Record stands @ 8-9 - 6,855.00 posting on this forum, up about 500.00 more posting on the CFB forum. I wager extremely heavy at times when I feel or see something I like so I can either go negative or positive real heavy in a matter of a couple days. This game all depends on Denver’s backup QB. I’ve never seen him play so I’m not willing to wager more here. But with over 70% of bets and more cash on Denver making the line drop two full pts, I have to go there as well. NE has played the 31st SOS in the league and they just beat two teams at home with two of the worse offensive lines in the league. NE has the 5th worse sack rate in the league. Mate has been sacked 48 times this year, Denver’s O line has given up just 23 sacks , best in the league. Bonito should eat all day long vs this O line. Dogs with a line move in their direction taking less bets are 21-11 ATS last 9 years. NE/DEN recent series the dogs are 5-2 SU & ATS. Majority # of bets in the playoffs are just 71-81,ATS last two years. Teams that allowed fewer pts in the regular season are 19-12 ATS in the playoffs and teams that allowed fewer yards are 29-17 ATS since 2010 & 2003. Home dogs are 14-3 ATS in playoffs since 2011. Coaches that got fired from one team and get hired elsewhere and make the playoffs have a horrible record on conference championship games. Denver’s defense is better in every single important metric with HFA and the better coach. Going + 4 ( buy 0.5 pts ) 2500/2000 GL if this hits I’m going XL on the late game.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Record stands @ 8-9 - 6,855.00 posting on this forum, up about 500.00 more posting on the CFB forum. I wager extremely heavy at times when I feel or see something I like so I can either go negative or positive real heavy in a matter of a couple days. This game all depends on Denver’s backup QB. I’ve never seen him play so I’m not willing to wager more here. But with over 70% of bets and more cash on Denver making the line drop two full pts, I have to go there as well. NE has played the 31st SOS in the league and they just beat two teams at home with two of the worse offensive lines in the league. NE has the 5th worse sack rate in the league. Mate has been sacked 48 times this year, Denver’s O line has given up just 23 sacks , best in the league. Bonito should eat all day long vs this O line. Dogs with a line move in their direction taking less bets are 21-11 ATS last 9 years. NE/DEN recent series the dogs are 5-2 SU & ATS. Majority # of bets in the playoffs are just 71-81,ATS last two years. Teams that allowed fewer pts in the regular season are 19-12 ATS in the playoffs and teams that allowed fewer yards are 29-17 ATS since 2010 & 2003. Home dogs are 14-3 ATS in playoffs since 2011. Coaches that got fired from one team and get hired elsewhere and make the playoffs have a horrible record on conference championship games. Denver’s defense is better in every single important metric with HFA and the better coach. Going + 4 ( buy 0.5 pts ) 2500/2000 GL if this hits I’m going XL on the late game.
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