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NFL Divisional Round Playoff Weekend...

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Legend
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Posted: #126

Quote Originally Posted by alldub:

Waited and caught JAX +9.5 +375 on the JAX last drive. Thanks man.

Cojones Brother!

an_praise

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Captain
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Posted: #127

VZ,

Very well done and many write-ups close to spot on.

Thanks.

I can only imagine when that day will come
 
Legend
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Posted: #128

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Chiefs / Jax notes... I was on the Chargers last week (still recovering).  While it was a very bad beat because of the game flow, Jax did play better end to end.  Much better actually - only nullified by the 5 turnovers.  It is almost impossible to believe a team lost an NFL game with a 5 turnover margin... But here we are. The Chiefs offense is very similar in style to the Chargers, just much more skilled.  The issue for the Jags this game is their pass defense, which will have to do well in the secondary against Mahomes - the Chiefs are 8th in the league in pressure rate - and they will certainly need to get to Mahomes to be successful.  The Chiefs are #1 in the NFL in pass block win rate. The key for the Jags offense is giving Lawrence time.  They are 5th in the NFL in fewest sacks allowed.  The Jags will need to be successful in the air to stay close. There are just too many ways to covers 9 points in the NFL - but the way you dont cover 9 is if you cant score.  Seems simple, but if your offense can move the ball the backdoor cover becomes available, as does keeping it close the whole way.  I have Jax covering 9 at 61% of the time, with a fairly low standard deviation.  I like those numbers.  My eye test would be to stay away, but the numbers are pointing me to the Jags here. Chiefs 28-24

Pretty close!

an_cheers

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Prospect
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Posted: #129

@vanzack

 Yeah if the Jag throw more down the field they might got wrap this up. 

my book for the Jag get to +10.5 -125 and can’t refuse it to put extra on ML to give it a shoot

 
Legend
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Posted: #130

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

GL today Fubah.

peace_5

GL to you today as well  clover  peace_5

 

 

 

 
Legend
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Posted: #131

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

No time for an Eagles writeup.... Just that the Eagles should score A LOT.  I have them at an average of 1.9 punts in my sims, and they are very efficient with TD / FGs against a very poor defense. The Giants will get their share.  Eagles score a lot, Giants score medium. Eagles 38 Giants 20

21-0

an_popcorn

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Legend
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Posted: #132

@vanzackpeace_5

 new_pleased

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #133

@vanzack

 could you post your analysis for the Bills/Bengals bro? much appreciated!

 
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Posted: #134

@vanzack

 

 NY Giants will be lucky to score 3 points.  They are literally shaking on the field.  Never seen a professional team petrified b4.  Now I have.  Jones is running for his life.  Saquon doesn't want to touch the ball.  Eagles really beating the brakes off these lil cupcakes.  Eagles ain't the Vikings. I hope Philly drops 100 points on these losers 

 
Legend
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Posted: #135

Quote Originally Posted by skjbmofo:

@vanzack  could you post your analysis for the Bills/Bengals bro? much appreciated!

Early AM tomorrow.

an_cheers

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
MVP
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Posted: #136

I played the most square teaser of all time today KC -2.5 and Eagles -1 and vegas is gonna take a hit on them unless God comes down himself to play for the Giants now. 

 
Captain
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Posted: #137

Van the man..Excellent Season peace_5

 
Captain
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Posted: #138

Nice call van, I am on opposite this game and just can’t believe how flat Giants look.  Philly dominating both sides peace_5

 
Prospect
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Posted: #139

Thanks again for all you do Van! 
thoughts on second half? I’m big on eagles -6.5 parlayed with over 49.5.. Would you take the under second half or let it ride ?

 
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Posted: #140

Vanny an_cheers

 
All-Star
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Posted: #141

Go 4 the sweep.....

 
Legend
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Posted: #142

Jags main problem was their defense. Once Mahomes got hurt, they should have shadowed Kelce every play with a safety and blitzed the other safety. Chiefs were never going to throw more than 10 yards downfield, and Jags seemed fine letting them pelt Kelce with passes and first downs....I just don't understand. The Jags corners could easily hang with Juju & Valdez Scantling....just a poor defensive game plan. If nothing else, they should have went all out blitz every play Henne was in.....if he beats you deep you tip your cap.

 
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Posted: #143

More shocking than the 28 - 0 first half in the Eagles game is........

 

YNOT telling Van that "He owns him"an_roll_laugh

 
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Posted: #144

did anyone else take the NYG +27.5 at halftime live betting??

I just needed to hedge my ML value betan_roll_laugh

 
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Posted: #145

its still +24.5 now at DK

 
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Posted: #146

an_cheers

 
Legend
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Posted: #147

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

No time for an Eagles writeup.... Just that the Eagles should score A LOT.  I have them at an average of 1.9 punts in my sims, and they are very efficient with TD / FGs against a very poor defense. The Giants will get their share.  Eagles score a lot, Giants score medium. Eagles 38 Giants 20

Pretty close!

an_cheers

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
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Posted: #148

Thanks all.  Relax time.  I will get back to all the comments in the am.

Good day.

moneybag

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Posted: #149

Van---better than an ATM.

 
 
Captain
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Posted: #150

2 down 2 more to go! Let’s go Bills cloveran_cheers

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