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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    NFL Divisional Round Playoff Weekend...

    «First Previous 456 ... 789 Next Last»
    GreasyFat
    vanzack
    BleedBlue33
    Macwestie1
    dr tony
    ...
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    «First Previous 456 ... 789 Next Last»
     
    GreasyFat
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2023 - 3:57 PM ET #76

    Van,

    Did you take the weather into account for the KC/JAX game? It will be in the 30's will 50% chance of snow showers. This JAX team has only played one real outdoor game in the elements this year - the TNF game at NYJ on 12/22/22 - which they won 19-3 but that was the Zach Wilson laying an egg game. JAX is a warm weather team and will be out of their comfort zone if its chillier than forecast and heavier than expected snow.

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    Van,

    Did you take the weather into account for the KC/JAX game? It will be in the 30's will 50% chance of snow showers. This JAX team has only played one real outdoor game in the elements this year - the TNF game at NYJ on 12/22/22 - which they won 19-3 but that was the Zach Wilson laying an egg game. JAX is a warm weather team and will be out of their comfort zone if its chillier than forecast and heavier than expected snow.

     
    vanzack
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2023 - 5:03 PM ET #77

    Quote Originally Posted by GreasyFat:

    Van, Did you take the weather into account for the KC/JAX game? It will be in the 30's will 50% chance of snow showers. This JAX team has only played one real outdoor game in the elements this year - the TNF game at NYJ on 12/22/22 - which they won 19-3 but that was the Zach Wilson laying an egg game. JAX is a warm weather team and will be out of their comfort zone if its chillier than forecast and heavier than expected snow.

    On a list of 1-100, I put this at 101.  Not in terms of importance, but in terms of importance and ability to predict impact.

    Just an honest answer.

    peace_5

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    Quote Originally Posted by GreasyFat:

    Van, Did you take the weather into account for the KC/JAX game? It will be in the 30's will 50% chance of snow showers. This JAX team has only played one real outdoor game in the elements this year - the TNF game at NYJ on 12/22/22 - which they won 19-3 but that was the Zach Wilson laying an egg game. JAX is a warm weather team and will be out of their comfort zone if its chillier than forecast and heavier than expected snow.

    On a list of 1-100, I put this at 101.  Not in terms of importance, but in terms of importance and ability to predict impact.

    Just an honest answer.

    peace_5

     
    BleedBlue33
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2023 - 5:28 PM ET #78

    an_cheers

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    an_cheers

     
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2023 - 5:39 PM ET #79

    @TRAIN69peace_5

    @vanzackpeace_5

     goodpost #62 & #65

    goodthread too!an_cheers

    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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    @TRAIN69peace_5

    @vanzackpeace_5

     goodpost #62 & #65

    goodthread too!an_cheers

     
    dr tony
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2023 - 5:47 PM ET #80

    @vanzack

     glad to here the mindless drivel has not yet reached a point where u say screw it

    love seeing your takes

    even when we are opposite- and sadly - for me anyway- this year u have had the better of the deal

    i concur with someone earlier

    keep doing you!

     

    as for the picks 

    love em all except dallas

    i was huge on Dallas vs Tampa

    wasnt concerned about the grass surface last week due to the talent mismatch 

    but the home and resting team playing on the surface they were built for against Dak on the road for a 4th straight.....

    anyway

    assumed i would be fading purdy and the niners on their 11 game heater

    and then vegas throws us a 4 point line (was expecting 6-7)

    havnt pulled the trigger yet- but STRONG lean niners

    best of luck Van

    always appreciate your thoughts and input!

    an_cheers

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    @vanzack

     glad to here the mindless drivel has not yet reached a point where u say screw it

    love seeing your takes

    even when we are opposite- and sadly - for me anyway- this year u have had the better of the deal

    i concur with someone earlier

    keep doing you!

