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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    JAX +19.5 short write up

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    cambyspree99
    player101
    slamspurs
    msohn
    drozanski
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    cambyspree99
    cambyspree99
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2013 - 12:16 AM ET #26

    BACKDOOR COVER   this sea defense takes pride in not allowing teams in the end zone. Doubt they let Henne and his collection of cronies drive downfield late in the game and score.
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    BACKDOOR COVER   this sea defense takes pride in not allowing teams in the end zone. Doubt they let Henne and his collection of cronies drive downfield late in the game and score.
     
    player101
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2013 - 12:17 AM ET #27

    NEVER ASK A BAD TEAM...TO COVER FOR YOU...
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    NEVER ASK A BAD TEAM...TO COVER FOR YOU...
     
    slamspurs
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2013 - 12:20 AM ET #28

    Agree completely that JAX is the pick on this one.

    I'm not the oldest person in the world, but I've been betting for about 10 years now, and I don't remember a team covering more than 16.5 ever.

    Seattle won't have to do much to win. You can say all you want about NFL players being "professionals" but let's get real here. The seahawks aren't going to be pumped up about playing the Jags.

    The game will never be in question, so the crowd won't be as much of a factor. Say what you want about Henne, but he helped that offense move MUCH better than Gabbert ever could. You can't expect him to step in like he did last week and do well with 1 week notice. He'll have more chemistry with his receivers this week.

    The media is hyping the seahawks as the greatest thing since sliced bread this week. Sorry guys, but we knew San Fran had issues, just nobody would believe it.

    I'm expecting a 21-3 game, or a 20-6 game.

    Keep in mind that at least Henne should have time to scan the field. He does have two top 2 draft picks as his tackles, who aren't busts. They've invested a lot of picks on defense as well. They also got scobee who is gonna keep the cover alive.

    The books will eat up all your "small bets" on the seahawks, cuz nobody will bet big giving that many points, but nobody will be taking the jags in this one.

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    Agree completely that JAX is the pick on this one.

    I'm not the oldest person in the world, but I've been betting for about 10 years now, and I don't remember a team covering more than 16.5 ever.

    Seattle won't have to do much to win. You can say all you want about NFL players being "professionals" but let's get real here. The seahawks aren't going to be pumped up about playing the Jags.

    The game will never be in question, so the crowd won't be as much of a factor. Say what you want about Henne, but he helped that offense move MUCH better than Gabbert ever could. You can't expect him to step in like he did last week and do well with 1 week notice. He'll have more chemistry with his receivers this week.

    The media is hyping the seahawks as the greatest thing since sliced bread this week. Sorry guys, but we knew San Fran had issues, just nobody would believe it.

    I'm expecting a 21-3 game, or a 20-6 game.

    Keep in mind that at least Henne should have time to scan the field. He does have two top 2 draft picks as his tackles, who aren't busts. They've invested a lot of picks on defense as well. They also got scobee who is gonna keep the cover alive.

    The books will eat up all your "small bets" on the seahawks, cuz nobody will bet big giving that many points, but nobody will be taking the jags in this one.

     
    msohn
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2013 - 12:29 AM ET #29

    Take it in a teaser
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    Take it in a teaser
     
    cambyspree99
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2013 - 12:49 AM ET #30

    27-3
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    27-3
     
    drozanski
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2013 - 1:03 AM ET #31

    Quote Originally Posted by Da_Shouta:

    lol the NFC champ Niners couldn't cover +19 @ Seattle and now the worst team in the NFL is gonna go in there and get the job done, this one is starting to get that public-underdog stench on it and I wouldn't be surprised if the Hawks coast to a 30-6 victory here, JAX could easily cover catching so many points, couldn't blame anyone for taking Jags but it just doesn't strike me as good spot to make a serious  move on either team, too much in the air, JAX has serious offensive issues, do you really want to bet on a team that could get shut out? Is there even a remote possibility Jax can cover without scoring? thats what you have to ask yourself if you are betting Jags


    Very well said.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da_Shouta:

    lol the NFC champ Niners couldn't cover +19 @ Seattle and now the worst team in the NFL is gonna go in there and get the job done, this one is starting to get that public-underdog stench on it and I wouldn't be surprised if the Hawks coast to a 30-6 victory here, JAX could easily cover catching so many points, couldn't blame anyone for taking Jags but it just doesn't strike me as good spot to make a serious  move on either team, too much in the air, JAX has serious offensive issues, do you really want to bet on a team that could get shut out? Is there even a remote possibility Jax can cover without scoring? thats what you have to ask yourself if you are betting Jags


    Very well said.
     
    drozanski
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2013 - 1:13 AM ET #32

    "The books will eat up all your "small bets" on the seahawks, cuz nobody will bet big giving that many points, but nobody will be taking the jags in this one."

