• Forums
  • Best Betting Sites
  • Sportsbook Promos
  • Best Sports Betting Apps
  • NFL Betting Forum
  • NBA Betting Forum
  • MLB Betting Forum
  • NHL Betting Forum
  • NCAAF Betting Forum
  • NCAAB Betting Forum
  • Soccer Betting Forum
  • Tennis Betting Forum
  • General Discussion
  • Help Forum
  • Guidelines
  • FAQ
  • Forum Updates
    Covers Logo
    Covers App
    Faster picks. Smarter bets.
    All in the NEW Covers App
    Download on the App Store Download on the Google Play Store
    • Sports
      • NFL
        • Back
        • NFL
        • NFL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NFL Picks
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NCAAF
        • Back
        • NCAAF
        • NCAAF Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NCAAF Picks
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NBA
        • Back
        • NBA
        • NBA Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NBA Picks
        • Injuries
      • NCAAB
        • Back
        • NCAAB
        • NCAAB Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • NCAAB Picks
        • Injuries
      • MLB
        • Back
        • MLB
        • MLB Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • MLB Picks
        • Weather
        • Injuries
      • NHL
        • Back
        • NHL
        • NHL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • Prop Projections
        • NHL Picks
        • Injuries
      • Soccer
      • UFC
      • WNBA
        • Back
        • WNBA
        • WNBA Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • WNBA Picks
        • Injuries
      • CFL
        • Back
        • CFL
        • CFL Home
        • Scores & Matchups
        • CFL Picks
      • Golf
        • Back
        • Golf
        • Golf Home
        • Golf Odds
        • Masters Odds
        • PGA Championship Odds
        • US Open Odds
        • British Open Odds
        • Ryder Cup Odds
        • Golf Picks
    • Odds
      • All Odds
      • NFL
      • NCAAF
      • NBA
      • NCAAB
      • MLB
      • NHL
      • Golf
      • Soccer Odds
        • Back
        • Soccer Odds
        • MLS Odds
        • Champions League Odds
        • Premier League Odds
      • UFC
      • WNBA
      • CFL
      • Election Odds
      • Futures
        • Back
        • Futures
        • NFL
        • NBA
        • MLB
        • NHL
        • NCAAB
        • NCAAF
      • Sports Odds History
    • Picks
      • All Picks
      • NFL
      • NBA
      • NHL
      • MLB
      • NCAAF
      • NCAAB
      • Golf
      • WNBA
      • CFL
      • User Picks
      • Team User Picks
      • Consensus Picks
        • Back
        • Consensus Picks
        • All Consensus Picks
        • NFL
        • NBA
        • NHL
        • MLB
        • NCAAF
        • NCAAB
        • CFL
        • WNBA
        • Consensus FAQ
        • Public Money
    • Prop Projections
      • NFL
      • NBA
      • MLB
      • NHL
    • Betting
      • US Betting Sites
      • Canada Betting Sites
      • Sportsbook Reviews
      • States
        • Back
        • States
        • US Legal Tracker
        • Revenue Tracker
        • Arizona
        • Arkansas
        • California
        • Colorado
        • Connecticut
        • DC
        • Florida
        • Georgia
        • Illinois
        • Indiana
        • Iowa
        • Kansas
        • Kentucky
        • Louisiana
        • Maine
        • Maryland
        • Massachusetts
        • Michigan
        • Mississippi
        • Missouri
        • Nevada
        • New Hampshire
        • New Jersey
        • New York
        • North Carolina
        • Ohio
        • Oregon
        • Pennsylvania
        • Tennessee
        • Texas
        • Vermont
        • Virginia
        • West Virginia
        • Wyoming
      • Provinces
        • Back
        • Provinces
        • Alberta
        • British Columbia
        • Manitoba
        • New Brunswick
        • Newfoundland and Labrador
        • Northwest Territories
        • Nova Scotia
        • Nunavut
        • Ontario
        • Prince Edward Island
        • Quebec (English)
        • Quebec (francais)
        • Saskatchewan
        • Yukon
      • By Sport
        • Back
        • By Sport
        • Baseball
        • Basketball
        • Boxing
        • College Football
        • F1
        • Football
        • Super Bowl
        • Golf
        • Hockey
        • Horse Racing
        • March Madness
        • Soccer
        • UFC
        • World Cup
      • Betting Apps
        • Back
        • Betting Apps
        • Best Sports Betting Apps USA
        • Ontario Sports Betting Apps
      • Rest of World
        • Back
        • Rest of World
        • UK Betting Offers
          • Back
          • UK Betting Offers
          • UK Betting Sites
          • bet365 Bonus Code UK
          • 888Sport Promo Code UK
          • William Hill Sign up Offer
          • Betway Sign up Offer
          • BetVictor Bonus Code UK
