Posted:
#276
Can you post the comparison percentages?
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Ive created a football program that ive tested and want to share
Posted:
#277
Quote Originally Posted by RDTTKA12:
AFN does your system produce projected scores of games based on your stats? If so could you post them. Also, any thoughts on Philly @ TB, Detroit @ GB, or your reasoning for SD @ Pitt
Thanks AFN, BOL this week.
sorry bud no projection scores as program just gives matchup percentages
AFN does your system produce projected scores of games based on your stats? If so could you post them. Also, any thoughts on Philly @ TB, Detroit @ GB, or your reasoning for SD @ Pitt
Thanks AFN, BOL this week.
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Posted:
#278
Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:
sorry bud no projection scores as program just gives matchup percentages
sorry bud no projection scores as program just gives matchup percentages
Thats what I meant. Sorry
I want to see all of todays matchup percentages if you can post that. I read through your thread and so far your system seems legit. Some of your losses are from going against your system I noticed and I feel look at these percentages gives you a good read.
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Posted:
#279
Quote Originally Posted by plchris:
Thats what I meant. Sorry
I want to see all of todays matchup percentages if you can post that. I read through your thread and so far your system seems legit. Some of your losses are from going against your system I noticed and I feel look at these percentages gives you a good read.
Yea I backtracked my losses and most were degenerate picks against the system cuz I just wanted to play like eagles garbage game and raiders...will try and post all percentages and maybe even the full chart but too much numbers and percentages its blowing my mind Thats what I meant. Sorry
I want to see all of todays matchup percentages if you can post that. I read through your thread and so far your system seems legit. Some of your losses are from going against your system I noticed and I feel look at these percentages gives you a good read.
lol
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Posted:
#294
Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:
Playing all 1unit each which hopefully get a profit if at least 2 games don't play out...as far as the parlay I rarely do parlays but its the end of the season and I felt like playing a little lottery for fun cuz the regular season is coming to an end soon...what I meant by hedging is if all the Sundays games hit then I can hedge Monday and take Houston to gaurantee a payout but I know it's a longshot 
so you think Houston tonight?
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Posted:
#300
Firstly, AFN, I have been very impressed with this system!
However, did last night's game expose a flaw? Specifically, my question is: how exactly does the system quantify recent play vs play over the whole season? I know you've mentioned that it weights recent play heavier than historical play, but what defines "recent?" I have noticed (more from a fantasy football perspective) that HOU D/ST has been bad since Week 11, whereas NE D/ST has been looking pretty good since Week 11. Essentially, I was surprised by the defensive differential (i.e., -18% vs average) the system computed.
Also, does it take into account when players (especially those who are directly involved in many play outcomes) are out for the game? I know your program records every play, but does it record the players involved affecting the outcomes? Quantifying injury-induced effects on expected performance would be BAWSE!
Thanks again for your work! Have a good one.
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