     

    as for the picks 

    love em all except dallas

    i was huge on Dallas vs Tampa

    wasnt concerned about the grass surface last week due to the talent mismatch 

    but the home and resting team playing on the surface they were built for against Dak on the road for a 4th straight.....

    anyway

    assumed i would be fading purdy and the niners on their 11 game heater

    and then vegas throws us a 4 point line (was expecting 6-7)

    havnt pulled the trigger yet- but STRONG lean niners

    best of luck Van

    always appreciate your thoughts and input!

    an_cheers

     
    GreasyFat
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2023 - 6:24 PM ET #81

    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    On a list of 1-100, I put this at 101.  Not in terms of importance, but in terms of importance and ability to predict impact. Just an honest answer.

    Appreciate the input. I think you have the game capped correctly. I would be much more enthusiastic about it if it were under slightly better conditions.

    Good luck!

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    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    On a list of 1-100, I put this at 101.  Not in terms of importance, but in terms of importance and ability to predict impact. Just an honest answer.

    Appreciate the input. I think you have the game capped correctly. I would be much more enthusiastic about it if it were under slightly better conditions.

    Good luck!

     
    shakey12381
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2023 - 6:39 PM ET #82

    So your score prediction for dal sf has a total of 35 why not hammer under 46 if you really believe that is the case 

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    So your score prediction for dal sf has a total of 35 why not hammer under 46 if you really believe that is the case 

     
    LAGameofInches
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2023 - 6:56 PM ET #83

    I'll have a big play on the UNDER in the KC game but the Jags just aren't going to go away and 9 points is a lot.  Really don't like the Eagles I think they will find it hard to get the engine started even with a healthy Hurts.  The Giants are rolling and covering weekly so it's hard not to back them as good as Philly is this year.  

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    I'll have a big play on the UNDER in the KC game but the Jags just aren't going to go away and 9 points is a lot.  Really don't like the Eagles I think they will find it hard to get the engine started even with a healthy Hurts.  The Giants are rolling and covering weekly so it's hard not to back them as good as Philly is this year.  

     
    1pumpchump
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2023 - 7:00 PM ET #84

    @vanzack

     I have been here a long time, and i only look at a handful of threads, only from certain guys i respect. I NEVER get involved with the Twinks that come and go here.. I have probably read all of my man Mansack posts. I have changed the way i look at lines because of him...Im not here to ass kiss, just to show respect to one of the "Good guys" here....Believe me, there aren't many ...Nice to see Spock, wish he would show up more. Train, mac....You guys are the class of this shithole....Please always keep it real...BTW...This might be my favorite post of the season, Spok is one twisted fukk, but i love itpeace_5reallyhappyan_cheers

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    @vanzack

     I have been here a long time, and i only look at a handful of threads, only from certain guys i respect. I NEVER get involved with the Twinks that come and go here.. I have probably read all of my man Mansack posts. I have changed the way i look at lines because of him...Im not here to ass kiss, just to show respect to one of the "Good guys" here....Believe me, there aren't many ...Nice to see Spock, wish he would show up more. Train, mac....You guys are the class of this shithole....Please always keep it real...BTW...This might be my favorite post of the season, Spok is one twisted fukk, but i love itpeace_5reallyhappyan_cheers

     
    lumpy701
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2023 - 7:03 PM ET #85

    Don't the same concerns about the effect of pass rush pressure apply to Prescott as they do to Purdy? While he may always roll to the same side to get away from it, seems like pressure has forced Prescott into poor decisions and poor throws much of the season. And the Dallas secondary, particularly Diggs, tends to be boom or bust in my opinion.

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    Don't the same concerns about the effect of pass rush pressure apply to Prescott as they do to Purdy? While he may always roll to the same side to get away from it, seems like pressure has forced Prescott into poor decisions and poor throws much of the season. And the Dallas secondary, particularly Diggs, tends to be boom or bust in my opinion.

     
    seminole
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2023 - 11:14 PM ET #86

    Vanzack Thank you for your time!!

