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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    *** Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets ***

    123 Next Last»
    LeagueCapper
    bpickin
    chillinmcm
    CanadaCup
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    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 1:00 PM ET #1

    Taking a very small stab on this game.

    Dogs after losing by 30+ and scoring 0 touchdowns has been one of the best bets in recent years as the team was usually just humiliated. The Dolphins have lost to the Lions by 4, Broncos by 3, and Packers by 3. They are one of the best teams in the AFC but those close losses will come back to haunt them in a very tight Conference race to the playoffs. 

    Dogs after losing by 30+ and scoring 0 touchdowns:

    SU:17-22-0 (-1.92, 43.6%)
    ATS:28-10-1 (4.83, 73.7%)

    The Jets were in this exact situation in week 6 against the Broncos (best team in the NFL at the time) as they lost 31-0 to the Chargers the week prior. They were covering for 95% of the game until a pick 6 on the last throw of the game. I think Jets ruin the Dolphins season tonight and those close losses come back to haunt them big time but then again, they could always get blown out once again so keeping it small.
    • Jets +7 -115 (2x)
    • Jets +245 (1x)
    NFL YTD: -0.93 Units
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Taking a very small stab on this game.

    Dogs after losing by 30+ and scoring 0 touchdowns has been one of the best bets in recent years as the team was usually just humiliated. The Dolphins have lost to the Lions by 4, Broncos by 3, and Packers by 3. They are one of the best teams in the AFC but those close losses will come back to haunt them in a very tight Conference race to the playoffs. 

    Dogs after losing by 30+ and scoring 0 touchdowns:

    SU:17-22-0 (-1.92, 43.6%)
    ATS:28-10-1 (4.83, 73.7%)

    The Jets were in this exact situation in week 6 against the Broncos (best team in the NFL at the time) as they lost 31-0 to the Chargers the week prior. They were covering for 95% of the game until a pick 6 on the last throw of the game. I think Jets ruin the Dolphins season tonight and those close losses come back to haunt them big time but then again, they could always get blown out once again so keeping it small.
    • Jets +7 -115 (2x)
    • Jets +245 (1x)
    NFL YTD: -0.93 Units
     
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 1:05 PM ET #2

    278066996-112/1/14 12:45am$575.00$500.00Pending12/1/14 8:30pm  Reduced Football  476 New York Jets +7 -115* vs Miami Dolphins 
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    278066996-112/1/14 12:45am$575.00$500.00Pending12/1/14 8:30pm  Reduced Football  476 New York Jets +7 -115* vs Miami Dolphins 
     
    bpickin
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 1:05 PM ET #3

    Damn now you are making nits even harder for me to decide.
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    Damn now you are making nits even harder for me to decide.
     
    bpickin
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 1:05 PM ET #4

    Things*
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    Things*
     
    chillinmcm
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 1:17 PM ET #5

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    CanadaCup
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 1:19 PM ET #6

    BOL LC  but f the Buffalo Bills can blow the Jets out 38-3 what do you think the Miami Dolphins will do to them tonight with Geno Smith starting?
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    BOL LC  but f the Buffalo Bills can blow the Jets out 38-3 what do you think the Miami Dolphins will do to them tonight with Geno Smith starting?
     
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 1:22 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by CanadaCup:

    BOL LC  but f the Buffalo Bills can blow the Jets out 38-3 what do you think the Miami Dolphins will do to them tonight with Geno Smith starting?

    Geno is terrible, but he's a huge upgrade from Vick. Vick is easily the worst QB in the league
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    Quote Originally Posted by CanadaCup:

    BOL LC  but f the Buffalo Bills can blow the Jets out 38-3 what do you think the Miami Dolphins will do to them tonight with Geno Smith starting?

    Geno is terrible, but he's a huge upgrade from Vick. Vick is easily the worst QB in the league
     
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 1:24 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:

    Damn now you are making nits even harder for me to decide.

    Go with your gut mate, Jets can easily get blown out as we've all seen before
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    Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:

    Damn now you are making nits even harder for me to decide.