    Strongly disagree with you on this one.  SEA is the favorite 60/40, but 40% is far from "nobody". CAR and CIN are sitting at 12% and 14%, respectively. Now those are some big dogs!

    I fully expect SEA to score AT LEAST 1 TD per quarter and wouldn't be at all surprised if they average more like 10 pts per qtr.  This puts them on pace for 28-40 points. 

    The jags on the other hand will be lucky to snag 1 TD and 2 FG total.  This puts them at 10-13 pts. 

    If I bet this game, I will take SEA.  The above breakdown of total points supports the pick.  I will likely 3 team tease them for 10 pts with some combination of DEN, CHI, MIN, HOU.

    GL to all.
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    "The books will eat up all your "small bets" on the seahawks, cuz nobody will bet big giving that many points, but nobody will be taking the jags in this one."

    Strongly disagree with you on this one.  SEA is the favorite 60/40, but 40% is far from "nobody". CAR and CIN are sitting at 12% and 14%, respectively. Now those are some big dogs!

    I fully expect SEA to score AT LEAST 1 TD per quarter and wouldn't be at all surprised if they average more like 10 pts per qtr.  This puts them on pace for 28-40 points. 

    The jags on the other hand will be lucky to snag 1 TD and 2 FG total.  This puts them at 10-13 pts. 

    If I bet this game, I will take SEA.  The above breakdown of total points supports the pick.  I will likely 3 team tease them for 10 pts with some combination of DEN, CHI, MIN, HOU.

    GL to all.
     
    HoldingXYZ
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2013 - 1:21 AM ET #33

    Play the ML on jax... Its better then buying the lottery.. 
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    Play the ML on jax... Its better then buying the lottery.. 
     
    shooter15
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2013 - 1:34 AM ET #34

    Huge Seahawks fan I must say I dont see why Seattle shouldn't win by 20+...Yes I do know the history and the odds are not in favour but at this moment every Seahawks player is active. There are NO injuries to big pieces.. they have a full starting line up. 

    Jacksonville on the other hand has 1 touchdown in 2 games..1st game they were shutout their D got a safety for 2 points all game!! Dont tell me that Seattle fans wont be hype??? Are you kidding me every player on that team feeds of the "12s". The crowd will be pumped. I dont see Jacksonvilles defense to stop Seattle simple and point. 

    If Seattle comes out hungry, this game will be 24-3 halftime. 
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    Huge Seahawks fan I must say I dont see why Seattle shouldn't win by 20+...Yes I do know the history and the odds are not in favour but at this moment every Seahawks player is active. There are NO injuries to big pieces.. they have a full starting line up. 

    Jacksonville on the other hand has 1 touchdown in 2 games..1st game they were shutout their D got a safety for 2 points all game!! Dont tell me that Seattle fans wont be hype??? Are you kidding me every player on that team feeds of the "12s". The crowd will be pumped. I dont see Jacksonvilles defense to stop Seattle simple and point. 

    If Seattle comes out hungry, this game will be 24-3 halftime. 
     
    shooter15
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2013 - 1:34 AM ET #35

    Final Score: 34-10
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    Final Score: 34-10
     
    drozanski
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2013 - 1:40 AM ET #36

    "If Seattle comes out hungry, this game will be 24-3 halftime."

    More like, If JAX comes out hungry, this game will be 24-3 at halftime.
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    "If Seattle comes out hungry, this game will be 24-3 halftime."

    More like, If JAX comes out hungry, this game will be 24-3 at halftime.
     
    slamspurs
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    Posted: Sep. 22, 2013 - 10:55 AM ET #37

    Quote Originally Posted by Da_Shouta:

    lol the NFC champ Niners couldn't cover +19 @ Seattle and now the worst team in the NFL is gonna go in there and get the job done, .....