      • Betting Guides
        • Back
        • Betting Guides
        • All Guides
        • Glossary
        • Betting Calculators
          • Back
          • Betting Calculators
          • Odds Converter
          • Parlay Calculator
        • Futures Betting Guide
        • Moneyline Betting Guide
        • Over/Under Betting Guide
        • Parlay Betting Guide
        • Point Spread Betting Guide
        • Prop Betting Guide
        • Sports Betting Guides
          • Back
          • Sports Betting Guides
          • How To Bet On Sports Guide
          • NFL Betting Guide
          • NHL Betting Guide
          • NBA Betting Guide
          • MLB Betting Guide
          • NCAAB Betting Guide
          • NCAAF Betting Guide
          • Golf Betting Guide
          • Tennis Betting Guide
        • Teaser Betting Guide
      • Betting News
        • Back
        • Betting News
        • All News
        • Industry News
        • Podcasts
        • Covers Videos
        • Covers Writers
        • Offers & Boosts
    • Promos
      • Sportsbook Promos
      • Canada Sportsbook Promos
      • Bonuses By Sportsbook
        • Back
        • Bonuses By Sportsbook
        • bet365 Bonus Code
        • BET99 Promo Code
        • BetMGM Bonus Code
        • BetRivers Bonus Code
        • Caesars Sportsbook Promo
        • DraftKings Promo Code
        • Fanatics Sportsbook Promo
        • FanDuel Promo Code
        • Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
        • Sports Interaction Promo
        • Stake Promo Code
        • theScore Bet Promo Code
        • TonyBet Promo Code
      • Bonuses By Region
        • Back
        • Bonuses By Region
        • Arkansas Promos
        • Arizona Promos
        • Colorado Promos
        • Connecticut Promos
        • DC Promos
        • Illinois Promos
        • Indiana Promos
        • Iowa Promos
        • Kansas Promos
        • Kentucky Promos
        • Louisiana Promos
        • Maine Promos
        • Maryland Promos
        • Massachusetts Promos
        • Michigan Promos
        • Missouri Promos
        • New Jersey Promos
        • New York Promos
        • North Carolina Promos
        • Ohio Promos
        • Pennsylvania Promos
        • Tennessee Promos
        • Vermont Promos
        • Virginia Promos
        • West Virginia Promos
        • Wyoming Promos
    • Forum & Contests
      • All Forums
      • NFL Betting Forum
      • MLB Betting Forum
      • NCAAB Betting Forum
      • NCAAF Betting Forum
      • NBA Betting Forum
      • NHL Betting Forum
      • Soccer Betting Forum
      • Contests
        • Back
        • Contests
        • Contests Home
        • Streak Survivor
        • King of Covers
        • My Contests
    • Casino
      • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Back
        • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Sweepstakes Casino
        • Sweepstakes No-Deposit Bonuses
        • Sweepstakes Promos
          • Back
          • Sweepstakes Promos
          • Card Crush
          • Casino.click
          • Chanced Casino
          • Crown Coins Casino
          • FreeSpin Casino
          • LoneStar
          • McLuck
          • Mega Bonanza Casino
          • PlayFame
          • Pulsz
          • Stake.us
      • US Casinos
        • Back
        • US Casinos
        • US Online Casinos
        • US Online Casino Bonuses
        • Casino Promos
          • Back
          • Casino Promos
          • bet365 Casino Promo Code
          • BetRivers Casino Promo
          • Borgata Casino Bonus Code
          • Caesars Casino Bonus Code
          • DraftKings Casino Promo
          • Fanatics Casino Promo
          • FanDuel Casino Promo Code
          • Golden Nugget Casino Promo
          • Hard Rock Bet Casino Promo
          • Hollywood Casino Promo Code
      • Canada Casinos
        • Back
        • Canada Casinos
        • Canada Online Casinos
        • Provinces
          • Back
          • Provinces
          • Alberta Online Casino
          • BC Online Casino
          • Ontario Online Casinos
        • Casino Promos
          • Back
          • Casino Promos
          • BC.GAME Bonus Code
          • Cloudbet Promo Code
          • RainBet Promo Code
          • Roobet Promo Code
          • Shuffle Promo Code
          • Thrill Promo Code
    • Prediction Markets
      • Prediction Markets
      • Prediction Market Apps
      • Prediction Market Promos
      • Kalshi Promo Code
      • Polymarket Promo Code
      • DraftKings Predictions Promo Code
      • Novig Promo Code
      • ProphetX Promo Code
      • Underdog Promo Code
      • OG Promo Code
      • Fanatics Markets Promo Code
      • Plus500 Promo Code
    • NFL Week 1
      NFL Week 1
      • NFL Picks
      • NFL Odds
      • NFL Betting Sites
    Covers Account
    Log in Create account
    Join free Log in
    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Line movement for Ravens/Vikings...

