant. I could have pretty easily gone 5-0 in the early games, or 0-5. There has been a lot of that this year. And 10 weeks is not enough to change something that has been working for me for a decade. It wouldnt be smart to do so. So I keep trucking. I get those who want to stop trucking with me. No problem. I understand. Once again - I am free voice on the internet. Thats all you should really think of me. I can assure you I live and breathe this stuff - so it is not due to a lack of effort - and should be understood that even though someone has previously been successful and puts in the time - it guarantees nothing.
0
Posted:
#49
Sad to see the results this season bro, a lot of cappers are getting cleaned up. I stopped trying to be billy walters years ago and just bet 2 team 6 point parlays AT -110!(tie-push) and not only has my bank thanked me, my stress levels have never been lower.
eg today I had Steelers + 8.5 / Chargers -2
Also had Arizona +7.5 / Carolina +12 (yes this one falls out of “Wong” parameters but I’m winning at over 79% regardless of parameters)
before anyone tries to have a go at me, I am very situation specific with my bets (eg- no Clev browns, avoid road favs on big win steaks etc)
I don’t blindly bet, I get -110, and my bank account speaks for itself the last 5 years compared to the previous 10, so please anything negative is not needed.
2
Posted:
#50
For a guy who puts in 80 hours a week you spend a lot of time explaining yourself and telling us how much you've won in the past. Do NFL teams, when having a losing season, remind everyone how good they were the last few years?
Self-reliance is more important than artificial intelligence.
9
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