    Your knowledge and expertise is greatly appreciated

    peace_5

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    Vanzack Thank you for your time!!

    Your knowledge and expertise is greatly appreciated

    peace_5

     
    jdmoney14
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2023 - 11:30 PM ET #87

    van is a great capper, one of the best on covers without a doubt.  Saying the niners only put up 14 points is asinine tho IMO.  Could they lose or only win by 3 and not cover?  Sure.  Will they only score 14 points??  No chance.  With you on jax and philly tho, still thinking over the Cinci bills game.  Good luck

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    van is a great capper, one of the best on covers without a doubt.  Saying the niners only put up 14 points is asinine tho IMO.  Could they lose or only win by 3 and not cover?  Sure.  Will they only score 14 points??  No chance.  With you on jax and philly tho, still thinking over the Cinci bills game.  Good luck

     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2023 - 12:32 AM ET #88

    Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14:

    van is a great capper, one of the best on covers without a doubt.  Saying the niners only put up 14 points is asinine tho IMO.  Could they lose or only win by 3 and not cover?  Sure.  Will they only score 14 points??  No chance.  With you on jax and philly tho, still thinking over the Cinci bills game.  Good luck
    No chance? Their team total is 25.5.....so not like its far fetched they put up 14.....

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    Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14:

    van is a great capper, one of the best on covers without a doubt.  Saying the niners only put up 14 points is asinine tho IMO.  Could they lose or only win by 3 and not cover?  Sure.  Will they only score 14 points??  No chance.  With you on jax and philly tho, still thinking over the Cinci bills game.  Good luck
    No chance? Their team total is 25.5.....so not like its far fetched they put up 14.....

     
    jwheels86
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2023 - 1:08 AM ET #89

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14: van is a great capper, one of the best on covers without a doubt.  Saying the niners only put up 14 points is asinine tho IMO.  Could they lose or only win by 3 and not cover?  Sure.  Will they only score 14 points??  No chance.  With you on jax and philly tho, still thinking over the Cinci bills game.  Good luck No chance? Their team total is 25.5.....so not like its far fetched they put up 14.....

     

    and 5 days ago they held Tom Brady to that number in the playoffs 

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    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14: van is a great capper, one of the best on covers without a doubt.  Saying the niners only put up 14 points is asinine tho IMO.  Could they lose or only win by 3 and not cover?  Sure.  Will they only score 14 points??  No chance.  With you on jax and philly tho, still thinking over the Cinci bills game.  Good luck No chance? Their team total is 25.5.....so not like its far fetched they put up 14.....

     

    and 5 days ago they held Tom Brady to that number in the playoffs 

     
    jdmoney14
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2023 - 1:09 AM ET #90

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14: van is a great capper, one of the best on covers without a doubt.  Saying the niners only put up 14 points is asinine tho IMO.  Could they lose or only win by 3 and not cover?  Sure.  Will they only score 14 points??  No chance.  With you on jax and philly tho, still thinking over the Cinci bills game.  Good luck No chance? Their team total is 25.5.....so not like its far fetched they put up 14.....

    if you give me a 49ers team total line of 14, I would  literally bet my house on the over

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    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14: van is a great capper, one of the best on covers without a doubt.  Saying the niners only put up 14 points is asinine tho IMO.  Could they lose or only win by 3 and not cover?  Sure.  Will they only score 14 points??  No chance.  With you on jax and philly tho, still thinking over the Cinci bills game.  Good luck No chance? Their team total is 25.5.....so not like its far fetched they put up 14.....

    if you give me a 49ers team total line of 14, I would  literally bet my house on the over

     
    jdmoney14
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2023 - 1:10 AM ET #91

    Quote Originally Posted by jwheels86:

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69: Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14: van is a great capper, one of the best on covers without a doubt.  Saying the niners only put up 14 points is asinine tho IMO.  Could they lose or only win by 3 and not cover?  Sure.  Will they only score 14 points??  No chance.  With you on jax and philly tho, still thinking over the Cinci bills game.  Good luck No chance? Their team total is 25.5.....so not like its far fetched they put up 14.....   and 5 days ago they held Tom Brady to that number in the playoffs

    the bucs are a complete joke, and if you think they are anywhere on the niners level, I question your football knowledge 

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    Quote Originally Posted by jwheels86:

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69: Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14: van is a great capper, one of the best on covers without a doubt.  Saying the niners only put up 14 points is asinine tho IMO.  Could they lose or only win by 3 and not cover?  Sure.  Will they only score 14 points??  No chance.  With you on jax and philly tho, still thinking over the Cinci bills game.  Good luck No chance? Their team total is 25.5.....so not like its far fetched they put up 14.....   and 5 days ago they held Tom Brady to that number in the playoffs

    the bucs are a complete joke, and if you think they are anywhere on the niners level, I question your football knowledge 

     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2023 - 1:17 AM ET #92

    Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14:

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69: Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14: van is a great capper, one of the best on covers without a doubt.  Saying the niners only put up 14 points is asinine tho IMO.  Could they lose or only win by 3 and not cover?  Sure.  Will they only score 14 points??  No chance.  With you on jax and philly tho, still thinking over the Cinci bills game.  Good luck No chance? Their team total is 25.5.....so not like its far fetched they put up 14..... if you give me a 49ers team total line of 14, I would  literally bet my house on the over
    People lose big bets all the time....

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    Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14:

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69: Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14: van is a great capper, one of the best on covers without a doubt.  Saying the niners only put up 14 points is asinine tho IMO.  Could they lose or only win by 3 and not cover?  Sure.  Will they only score 14 points??  No chance.  With you on jax and philly tho, still thinking over the Cinci bills game.  Good luck No chance? Their team total is 25.5.....so not like its far fetched they put up 14..... if you give me a 49ers team total line of 14, I would  literally bet my house on the over
    People lose big bets all the time....

     
    Ppkay
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2023 - 1:19 AM ET #93

    @TRAIN69

     Not possible.  I bet my mansion big bets never lose!!!

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    @TRAIN69

     Not possible.  I bet my mansion big bets never lose!!!

     
    jdmoney14
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2023 - 1:22 AM ET #94

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14: Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69: Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14: van is a great capper, one of the best on covers without a doubt.  Saying the niners only put up 14 points is asinine tho IMO.  Could they lose or only win by 3 and not cover?  Sure.  Will they only score 14 points??  No chance.  With you on jax and philly tho, still thinking over the Cinci bills game.  Good luck No chance? Their team total is 25.5.....so not like its far fetched they put up 14..... if you give me a 49ers team total line of 14, I would  literally bet my house on the over People lose big bets all the time....

    sure, I have lost some big ones in the past, and will lose some in the future.  That said, I guarantee the 49ers will score more than 14 points Sunday.  I will come back to this thread after the game regardless of the score, and you can rip me if I’m wrong.  I won’t be wrong in this instance though.

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    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14: Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69: Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14: van is a great capper, one of the best on covers without a doubt.  Saying the niners only put up 14 points is asinine tho IMO.  Could they lose or only win by 3 and not cover?  Sure.  Will they only score 14 points??  No chance.  With you on jax and philly tho, still thinking over the Cinci bills game.  Good luck No chance? Their team total is 25.5.....so not like its far fetched they put up 14..... if you give me a 49ers team total line of 14, I would  literally bet my house on the over People lose big bets all the time....

    sure, I have lost some big ones in the past, and will lose some in the future.  That said, I guarantee the 49ers will score more than 14 points Sunday.  I will come back to this thread after the game regardless of the score, and you can rip me if I’m wrong.  I won’t be wrong in this instance though.

     
    soup-can
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2023 - 6:09 AM ET #95

    Rivers just moved KC to 9.5 and PHI  to -8.  Both at -112 juice for the fav, -109 for the dog!!