    12 Next Last»
    Brocknroll
    richardtonsj
    Crazy8s2
    nycfrotter
    DOVJAK
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 1953
    Posts: 26
    12 Next Last»
     
    Brocknroll
    Brocknroll
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2008
    Posts: 2818
    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 2:25 AM ET #1

    I understand the argument for both sides of this game.  Ravens lost two close games, they won't lose 3 in a row, and Minny hasn't been tested.  On the flip side, a 5-0 team is laying a field goal or less, Ravens aren't the same defense as last year, AP will have a banner day, and the 2ndary has been exposed and will be exploited. 

     

    I am leaning towards the Ravens but feel like there is a disparity between the consensus noted on Sportsbook.com with 86% favoring the Vikes, with 87% consensus on the Vikes with Covers.  The line came out with Minny – 3 even and has since dipped in a few shops to below a field goal, with most shops maintaining a -120 to -125 if you want to back Baltimore.  If there is such a large amount of wagering on the Vikings, why is the line not bouncing to 3.5 and back down again? 

    I have been on the wrong side of a tight spread like this too many times with the most recent sting on the Titans on Sunday.  I just feel like there is not a direct correlation with the consensus/spread movement, but am hoping Baltimore figures out a way to slow Farve down, and make some big plays on defense.  The Tyree addition will not amount to much since he needs to learn the system, but regardless this is a huge Gut Check for both teams.

     
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    I understand the argument for both sides of this game.  Ravens lost two close games, they won't lose 3 in a row, and Minny hasn't been tested.  On the flip side, a 5-0 team is laying a field goal or less, Ravens aren't the same defense as last year, AP will have a banner day, and the 2ndary has been exposed and will be exploited. 

     

    I am leaning towards the Ravens but feel like there is a disparity between the consensus noted on Sportsbook.com with 86% favoring the Vikes, with 87% consensus on the Vikes with Covers.  The line came out with Minny – 3 even and has since dipped in a few shops to below a field goal, with most shops maintaining a -120 to -125 if you want to back Baltimore.  If there is such a large amount of wagering on the Vikings, why is the line not bouncing to 3.5 and back down again? 

    I have been on the wrong side of a tight spread like this too many times with the most recent sting on the Titans on Sunday.  I just feel like there is not a direct correlation with the consensus/spread movement, but am hoping Baltimore figures out a way to slow Farve down, and make some big plays on defense.  The Tyree addition will not amount to much since he needs to learn the system, but regardless this is a huge Gut Check for both teams.