    Go with your gut mate, Jets can easily get blown out as we've all seen before
     
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 1:26 PM ET #9

    Also, when the game has a low total (which indicates two strong defenses or two poor offenses), ATS changes to:

    SU:10-10-0 (-0.95, 50.0%)
    ATS:16-3-1 (5.45, 84.2%)
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    Also, when the game has a low total (which indicates two strong defenses or two poor offenses), ATS changes to:

    SU:10-10-0 (-0.95, 50.0%)
    ATS:16-3-1 (5.45, 84.2%)
     
    ndsent1
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 1:27 PM ET #10

    Good Luck  .

    On the other side.......

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    Good Luck  .

    On the other side.......

     
    usikbasterd
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 1:34 PM ET #11

    geno and vick are pretty much the same. both of them are equally the worst qbs in the league lmao...however geno just str8 sucks...at least vick was killin it when he was a young buck...ive bet on jets too many times this year and got burned burned burned.....but -7 is high for mia in this matchup right now...GL 
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    geno and vick are pretty much the same. both of them are equally the worst qbs in the league lmao...however geno just str8 sucks...at least vick was killin it when he was a young buck...ive bet on jets too many times this year and got burned burned burned.....but -7 is high for mia in this matchup right now...GL 
     
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 1:36 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by usikbasterd:

    geno and vick are pretty much the same. both of them are equally the worst qbs in the league lmao...however geno just str8 sucks...at least vick was killin it when he was a young buck...ive bet on jets too many times this year and got burned burned burned.....but -7 is high for mia in this matchup right now...GL 

    Geno Smith at Home:

    Beat Raiders by 5
    Lost to Bears by 8
    Lost to Lions by 7
    Lost to Broncos by 14 (misleading score)
    Blowout to Bills where he was benched in the 1Q after 3 picks

    Geno's been competitive at home 
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    Quote Originally Posted by usikbasterd:

    geno and vick are pretty much the same. both of them are equally the worst qbs in the league lmao...however geno just str8 sucks...at least vick was killin it when he was a young buck...ive bet on jets too many times this year and got burned burned burned.....but -7 is high for mia in this matchup right now...GL 

    Geno Smith at Home:

    Beat Raiders by 5
    Lost to Bears by 8
    Lost to Lions by 7
    Lost to Broncos by 14 (misleading score)
    Blowout to Bills where he was benched in the 1Q after 3 picks

    Geno's been competitive at home 
     
    Tball81
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 1:46 PM ET #13

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    mrquija27
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 2:17 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    Geno Smith at Home:

    Beat Raiders by 5
    Lost to Bears by 8
    Lost to Lions by 7
    Lost to Broncos by 14 (misleading score)
    Blowout to Bills where he was benched in the 1Q after 3 picks

    Geno's been competitive at home 

    In other words.  0-5 ATS
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    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


    Geno Smith at Home:

    Beat Raiders by 5
    Lost to Bears by 8
    Lost to Lions by 7
    Lost to Broncos by 14 (misleading score)
    Blowout to Bills where he was benched in the 1Q after 3 picks

    Geno's been competitive at home 

    In other words.  0-5 ATS
     
    collegegambler
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 2:22 PM ET #15

    same two sides im on bro.   

    u killed it yesterday!  we both lost on the chiefs last night tho.. terrible gameplan by andy...  they try to throw it all night... lol go figure... and Denver becomes the ground and pound team.

    jets get the SU victory tonight

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    same two sides im on bro.   

    u killed it yesterday!  we both lost on the chiefs last night tho.. terrible gameplan by andy...  they try to throw it all night... lol go figure... and Denver becomes the ground and pound team.

    jets get the SU victory tonight

     
    JDHERMOSA
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 2:38 PM ET #16

    Jets win the game!!!!!! 
    They would like nothing more(I know asking a lot) but would love to mess up Miami chances of making playoffs....
    Can't dismiss that dog trend that League Capper posted with the Dog after losing by 30....nice stat...
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    Jets win the game!!!!!! 
    They would like nothing more(I know asking a lot) but would love to mess up Miami chances of making playoffs....
    Can't dismiss that dog trend that League Capper posted with the Dog after losing by 30....nice stat...
     
