MRxKRAZZ NFL week #1

 You too my friend!! 

Lets get back with this matchup after a few preseason games, as of now, I still feel the same with the NE play, but you are right about Jimmy G, i just don't think NE will make him the focal point in this game to throw 1-2 int with a fumble, Jonas Gray to run crazy? Lets see after week 3 in preseason. Love the conversation.

Thanks

To start maybe 1-2 units, mid season form 3-5 units, if on hot streak MAX PLAYS 10 units. Most likely 3 units or so.

Going to wait and pick, will have official lean once I go through this some more.

PIT @ NE -3

Jimmy G does not look good or haven't looked as good as I have hoped, but its NE's D that have me worried, if Brady is not playing in week #1, take me off the NE lean and put me on the PIT team that might score one too many points for NE to keep up. If Brady plays, would still lean NE.

I no longer like the JETs, for many reasons, although if I had to pick I would have the JETs wining their home opener with Cle coming to town.

MIA -3 @ WAS

All over this Mia team, Was will start RG3 unless he gets kill in these next 2 preseason games, and to me he doesn't look ready at all, I think Mia will put a beat down on this Was team in week #1. -3 for a road team isn't always smart but for this game, i will take the road fav.

BAL @ DEN -4

Still loving this DEN lean, that D will prove me correct although the O will also flex their muscle this game. 

NYG @ DAL -5.5

Explained enough on why I like the Gmen this game, might be totally wrong but some strange reason still leaning NYG + points.

PHI-1 @ ATL

Lean PHI -1, while I think ATL D improved and JULIO will be a beast, just too much O for ATL to handle in week #1, I expect a high scoring game with PHI just having a better O and D on game day.

MIN -1 @ SF

Lean MIN, SF looked like **** on paper and I think they will probably play like it on their first game too, MIN is one of those teams that not much people are talking about yet, I think by week #5 people will be like damn Minny is a playoff bound team.

All these are just leans, I'm sure they might change again come week #1, but its good to keep up and bring up some good football conversations.

NE is now -7 or -6.5 on non sharp lines. Brady is worth everyone of those 3.5 points, those dink and dunks need to be ran with the best. I expect everyone on the O side of the ball to be ready for this game except Blount and Lafell, I expect Gray to do just fine if not put up better numbers than Blount would have if he was playing. Missing Lafell no doubt will hurt, but I think the next man up rather its old man Reggie or Dobson, Amendola will do just fine, some might say their Oline is trash, they very well might be but the dink and dunks will kick in. On the flip side of the ball, NE's D lost a lot of their major KEY players from last year, both CBs and their star DT, no doubt losing Revis hurts, but not having browner might be a good thing, can't replace a locker presence like Wilfork but I am sure BB have a plan like always when losing a key player, if you really ask me, I am not loving this NE D this year but for this week 1 matchup with PIT, it might not affect them as much as most want to think, PIT is missing their starting center, their starting RB, and missing their home run threat MB, can't never take away AB and Big Ben, but without a running game and that home run threat I like the matchup this game for NE, game is a -7 spread I will take the home team.

DEN spread is back to -4.5, losing ward for a game doesn't help but I still expect the DEN D to dominate this game and it will help DEN come away with a cover this game. 

NYG now is only +5.5 from +6, what change this half a point? I actually have a change of heart in this game and is leaning towards DAL now, ELI looked bad, preseason or not, and DAL look to be clicking without DEZ, for all those words I typed for this matchup, nothing really showed me it will go that way. Another game I will have to wait until game day to see who is playing or not.

PHI now -3.......crazy part I like it, ATL will go score for score for only so many drives then PHI will just out gas them, and for now, I like PHI's D much more than ATL's D.

MIN -2.5 another major point swing, lots of Min hype, but this SF team might just shock people, this game is much closer then most assume, I liked Min at +3 but at -2.5 I am starting to lean SF at home in their opener.

I liked NE with or without Brady at one time before the preseason, now with confirmation Brady is indeed playing, LOVE the NE bet that much more, I had a small write up a few post up, so no need to repeat myself.

LETS GO PATS!!!!!

This year no early in the week plays, most if not all plays will come a day before the game at the soonest.