     
     
    richardtonsj
    richardtonsj
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2006
    Posts: 13189
    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 4:13 AM ET #2

    I think you will see 3 or possibly 3.5 by Saturday night.  I assume the books think this is a toss up so they're doing their best to avoid any early movement across key numbers for dog bettors.
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    I think you will see 3 or possibly 3.5 by Saturday night.  I assume the books think this is a toss up so they're doing their best to avoid any early movement across key numbers for dog bettors.
     
    Crazy8s2
    Crazy8s2
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2007
    Posts: 440
    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 7:17 AM ET #3

    [Quote: Originally Posted by Brocknroll]

    I understand the argument for both sides of this game.  Ravens lost two close games, they won't lose 3 in a row,

    [/Quote


    I agree!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Signed:  The Tennesse Titans     
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    [Quote: Originally Posted by Brocknroll]

    I understand the argument for both sides of this game.  Ravens lost two close games, they won't lose 3 in a row,

    [/Quote


    I agree!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Signed:  The Tennesse Titans     
     
    Brocknroll
    Brocknroll
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2008
    Posts: 2818
    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 11:59 AM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by Crazy8s2:

    Quote Originally Posted by Brocknroll:

    I understand the argument for both sides of this game.  Ravens lost two close games, they won't lose 3 in a row,

    [/Quote


    I agree!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Signed:  The Tennesse Titans     

     

    Yup...obviously this logic has not worked so far this season which if you play the streaks, Minny will win it's 6th in a row and Balt will lose their 3rd consecutive game.  Just feel that Baltimore has a more competitive team and can buck their negative trend in the dome.  Not going to be easy, but not impossible.

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by Crazy8s2:

    Quote Originally Posted by Brocknroll:

    I understand the argument for both sides of this game.  Ravens lost two close games, they won't lose 3 in a row,

    [/Quote


    I agree!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Signed:  The Tennesse Titans     

     

    Yup...obviously this logic has not worked so far this season which if you play the streaks, Minny will win it's 6th in a row and Balt will lose their 3rd consecutive game.  Just feel that Baltimore has a more competitive team and can buck their negative trend in the dome.  Not going to be easy, but not impossible.

     
    nycfrotter
    nycfrotter
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2009
    Posts: 251
    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 1:16 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by Brocknroll:

     

    Yup...obviously this logic has not worked so far this season which if you play the streaks, Minny will win it's 6th in a row and Balt will lose their 3rd consecutive game.  Just feel that Baltimore has a more competitive team and can buck their negative trend in the dome.  Not going to be easy, but not impossible.


    First post/ reply

    Not true - Ravens did have a losing streak of 3. They lost to Pitt, TN & Indy, not necessarily in that order. Btw, despite that still like them over favre & co. Only decent defense they faced all year was SF
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by Brocknroll:

     

    Yup...obviously this logic has not worked so far this season which if you play the streaks, Minny will win it's 6th in a row and Balt will lose their 3rd consecutive game.  Just feel that Baltimore has a more competitive team and can buck their negative trend in the dome.  Not going to be easy, but not impossible.


    First post/ reply

    Not true - Ravens did have a losing streak of 3. They lost to Pitt, TN & Indy, not necessarily in that order. Btw, despite that still like them over favre & co. Only decent defense they faced all year was SF
     
    DOVJAK
    DOVJAK
    Hall of Fame
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 26036
    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 1:19 PM ET #6

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
     
    andarmac99
    andarmac99
    MVP
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2007
    Posts: 16954
    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 1:33 PM ET #7

    Minnesota is going to lose 3 in a row and the public will have turned on Favre.

    Book it.



    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Minnesota is going to lose 3 in a row and the public will have turned on Favre.

    Book it.



     
    Brocknroll
    Brocknroll
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2008
    Posts: 2818
    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 1:45 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:

    Minnesota is going to lose 3 in a row and the public will have turned on Favre.

    Book it.



    Respect your opinion Andarmac and am glad to see that we are on the same side here.  Watched too many Favre meltdowns and have a hard time believing that this is the year that he does not have his typical 3-4 interception blowups.  Granted his supporting cast is much better than he has had as of late with the Jets and Packers, but they have been cruising and if Baltimore can keep him pressured and get out to an early lead, the complexion of this game will change quickly.