    What Seattle did against San Francisco has absolutely no bearing on what they'll do against Jacksonville.

    There are a million different factors between the games.

    San Francisco is better than Jacksonville.

    Seattle beat SF by 26 points.

    Therefore, Seattle should win by more than 26 vs. Jacksonville right? Most flawed logic that's not even worth discussing further.

     

    Let me go back the effort factor here. If you were playing your little brother in a pickup game of basketball, where if you tried your hardest, your little brother might get 1 basket at the most.

    Are you going to be hustling for every loose ball, playing tight defense, and taking cheap shots you can get away with? Probably not. If the game gets out of hand, do you think the crowd will be in it at 16-0 vs. Jacksonville?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Da_Shouta:

    lol the NFC champ Niners couldn't cover +19 @ Seattle and now the worst team in the NFL is gonna go in there and get the job done, .....

    What Seattle did against San Francisco has absolutely no bearing on what they'll do against Jacksonville.

    There are a million different factors between the games.

    San Francisco is better than Jacksonville.

    Seattle beat SF by 26 points.

    Therefore, Seattle should win by more than 26 vs. Jacksonville right? Most flawed logic that's not even worth discussing further.

     

    Let me go back the effort factor here. If you were playing your little brother in a pickup game of basketball, where if you tried your hardest, your little brother might get 1 basket at the most.

    Are you going to be hustling for every loose ball, playing tight defense, and taking cheap shots you can get away with? Probably not. If the game gets out of hand, do you think the crowd will be in it at 16-0 vs. Jacksonville?

     
    Winky81
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    Posted: Sep. 22, 2013 - 11:06 AM ET #38

    There are only 31 teams in the NFL...jags are not an NFL team
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    There are only 31 teams in the NFL...jags are not an NFL team
     
    HoldingXYZ
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    Posted: Sep. 22, 2013 - 11:11 AM ET #39

    I LOVE THE JAGS!!,, I WOULD GO SMALL ON SEA,, THEY SEEM LIKE THE PERFECT TEAM TO GET HOT EARLY... JUST DON"T BE ONE JAG OFF,, 19 AINT THAT SCARY IS IT
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    I LOVE THE JAGS!!,, I WOULD GO SMALL ON SEA,, THEY SEEM LIKE THE PERFECT TEAM TO GET HOT EARLY... JUST DON"T BE ONE JAG OFF,, 19 AINT THAT SCARY IS IT
     
    punta
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    Posted: Sep. 22, 2013 - 11:18 AM ET #40

    Jkvll will cover easy.there r a few guys on their tm that will show up to play. Read the recap after they r woodson porter and pryor . Thats the WPP code. Yes I can predict.
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    Jkvll will cover easy.there r a few guys on their tm that will show up to play. Read the recap after they r woodson porter and pryor . Thats the WPP code. Yes I can predict.
     
    clubtnt
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    Posted: Sep. 22, 2013 - 11:22 AM ET #41

    BOL of everyone but i've loaded up on the jags.
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    BOL of everyone but i've loaded up on the jags.
     
    LOLKNBR
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    Posted: Sep. 22, 2013 - 12:00 PM ET #42

    Great write-up.


    JAX to the bank!
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    Great write-up.


    JAX to the bank!
     
    CHANGCHANG
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    Posted: Sep. 22, 2013 - 12:04 PM ET #43

    classic 'sandwich' game 

    SF, JAX, HOU

    the line is down to 18.5.

     
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    classic 'sandwich' game 

    SF, JAX, HOU

    the line is down to 18.5.

     
     
    AAY
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    Posted: Sep. 22, 2013 - 12:49 PM ET #44

    Good Luck
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    Good Luck
     
     
    Soccerone
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    Posted: Sep. 22, 2013 - 1:13 PM ET #45

    Carroll's ex D. C. Is in Jacksonville...... IMO he won't embarrass him!!!

    If I had a gun to my head, I take the points. That being said, no gun...

    I'll probably take Seattle n the first half!! ATS
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    Carroll's ex D. C. Is in Jacksonville...... IMO he won't embarrass him!!!

    If I had a gun to my head, I take the points. That being said, no gun...

    I'll probably take Seattle n the first half!! ATS
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