    Bizzey
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 2:43 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

    Also, when the game has a low total (which indicates two strong defenses or two poor offenses), ATS changes to:

    SU:10-10-0 (-0.95, 50.0%)
    ATS:16-3-1 (5.45, 84.2%)

    What number are you basic the words "low total" off of?  39?  41?  44?
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    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

    Also, when the game has a low total (which indicates two strong defenses or two poor offenses), ATS changes to:

    SU:10-10-0 (-0.95, 50.0%)
    ATS:16-3-1 (5.45, 84.2%)

    What number are you basic the words "low total" off of?  39?  41?  44?
     
    CAPT-DOUCHE
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 2:49 PM ET #18

    Starting to sound more and more like last night, lots of Jets love in this forum so far, i maybe wrong but alot more people siding with this team then one would expect.  

    I do know alot of teasers will be tied to the dolphins tonigth but you knew the same would apply to Denver last night and it didn’t matter.

    I too swallowed the KC coolaid last night.    

    GL LC, 


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    Starting to sound more and more like last night, lots of Jets love in this forum so far, i maybe wrong but alot more people siding with this team then one would expect.  

    I do know alot of teasers will be tied to the dolphins tonigth but you knew the same would apply to Denver last night and it didn’t matter.

    I too swallowed the KC coolaid last night.    

    GL LC, 


     
    cubicman
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 2:51 PM ET #19

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    killersweet
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 3:25 PM ET #20

    [Quote: Originally Posted by LeagueCapper]

    Geno is terrible, but he's a huge upgrade from Vick. Vick is easily the worst QB in the league
    [/Quote]

    I am not sure how much of an upgrade he is, but not a huge one. I saw that game against the bills. Good lord, this guy probably won't even succeed in the CFL. He is just terrible. Jets may cover tonight, but hard to put money on a team that is lead by a crappy QB like Geno. 2 or 3 early turnovers and the game is out of hand. Jets also don't have an offense that can make a big come back. 
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    [Quote: Originally Posted by LeagueCapper]

    Geno is terrible, but he's a huge upgrade from Vick. Vick is easily the worst QB in the league
    [/Quote]

    I am not sure how much of an upgrade he is, but not a huge one. I saw that game against the bills. Good lord, this guy probably won't even succeed in the CFL. He is just terrible. Jets may cover tonight, but hard to put money on a team that is lead by a crappy QB like Geno. 2 or 3 early turnovers and the game is out of hand. Jets also don't have an offense that can make a big come back. 
     
    JDHERMOSA
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 3:41 PM ET #21

    This is his career on the line for Geno...
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    This is his career on the line for Geno...
     
    themaceo
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 3:43 PM ET #22

    Geno a upgrade ? Oh my....
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    Geno a upgrade ? Oh my....
     
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 3:44 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by mrquija27:


    In other words.  0-5 ATS

    Correct. But 4 out of the 5 games they were competitive and had a chance.
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    Quote Originally Posted by mrquija27:


    In other words.  0-5 ATS

    Correct. But 4 out of the 5 games they were competitive and had a chance.
     
    bryanoens
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 3:46 PM ET #24

    So will this be the geno at home, Vick on road system? Might be the first ever
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    So will this be the geno at home, Vick on road system? Might be the first ever
     
     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2014 - 3:55 PM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    same two sides im on bro.   

    u killed it yesterday!  we both lost on the chiefs last night tho.. terrible gameplan by andy...  they try to throw it all night... lol go figure... and Denver becomes the ground and pound team.

    jets get the SU victory tonight


    Yeah that was terrible. The game was over before it had a chance to start and with a running team like KC, tough for them to comeback from big deficits. Their defense played excellent though given the circumstances, short fields, and turnovers
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    Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

    same two sides im on bro.   

    u killed it yesterday!  we both lost on the chiefs last night tho.. terrible gameplan by andy...  they try to throw it all night... lol go figure... and Denver becomes the ground and pound team.

    jets get the SU victory tonight


    Yeah that was terrible. The game was over before it had a chance to start and with a running team like KC, tough for them to comeback from big deficits. Their defense played excellent though given the circumstances, short fields, and turnovers
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