    If Baltimore can't get the job done, there are going to be some serious questions about the strength of this team.

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:

    Minnesota is going to lose 3 in a row and the public will have turned on Favre.

    Book it.



    Respect your opinion Andarmac and am glad to see that we are on the same side here.  Watched too many Favre meltdowns and have a hard time believing that this is the year that he does not have his typical 3-4 interception blowups.  Granted his supporting cast is much better than he has had as of late with the Jets and Packers, but they have been cruising and if Baltimore can keep him pressured and get out to an early lead, the complexion of this game will change quickly.

    If Baltimore can't get the job done, there are going to be some serious questions about the strength of this team.

     
    pickinvet
    pickinvet
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2009
    Posts: 917
    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 1:57 PM ET #9

    I think this game ends in a tie.  Just kidding but who knows on this one, my only action is BAL +16 on a teaser.
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    I think this game ends in a tie.  Just kidding but who knows on this one, my only action is BAL +16 on a teaser.
     
    Gold_Rush
    Gold_Rush
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 7850
    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 5:23 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by Brocknroll:

    Respect your opinion Andarmac and am glad to see that we are on the same side here.  Watched too many Favre meltdowns and have a hard time believing that this is the year that he does not have his typical 3-4 interception blowups.  Granted his supporting cast is much better than he has had as of late with the Jets and Packers, but they have been cruising and if Baltimore can keep him pressured and get out to an early lead, the complexion of this game will change quickly.

    If Baltimore can't get the job done, there are going to be some serious questions about the strength of this team.


    What I find interesting is that AP has not rushed over 100 yards in his last few games. We all know how good the Ravens rush D is
    so its going to be Farve that has to win this..

    So far the Vikings have not played a Defense even close to the Ravens level yet.
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by Brocknroll:

    Respect your opinion Andarmac and am glad to see that we are on the same side here.  Watched too many Favre meltdowns and have a hard time believing that this is the year that he does not have his typical 3-4 interception blowups.  Granted his supporting cast is much better than he has had as of late with the Jets and Packers, but they have been cruising and if Baltimore can keep him pressured and get out to an early lead, the complexion of this game will change quickly.

    If Baltimore can't get the job done, there are going to be some serious questions about the strength of this team.


    What I find interesting is that AP has not rushed over 100 yards in his last few games. We all know how good the Ravens rush D is
    so its going to be Farve that has to win this..

    So far the Vikings have not played a Defense even close to the Ravens level yet.
     
    Gold_Rush
    Gold_Rush
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 7850
    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 5:27 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by pickinvet:

    I think this game ends in a tie.  Just kidding but who knows on this one, my only action is BAL +16 on a teaser.

    im not familar with that 13 pt teaser - and for good reason
    how many games do you have to play

    as much as I like+16 you have to win everything else 
    why not just take Balt + 10 maybe 10.5 if it moves
    in a 2 game teaser - the chances of you cashing your ticket is much better as you only have to hit 1 other game

    Teasers are named that for a reason- but Im sure you know that


    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by pickinvet:

    I think this game ends in a tie.  Just kidding but who knows on this one, my only action is BAL +16 on a teaser.

    im not familar with that 13 pt teaser - and for good reason
    how many games do you have to play

    as much as I like+16 you have to win everything else 
    why not just take Balt + 10 maybe 10.5 if it moves
    in a 2 game teaser - the chances of you cashing your ticket is much better as you only have to hit 1 other game

    Teasers are named that for a reason- but Im sure you know that


     
    Brocknroll
    Brocknroll
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2008
    Posts: 2818
    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 7:32 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by Gold_Rush:


    What I find interesting is that AP has not rushed over 100 yards in his last few games. We all know how good the Ravens rush D is
    so its going to be Farve that has to win this..

    So far the Vikings have not played a Defense even close to the Ravens level yet.

    The scary thing about AP being held in check over the last three games is that at any given time, the guy will torch the field.  Hope this is not one of those games.

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by Gold_Rush:


    What I find interesting is that AP has not rushed over 100 yards in his last few games. We all know how good the Ravens rush D is
    so its going to be Farve that has to win this..