    only legit game in town can charge the juice they do.  Not so funny thing is the rivers app for phone bettting lines dont even match the in house sportsbook

    talk about a legit bookie hose job

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    Rivers just moved KC to 9.5 and PHI  to -8.  Both at -112 juice for the fav, -109 for the dog!!

    only legit game in town can charge the juice they do.  Not so funny thing is the rivers app for phone bettting lines dont even match the in house sportsbook

    talk about a legit bookie hose job

     
    vanzack
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2023 - 7:42 AM ET #96

    To those that are asking about my score prediction for the cowboys niners game...

    I score prediction is just a byproduct of trying to come up with a spread winner. It is not intended to be an indicator of an over-under, a team over under, whether the score will be odd or even, or anything of the sort my 100% focus is on picking a spread winner by a certain amount.

    So you can take from my post that I have the cowboys winning by 7: nothing more. Doesn't mean I like the under, doesn't mean I like San Francisco under, doesn't mean I think Dallas will end on an odd score and San Francisco on an even score. It's just a median representation of how I've generally feel the game will go but the important takeaway is the spread at the winner.

    peace_5

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    To those that are asking about my score prediction for the cowboys niners game...

    I score prediction is just a byproduct of trying to come up with a spread winner. It is not intended to be an indicator of an over-under, a team over under, whether the score will be odd or even, or anything of the sort my 100% focus is on picking a spread winner by a certain amount.

    So you can take from my post that I have the cowboys winning by 7: nothing more. Doesn't mean I like the under, doesn't mean I like San Francisco under, doesn't mean I think Dallas will end on an odd score and San Francisco on an even score. It's just a median representation of how I've generally feel the game will go but the important takeaway is the spread at the winner.

    peace_5

     
    Unders_Club
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2023 - 7:58 AM ET #97

    The same people that were gummin Brady off, are down there AGAIN, lookin up at the entire 49ers team. It's like that meme, w/ the chick on the couch and a Niners logo posted over her head. This game is gonna be a great game- everyone so quick to crown "the best", it's ridiculous. The line is 'low', because 'Vegas knows', or whatever everyone always says. 

    I'm holding for +4.5 or +5, w/ all this action on the Niners. 

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    The same people that were gummin Brady off, are down there AGAIN, lookin up at the entire 49ers team. It's like that meme, w/ the chick on the couch and a Niners logo posted over her head. This game is gonna be a great game- everyone so quick to crown "the best", it's ridiculous. The line is 'low', because 'Vegas knows', or whatever everyone always says. 

    I'm holding for +4.5 or +5, w/ all this action on the Niners. 

     
    jhoss00
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2023 - 7:59 AM ET #98

    @vanzack

     Must be annoying to have to explain every word you type to these boners.....

     

    If you have the time, Bills breakdown analysis,  please good sir. Greatly appreciate the time you spend and value you bring to this forum. GL today and thankful for your work. 

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    @vanzack

     Must be annoying to have to explain every word you type to these boners.....

     

    If you have the time, Bills breakdown analysis,  please good sir. Greatly appreciate the time you spend and value you bring to this forum. GL today and thankful for your work. 

     
    Blackjacksusan
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2023 - 8:36 AM ET #99

    This is bar far the most educational thread we have. Thanks Van and all who contribute   
    Good stuff! 

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    This is bar far the most educational thread we have. Thanks Van and all who contribute   
    Good stuff! 

     
     
    GreasyFat
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2023 - 9:41 AM ET #100

    Quote Originally Posted by Unders_Club:

    The line is 'low', because 'Vegas knows', or whatever everyone always says.

    I feel like -3 was about the natural line for this game. Anything below -3 would seem 'low'. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Unders_Club:

    The line is 'low', because 'Vegas knows', or whatever everyone always says.

    I feel like -3 was about the natural line for this game. Anything below -3 would seem 'low'. 

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