    So far the Vikings have not played a Defense even close to the Ravens level yet.

    The scary thing about AP being held in check over the last three games is that at any given time, the guy will torch the field.  Hope this is not one of those games.

     
    VictheSlick
    VictheSlick
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2004
    Posts: 288
    Posted: Oct. 15, 2009 - 7:39 PM ET #13

    Why won't they lose 3 in a row?  They arent the patriots..
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Why won't they lose 3 in a row?  They arent the patriots..
     
    Brocknroll
    Brocknroll
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2008
    Posts: 2818
    Posted: Oct. 16, 2009 - 2:54 AM ET #14

    Ravens are totally capable of losing 3 in a row.  That is why this game is such a barometer check of each team.  Everyone already has there finger on the trigger of blaming the defensive breakdowns to the exit of Rex Ryan and the loss of Scott.  A third loss wouldn't be surprising, just a disappointment from a good start to the year, and also a change in perception about the changes/losses in personnel from 2008.  The value of a 5-0 team at home by 2.5 or a FG is not great.  The wager is on the competitiveness of the Balt team, and the belief that the much improved offense can shine, and that the maligned secondary can regroup.  This may not be the game, but at some point it is going to happen.
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Ravens are totally capable of losing 3 in a row.  That is why this game is such a barometer check of each team.  Everyone already has there finger on the trigger of blaming the defensive breakdowns to the exit of Rex Ryan and the loss of Scott.  A third loss wouldn't be surprising, just a disappointment from a good start to the year, and also a change in perception about the changes/losses in personnel from 2008.  The value of a 5-0 team at home by 2.5 or a FG is not great.  The wager is on the competitiveness of the Balt team, and the belief that the much improved offense can shine, and that the maligned secondary can regroup.  This may not be the game, but at some point it is going to happen.
     
    DJTiesto
    DJTiesto
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2009
    Posts: 114
    Posted: Oct. 16, 2009 - 3:57 AM ET #15

    Go Minnesota -3 big win and over 45
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Go Minnesota -3 big win and over 45
     
    ilovesdakota
    ilovesdakota
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 93
    Posted: Oct. 16, 2009 - 4:56 AM ET #16

    Brocknroll

    your question was why dont you see the line move to 3.5 and then back down to three?

    over a hundred games you will see 45/45/10 dog favorite tie in the NFL

    if they were to move of three you would get the ten percentage points either way...making it 55/45 dog or favorite...enough to beat the 52 percent needed to break even...

    if you could blindly bet on and off the 3 in the NFL...you would notneed to handicap at all...just bet a million each time on both sides and you would over a hundred bets bet the house at their own game..

    hence they make you lay -125...which negates that advantage..and depending where they opened..would rather get sided then balance the book a few times..and get murdered in the long run....

    does that make sense??

    regardless of the money...or anyones handicap of the game...
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Brocknroll

    your question was why dont you see the line move to 3.5 and then back down to three?

    over a hundred games you will see 45/45/10 dog favorite tie in the NFL

    if they were to move of three you would get the ten percentage points either way...making it 55/45 dog or favorite...enough to beat the 52 percent needed to break even...

    if you could blindly bet on and off the 3 in the NFL...you would notneed to handicap at all...just bet a million each time on both sides and you would over a hundred bets bet the house at their own game..

    hence they make you lay -125...which negates that advantage..and depending where they opened..would rather get sided then balance the book a few times..and get murdered in the long run....

    does that make sense??

    regardless of the money...or anyones handicap of the game...
     
    topher79
    topher79
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2008
    Posts: 825
    Posted: Oct. 16, 2009 - 9:31 AM ET #17

     

    Featuring

    the SDQL

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User

     

    Featuring

    the SDQL

     
    Brocknroll
    Brocknroll
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2008
    Posts: 2818
    Posted: Oct. 16, 2009 - 1:31 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by ilovesdakota:

    Brocknroll

    your question was why dont you see the line move to 3.5 and then back down to three?

    over a hundred games you will see 45/45/10 dog favorite tie in the NFL

    if they were to move of three you would get the ten percentage points either way...making it 55/45 dog or favorite...enough to beat the 52 percent needed to break even...

    if you could blindly bet on and off the 3 in the NFL...you would notneed to handicap at all...just bet a million each time on both sides and you would over a hundred bets bet the house at their own game..

    hence they make you lay -125...which negates that advantage..and depending where they opened..would rather get sided then balance the book a few times..and get murdered in the long run....

    does that make sense??

    regardless of the money...or anyones handicap of the game...

    That does make sense Dakota.  Thanks for the insight.  Lately though it seems that the teams that have the higher price have not been coming through.  Makes you think the books are playing off the "Joe Public" plays and raping the squares.

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by ilovesdakota:

    Brocknroll

    your question was why dont you see the line move to 3.5 and then back down to three?

    over a hundred games you will see 45/45/10 dog favorite tie in the NFL

    if they were to move of three you would get the ten percentage points either way...making it 55/45 dog or favorite...enough to beat the 52 percent needed to break even...

    if you could blindly bet on and off the 3 in the NFL...you would notneed to handicap at all...just bet a million each time on both sides and you would over a hundred bets bet the house at their own game..

    hence they make you lay -125...which negates that advantage..and depending where they opened..would rather get sided then balance the book a few times..and get murdered in the long run....

    does that make sense??

    regardless of the money...or anyones handicap of the game...

    That does make sense Dakota.  Thanks for the insight.  Lately though it seems that the teams that have the higher price have not been coming through.  Makes you think the books are playing off the "Joe Public" plays and raping the squares.

     
    proguy747
    proguy747
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 1800
    Posted: Oct. 16, 2009 - 1:41 PM ET #19

    Those precentages dont mean shit......  that is total number of bets not total money....
     
    Sharps probably layed big money on the ravens...  that is the reason...
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Those precentages dont mean shit......  that is total number of bets not total money....
     
    Sharps probably layed big money on the ravens...  that is the reason...
     
    tsw
    tsw
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2006
    Posts: 12676
    Posted: Oct. 16, 2009 - 4:03 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by Brocknroll:

    That does make sense Dakota.  Thanks for the insight.  Lately though it seems that the teams that have the higher price have not been coming through.  Makes you think the books are playing off the "Joe Public" plays and raping the squares.

     

    Not true.  Squares have done very well so far in the NFL.

     

     

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by Brocknroll:

    That does make sense Dakota.  Thanks for the insight.  Lately though it seems that the teams that have the higher price have not been coming through.  Makes you think the books are playing off the "Joe Public" plays and raping the squares.

     

    Not true.  Squares have done very well so far in the NFL.

     

     

     
    ThrillaInMD
    ThrillaInMD
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2005
    Posts: 1217
    Posted: Oct. 16, 2009 - 4:08 PM ET #21

    ravens lost 3 games in a row last year, and still made the AFC championship game. their season isnt over if they lose this game......if this game was -7 vikings there wouldnt be 50/50 action? yes -3 kind of low maybe -4.5/-5 is true #
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    ravens lost 3 games in a row last year, and still made the AFC championship game. their season isnt over if they lose this game......if this game was -7 vikings there wouldnt be 50/50 action? yes -3 kind of low maybe -4.5/-5 is true #
     
    New_Money21
    New_Money21
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2009
    Posts: 50
    Posted: Oct. 16, 2009 - 4:19 PM ET #22

    Vikes haven't played a good defense since the 49ers (almost lost) but we all saw the old man step up and come through in the crunch. Mind you, that was his 'official' first game considering he wasn't around for training camp.

    It's Brett Favre people! And a healthy Brett Favre with Adrian Peterson at that!! VIKES WIN
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Vikes haven't played a good defense since the 49ers (almost lost) but we all saw the old man step up and come through in the crunch. Mind you, that was his 'official' first game considering he wasn't around for training camp.

    It's Brett Favre people! And a healthy Brett Favre with Adrian Peterson at that!! VIKES WIN
     
    itz4204me
    itz4204me
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2005
    Posts: 259
    Posted: Oct. 16, 2009 - 4:30 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:

    Minnesota is going to lose 3 in a row and the public will have turned on Favre.

    Book it.






    When do you think this 3 game skid will start?

    Sunday?
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:

    Minnesota is going to lose 3 in a row and the public will have turned on Favre.

    Book it.






    When do you think this 3 game skid will start?

    Sunday?
     
    zooker32
    zooker32
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2007
    Posts: 477
    Posted: Oct. 16, 2009 - 4:53 PM ET #24

    Hey morons, I live in Baltimore, and this is not the defense that won the SUper Bowl 8 YEARS ago!!  We have no pass rush, and the secondary is TERRIBLE!!  On the road, in a dome, against Favre and AP.  MISMATCH Numbnuts!!

    LAy it!!!
    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Hey morons, I live in Baltimore, and this is not the defense that won the SUper Bowl 8 YEARS ago!!  We have no pass rush, and the secondary is TERRIBLE!!  On the road, in a dome, against Favre and AP.  MISMATCH Numbnuts!!

    LAy it!!!
     
     
    Brocknroll
    Brocknroll
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2008
    Posts: 2818
    Posted: Oct. 18, 2009 - 3:09 AM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by zooker32:

    Hey morons, I live in Baltimore, and this is not the defense that won the SUper Bowl 8 YEARS ago!!  We have no pass rush, and the secondary is TERRIBLE!!  On the road, in a dome, against Favre and AP.  MISMATCH Numbnuts!!

    LAy it!!!

    Great insight Zooker.  I didn't realize any of the pertinent information in your post until you sent it because I am a moron and have Numbnuts.  I am going to call my bookie and see if I can switch my bet to Minnesota ASAP.

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Quote Originally Posted by zooker32:

    Hey morons, I live in Baltimore, and this is not the defense that won the SUper Bowl 8 YEARS ago!!  We have no pass rush, and the secondary is TERRIBLE!!  On the road, in a dome, against Favre and AP.  MISMATCH Numbnuts!!

    LAy it!!!

    Great insight Zooker.  I didn't realize any of the pertinent information in your post until you sent it because I am a moron and have Numbnuts.  I am going to call my bookie and see if I can switch my bet to Minnesota ASAP.

    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum
    12 Next Last»

    Hot Forums IconHot Forum Topics

    • 🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵 446,177 Covers arrow
    • 🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets 302,006 Covers arrow
    • Thursday 09/10/2026 992 Covers arrow
    • 🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets 253,761 Covers arrow
    • 9/10 Fast Cash Five 💰??🔥 5,116 Covers arrow
    • NFL LOCKED IN! 95,514 Covers arrow
    • Couple thoughts 4,192 Covers arrow
    • ALL IN 401K Bet Rams -4.5 1,396 Covers arrow
    • Lies, Inaccuracies & Stupidity 26,157 Covers arrow
    • MLB Thursday 9/10 2,286 Covers arrow

    Warning - External Link

    Report User

    Thank you for reporting
    This content is abusive or harmful
    This post is spam
    An error has occurred
    This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

    Delete Post

    Are you sure you would like to remove this post?

    Remove Thread

    Are you sure you would like to remove this thread?

    Scan Results

    Login/Register

    Happy to have you join the conversation. To do so, please login or create an account.
    Accounts are free and easy to create.

    Search


    Loading…

    Loading…

    About Us
    Contact Us
    Careers
    Our Team
    Brand
    Testimonials
    Betting Guides
    Sportsbook Reviews
    Betting News
    Podcasts
    Responsible Gambling
    Betting Sites
    US Betting Sites
    Canada Betting Sites
    Canada Casinos
    Best Betting Apps
    Contests
    Streak Survivor
    King of Covers
    Ultimate Race
    Office Pools
    The Covers community has
    810,221
    lifetime members worldwide
    Join our community today
    Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
    Covers is the world
    leader in sports
    betting information.
    21+
    Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
    Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
    YouTube logo
    Facebook logo
    Twitter logo
    Instagram logo
    LinkedIn logo
    Google News logo
    Covers is verified safe by:
    Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
    Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
    If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.